新型防空警戒雷达训练

在防空兵警戒雷达专业传统训练方法的基础上,结合新型警戒雷达技术体制特点,对新型警戒雷达训练进行的一系列探索,对于防空部队作战能力的提升起到了重要的推动作用。     

Country survey: military expenditure and defence policy in Norway 1970–2013

This article examines military expenditure and defence policy in Norway from 1970 to 2013. Until 1990 Norwegian military expenditure remained between 2.5 and 3.0 per cent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Despite constant GDP shares, the military expenditure could not sustain a large and properly armed mobilization army. The constant nominal defence budgets of the 1990s accentuated the Norwegian Armed Forces' underlying imbalance between tasks, structure and budget. Around year 2000, large organizational reforms were effectuated, in which costs, the number of man-years, and underlying imbalances between tasks, structure and budget were reduced. Military expenditure increased in nominal terms between 2003 and 2013, while real military expenditure remained practically constant.     

运用“五种思维”提升部队指挥员应急处置能力

运用底线思维、辩证思维、创新思维、战略思维和历史思维五种思维有效提高部队指挥员应急处置的安全防控能力、决策能力、应变能力、控制能力和学习能力。     

军人心理训练的实证研究及其思考

军人心理训练,作为一种将心理训练与战斗力相结合的新型训练模式,是军人提升心理能力、培育素质素养的重要途径。通过概述军人心理训练的内涵和方法,梳理实证研究的研究现状,为拓展军人心理训练领域研究、深化训练应用实效提出思考。     

三维均匀化理论预测多孔混凝土等效弹性模量

应用多尺度渐进展开的均匀化理论,推导三维均匀化理论的有限元解法,求解复合材料等效弹性系数。假设多孔混凝土由光滑均匀一致的球孔与水泥石基质组成,提出改进的随机投放方法,生成三维均匀化理论求解的随机单胞模型。以聚苯乙烯泡沫(EPS)混凝土为数值算例,生成6组不同体积分数的EPS混凝土随机单胞模型,通过三维均匀化理论的有限元法计算得到其等效弹性模量。计算结果表明:随机单胞模型能反映细观的非均质性,三维均匀化理论的有限元法计算得到的等效弹性模量变化趋势比较符合Miled的试验结果。     

Advancing “Defence-in-depth”: intelligence and systems dynamics

This article aims to encourage the fostering of more systems thinking, and its greater exploitation, within the domain of contemporary intelligence. With particular focus on “micro systems thinking” and with reference to key intelligence processes, such as intelligence analysis, the utility of many systems dynamics within the intelligence context seeks to be further revealed. Through their greater collective harnessing, including up to “System of Systems” (“SoS”) dynamics, and promoting all that they can offer, more sophisticated overarching operational-to-strategic/policy “ends,” notably that of “defence-in-depth,” can be viably further advanced in a sustainable manner into the future. Arguably, a much-needed transformative impact on contemporary intelligence can also be increasingly realised through comprehensively engaging in and with more systems and SoS thinking. Aiding civil protection tasks, crisis management, emergency planners, and civil contingency practitioners likewise gain.     

一种舰载多武器火力兼容优先级控制模型和方法

分析了美海军先进驱逐舰的武器配置,给出了舰载两两武器间动态火力散布体交叉的时空模型,提出了一种舰载多武器火力兼容优先级控制数学模型,并给出计算实例。     

基于规则的CGF实体行为建模技术

CGF行为建模的目的是使行为模型能更好地体现出人类行为特征,提高作战仿真系统的可信性和科学性。在介绍CGF、CGF行为建模概念的基础上,对当前几种主要的CGF行为建模方法进行了比较,并分析了CGF行为模型的一般结构。构建了基于规则的CGF行为模型,重点对基于规则CGF行为模型的决策推理方法进行了研究。采用产生式规则方法对决策知识进行了描述,定义了决策推理过程中的3个要素:态势、动作、决策推理,并对其决策推理过程进行了研究。     

一种基于区间数的地面防空火力配系评估技术

针对已有评估技术存在的不足,提出了一种基于区间数的地面防空火力配系评估技术。给出了影响防空火力配系的评价指标,建立了权重为区间数的地面防空火力配系综合评价模型,给出了评价其优劣的排序方法。最后通过实例分析验证,该技术评估结果准确,能有效减小误差,对指挥员科学决策具有一定的参考价值。     

面向任务的有人机/无人机协同对地攻击概率模型

有人机/无人机协同对地攻击是未来空对地打击的主要作战样式,如何评估其协同作战的效能是军地双方共同面对的重要课题。首先根据完成对地攻击任务的4个环节建立了对地攻击的总概率模型;然后基于桥联模型建立了各个环节的概率模型;最后给出了一架有人机协同两架无人机对地攻击的算例,并对模型反算、协同与非协同对比以及多波次攻击等问题进行了讨论和分析,验证了模型良好可用性和广泛适用性。