Expansion planning for waste‐to‐energy systems using waste forecast prediction sets

We consider an expansion planning problem for Waste‐to‐Energy (WtE) systems facing uncertainty in future waste supplies. The WtE expansion plans are regarded as strategic, long term decisions, while the waste distribution and treatment are medium to short term operational decisions which can adapt to the actual waste collected. We propose a prediction set uncertainty model which integrates a set of waste generation forecasts and is constructed based on user‐specified levels of forecasting errors. Next, we use the prediction sets for WtE expansion scenario analysis. More specifically, for a given WtE expansion plan, the guaranteed net present value (NPV) is evaluated by computing an extreme value forecast trajectory of future waste generation from the prediction set that minimizes the maximum NPV of the WtE project. This problem is essentially a multiple stage min‐max dynamic optimization problem. By exploiting the structure of the WtE problem, we show this is equivalent to a simpler min‐max optimization problem, which can be further transformed into a single mixed‐integer linear program. Furthermore, we extend the model to optimize the guaranteed NPV by searching over the set of all feasible expansion scenarios, and show that this can be solved by an exact cutting plane approach. We also propose a heuristic based on a constant proportion distribution rule for the WtE expansion optimization model, which reduces the problem into a moderate size mixed‐integer program. Finally, our computational studies demonstrate that our proposed expansion model solutions are very stable and competitive in performance compared to scenario tree approaches. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 47–70, 2016     

高双折射光子晶体光纤用于温度传感的研究

文中分析了高双折射光子晶体光纤用于温度传感的应用。在高双折射光子晶体光纤的特定空气孔中填充折射率温度系数高的液体材料,温度的变化会导致光纤传输特性的变化,通过检测其双折射的变化从而实现温度传感。文中运用平面波扩展法计算分析了该新型光子晶体光纤的双折射特性随温度变化的关系。     

基于遗传算法的大型降落伞气动力参数辨识

建立了降落伞回收系统的六自由度动力学及运动模型,针对大型降落伞可观测数据少的特点,设计遗传算法辨识其气动力参数,利用仿真验证了辨识方法的可行性和辨识模型的正确性。结合空投试验录像分析数据,辨识了某型号飞船所采用大型环帆伞的气动力参数,并利用辨识结果对其稳定性进行分析,其结论可作为回收系统设计的理论参考依据。     

Dynamic modeling and parameter identification of a gun saddle ring

In this study, a theoretical nonlinear dynamic model was established for a saddle ring based on a dynamic force analysis of the launching process and the structure according to contact-impact theory. The ADAMS software was used to build a parameterized dynamic model of the saddle ring. A parameter identification method for the ring was proposed based on the particle swarm optimization algorithm. A loading test was designed and performed several times at different elevation angles. The response histories of the saddle ring with different loads were then obtained. The parameters of the saddle ring dynamic model were identified from statistics generated at a 50° elevation angle to verify the feasibility and accuracy of the proposed method. The actual loading history of the ring at a 70° elevation angle was taken as the model input. The response histories of the ring under these working conditions were obtained through a simulation. The simulation results agreed with the actual response. Thus, the effectiveness and applicability of the proposed dynamic model were verified, and it provides an effective method for modeling saddle rings.     

恒速偏频激光陀螺系统航向敏感误差的在线标定与补偿

以单轴恒速偏频激光陀螺系统为研究对象,建立了静基座初始对准时系统中标定参数变化误差对航向敏感误差影响的数学模型。为克服外场测试环境下难以分别精确估计各标定参数的限制,提出将安装关系矩阵参数误差对航向敏感误差的作用视为一个整体进行标定;不需要外部基准,即可基于最小二乘算法实现航向敏感误差系数的在线标定。采用标定得到的航向敏感误差系数,利用原理样机进行了在线补偿精度实验测试。实验结果表明,所提出的在线标定与补偿方法能够有效消除航向敏感误差,提高初始对准航向角精度。     

机动管线流量在线实时监测技术研究

输送流量在线实时监测是准确掌握机动管线运行工况、优化运行方案、分析判断泄漏的关键之一。分析了容积式、速度式和差压式等常用流量监测技术的技术特征与使用条件,根据机动管线的作业特点和要求,优选出涡街流量监测技术作为该管线系统的流量在线实时监测技术;分析了机动管线输送过程中管道振动对涡街流量计计量精度的影响,提出了几种不同的抗振防干扰技术,并应用于机动管线涡街流量监测装置的研制。样机试验表明,采用抗振技术的涡街流量监测装置检测精度能满足机动管线流量在线实时监测需求。     

Resistance of grid steel-tube-confined concrete targets against projectile impact: Experimental investigation and analytical engineering model

Steel-tube-confined concrete (STCC) targets are provided with excellent anti-penetration performance over semi-infinite concrete (SIC) targets since the steel tube imposes passive restraint on the in-filled concrete during the penetration process. Grid STCC system with square steel tubes is a potential solution to protective structures. In this paper, experiments of 9-cell grid STCC targets penetrated by 12.7 mm Armor Piercing Projectile (APP) were performed. The influence of side length and thickness of steel tube, steel ratio and impact velocity on anti-penetration performance were taken into account. Additionally, single-cell square STCC targets were also designed and tested for comparison with the 9-cell grid STCC targets. Damage modes and parameters of the tested targets were measured and discussed. Moreover, the stiffness of radial confinement of grid STCC targets is achieved according to the elastic solution of infinite cylindrical shell in Winkler medium. Furthermore, the penetration resistance and depth of penetration (DOP) for grid STCC targets are obtained on the basis of the dynamic finite spherical cavity-expansion (FSCE) models including radial confinement effect. It is shown that the 9-cell grid STCC targets with optimal dimension match of thickness and side length of steel tube can reduce the DOP by about 17 % and 23 % in comparison with the SIC targets and single-cell square STCC targets, respectively, due to both the confinement of square steel tube to concrete in the impacted cell and the additional confinement of the surrounding cells to the impacted cell; the penetration resistance and DOP of the grid and cellular STCC targets with similar steel ratio is close, and thus the grid STCC targets with simpler manufacturing process and excellent in-plane expandability are preferred in engineering practice; moreover, the predicted results of DOP model based on the FSCE models agree well with the tested results with the maximum disparity less than 12 % and the proposed model is more applicable to the grid and cellular STCC targets with high radial confinement.     

小推力液体火箭发动机燃烧与传热数值仿真研究

针对边区液膜冷却型小推力液体火箭发动机,引入VOF模型模拟冷却液膜,使用数值仿真手段计算了发动机推力室突扩构型对燃烧效率与传热特性的影响.对比可见计算结果是可靠的,计算表明无量纲台阶高度H*从0.111增加到0.222,燃烧效率增加0.35个百分点、燃烧效率随无量纲台阶长度L*增加变化较小、另外传热特性受H*与L*的影响都不大.这表明在扩张型推力室中,燃烧效率下降的主要原因是壁面附近的气态MMH无法与氧化剂有效混合.     

电传动装甲车辆发动机发电机系统动态模型

针对电传动装甲车辆发动机-发电机系统建模难的问题,采用BP神经网络辨识发动机转矩,设计了发动机-发电机系统动态实验,在测得发动机在不同油门开度时的转速动态响应,并将电励磁旋转整流同步发电机等效为直流发电机的基础上,建立发动机-发电机系统动态模型。仿真与实验对比结果表明：模型满足车辆仿真精度要求。     

某型火炮制退机节制环磨损故障分析与处理

制退机的性能好坏直接关系到火炮作战效能的发挥。针对目前装备保障方式大多停留在维修层面而理论研究不够深入的实际,对节制环磨损故障的机理进行分析。以某型火炮短节制杆式制退复进机为对象,利用MATLAB数值计算平台,编程仿真节制环磨损故障对后坐的影响。同时探讨了故障后对火炮的处理方案。研究表明,节制环磨损对后坐诸元都将产生不同影响,针对影响的程度可制定相应的故障处理方案。仿真模拟和方案探讨对装备保障工作具有参考意义。