建筑太阳能光电热一体化系统的瞬态性能模拟

利用TRNSYS软件对重庆夏季建筑屋顶太阳能光电热一体化系统进行瞬态模拟分析计算,得到系统瞬时发电量与一段时间内累计发电量,光电热模块瞬时进出水温度与太阳能平板集热器瞬时进出水温度,系统一段时间内光电热模块累计有效得热量与一段时间内太阳能平板集热器累计有效得热量,系统的光电转换效率、光热转换效率以及太阳能综合利用效率。结果表明,建筑屋顶太阳能光电热一体化系统是重庆地区建筑太阳能光电热一体化系统适宜的型式。     

基于模态分析方法的管道导波频散曲线计算

推导了管道中导波传播的有限元方程,使用 ANSYS 有限元软件建立了管道模型;对导波进行模态分析,得到了管道模型的一系列特征频率与振型,通过对管道振型的模态识别,提取了管道中各模态导波的模态特征,计算得到了管道中导波的频散曲线,该曲线与解析法所得到的频散曲线相吻合。该方法可以应用于周期性重复组合的任何结构（如横截面固定的杆、板、管）中导波的频散曲线计算。     

Sequential learning versus no learning in Bayesian regression models

We consider two regression models: linear and logistic. The dependent variable is observed periodically and in each period a Bayesian formulation is used to generate updated forecasts of the dependent variable as new data is observed. One would expect that including new data in the Bayesian updates results in improved forecasts over not including the new data. Our findings indicate that this is not always true. We show there exists a subset of the independent variable space that we call the “region of no learning.” If the independent variable values for a given period in the future are in this region, then the forecast does not change with any new data. Moreover, if the independent variable values are in a neighborhood of the region of no learning, then there may be little benefit to wait for the new data and update the forecast. We propose a statistical approach to characterize this neighborhood which we call the “region of little learning.” Our results provide insights into the trade‐offs that exist in situations when the decision maker has an incentive to make an early decision based on an early forecast versus waiting to make a later decision based on an updated forecast. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 532–548, 2014     

The sixteenth-century antecedents of special operations ‘small war’

The first conceptual, theoretical treatises about small war (la petite guerre) as special operations appeared only from the middle of the seventeenth century. The term is not used in the eighteenth-century sense of ‘special operations’ in older sources. The supposed absence of any treatment of the subject is surprising considering the obsession with the ‘art of war’ in the Renaissance, but other authors attribute it to a supposed antinomy between chivalric ideals and irregular warfare. But the absence of explicit manuals on the subject is not evidence of absence of advanced reflection on this kind of operations in the Middle Ages and in Early Modern times. We should thus look elsewhere, in other genres, for writings that contain and pass on military knowledge. Epics, romances, educational and military treatises, and memoirs in fact contain elements of a theory of special operations, even though these genres differ from our conception of rationality inherited from the Enlightenment.     

Guerrillas and bandits in the Serranía de Ronda, 1810–1812

The Spanish Guerrilla (1808–1812) which has given its name to ideologically motivated insurgencies is usually portrayed as a patriotic uprising against the French occupation forces of Napoleon. It was that, in part, but also many other things besides. This case study illustrates its overlap and convergence with banditry but also with social unrest turned into uprisings directed by poor Spaniards against their creditors, as in the storming of Ronda by insurgents in 1810. From the propaganda of the day to the subsequent Spanish patriotic historiography, there has been a tendency to exaggerate the amplitude of events and also the damage that was done to the French forces and the casualty figures inflicted on them.     

弹药库防静电方法研究

根据弹药库静电危险场所的分类等级,以形成静电危害的3个基本条件为依据,讨论了弹药库防静电危害常用措施:设施设备静电接地、防静电工作台、人体静电防护、铺设导电(或防静电)地面以及各自防静电要求.这些措施为防止和消除弹药库的静电危害提供了根本保障.     

美国2014年《四年防务评估报告》特点

2014年3月4日,美国国防部向国会提交了2014年版《四年防务评估报告》和《2015财年国防预算报告》。《四年防务评估报告》更新了再平衡战略,为美军建设提出了优先发展方向,要求美军联合部队向“更小型化”转型,以满足未来军事行动需求。     

一类具有饱和发生率的离散型SIS传染病模型

研究一类具有饱和发生率的离散型SIS传染病模型,得到了模型的基本再生数.通过线性化的方法,运用LaSalle-Lyapunov定理,证明当基本再生数R01时,无病平衡点是全局渐近稳定的;通过迭代的方法,证明当基本再生数R01时,地方病平衡点是全局渐近稳定的.     

装配式管线水力瞬变的非线性流固耦合模型

装配式管线是一种重要的油料保障装备,用于地面铺设,属于典型的薄壁弱约束管线系统。根据装配式管线的特点,应用管道弹性变形理论,推导了水力瞬变状态下装配式管线的非线性流固耦合5-方程模型。该模型充分考虑了管道与流体之间的耦合互动效应,耦合形式包含了泊松耦合、摩擦耦合、结合部耦合,以及管线系统的轴向、横向和径向振动耦合,并计及了管道结构阻尼的影响。针对装配式管线的特殊连接约束方式,提出了一种带有扭转弹簧的铰支型约束边界,可通过确定扭转弹簧的弹性系数来建立管线两端的约束边界方程。     

基于类别可分性准则的金属磁记忆信号小波能量谱特征提取研究

为了解决金属磁记忆信号小波能量谱特征存在的相关性和冗余性问题,利用类别可分性准则,在提取金属磁记忆信号小波能量谱的基础上,将能量谱特征进行变换提取最优特征向量。将能量谱特征向量、最优特征向量和低频特征向量作为支持向量机的特征输入量分别对不同检测区域的金属磁记忆信号进行识别。实验结果表明：最优特征向量能够减小小波能量谱特征的相关性和冗余性,有效提高支持向量机识别的准确率。