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141.
Consider a supplier offering a product to several potential demand sources, each with a unique revenue, size, and probability that it will materialize. Given a long procurement lead time, the supplier must choose the orders to pursue and the total quantity to procure prior to the selling season. We model this as a selective newsvendor problem of maximizing profits where the total (random) demand is given by the set of pursued orders. Given that the dimensionality of a mixed‐integer linear programming formulation of the problem increases exponentially with the number of potential orders, we develop both a tailored exact algorithm based on the L‐shaped method for two‐stage stochastic programming as well as a heuristic method. We also extend our solution approach to account for piecewise‐linear cost and revenue functions as well as a multiperiod setting. Extensive experimentation indicates that our exact approach rapidly finds optimal solutions with three times as many orders as a state‐of‐the‐art commercial solver. In addition, our heuristic approach provides average gaps of less than 1% for the largest problems that can be solved exactly. Observing that the gaps decrease as problem size grows, we expect the heuristic approach to work well for large problem instances. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 2008 相似文献
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应自行武器间瞄射击的要求,提出了测定装甲机械化分队各车体方位的原则和简单方法,并对此测算方法进行了误差分析,然后以某分队为例,分别测算了指挥车和队属单车的车体方位和误差,结果表明该定位定向方法能够满足自行武器间瞄准射击的要求,可供装备自行武器的部队在射击训练时参考。 相似文献
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坦克作战过程中 ,经常出现一个坦克群遭遇对方一个坦克群的情况 ,这时每辆坦克往往向威胁自身最大的目标开火 ,但这种选择的整体效果不一定最优。本文提出一种目标选择方法 ,使得最大限度地减轻了对方对己方的威胁 ,大大提高了作战坦克对敌杀伤效果 相似文献
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Consider a stochastic simulation experiment consisting of v independent vector replications consisting of an observation from each of k independent systems. Typical system comparisons are based on mean (long‐run) performance. However, the probability that a system will actually be the best is sometimes more relevant, and can provide a very different perspective than the systems' means. Empirically, we select one system as the best performer (i.e., it wins) on each replication. Each system has an unknown constant probability of winning on any replication and the numbers of wins for the individual systems follow a multinomial distribution. Procedures exist for selecting the system with the largest probability of being the best. This paper addresses the companion problem of estimating the probability that each system will be the best. The maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) of the multinomial cell probabilities for a set of v vector replications across k systems are well known. We use these same v vector replications to form vk unique vectors (termed pseudo‐replications) that contain one observation from each system and develop estimators based on AVC (All Vector Comparisons). In other words, we compare every observation from each system with every combination of observations from the remaining systems and note the best performer in each pseudo‐replication. AVC provides lower variance estimators of the probability that each system will be the best than the MLEs. We also derive confidence intervals for the AVC point estimators, present a portion of an extensive empirical evaluation and provide a realistic example. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 49: 341–358, 2002; Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI 10.1002/nav.10019 相似文献
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防空兵群阵地选择是防空兵力部署的前提条件,阵地选择与配置的正确与否是防空兵部队能否有效进行抗击敌空袭兵器的一个重要因素.在分析以往防空阵地优选方法不足的基础上,提出了基于改进的层次分析与集对分析的多因素优选方法,建立了防空兵群配置地域方案优选的模型.通过实例分析了影响防空兵群阵地选择的相关因素,确定了配置地域优选的指标体系,用三标度法确定指标因素的权重,以相对贴近度的大小对待选阵地进行优选和排序.该方法能够定性与定量相结合,模型简单规范,为防空兵群阵地优选提供了一种有效的方法和途径. 相似文献
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潜艇鱼雷武器多通道射击控制研究 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
在论述潜艇武器系统演变到武器通道的客观必然和技术特点的基础上,分析了反鱼雷技术在海上攻防对抗过程中给潜艇鱼雷攻击带来的困难。为了弥补鱼雷同一种自导方式齐射在对抗阶段存在的不足,提出了潜艇鱼雷武器多通道射击控制(或多自导方式鱼雷混合齐射)的概念。研究了实现鱼雷混合自导方式齐射所涉及的技术环节,给出了解决齐射各雷相互干扰、射击参数解算等问题的相应方法和模型。 相似文献
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