Value management of diagnostic equipment with cancelation,no‐show,and emergency patients

Magnetic resonance imaging and other multifunctional diagnostic facilities, which are considered as scarce resources of hospitals, typically provide services to patients with different medical needs. This article examines the admission policies during the appointment management of such facilities. We consider two categories of patients: regular patients who are scheduled in advance through an appointment system and emergency patients with randomly generated demands during the workday that must be served as soon as possible. According to the actual medical needs of patients, regular patients are segmented into multiple classes with different cancelation rates, no‐show probabilities, unit value contributions, and average service times. Management makes admission decisions on whether or not to accept a service request from a regular patient during the booking horizon to improve the overall value that could be generated during the workday. The decisions should be made by considering the cancelation and no‐show behavior of booked patients as well as the emergency patients that would have to be served because any overtime service would lead to higher costs. We studied the optimal admission decision using a continuous‐time discrete‐state dynamic programming model. Identifying an optimal policy for this discrete model is analytically intractable and numerically inefficient because the state is multidimensional and infinite. We propose to study a deterministic counterpart of the problem (i.e., the fluid control problem) and to develop a time‐based fluid policy that is shown to be asymptotically optimal for large‐scale problems. Furthermore, we propose to adopt a mixed fluid policy that is developed based on the information obtained from the fluid control problem. Numerical experiments demonstrate that this improved policy works effectively for small‐scale problems. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 287–304, 2016     

Advancing “Defence-in-depth”: intelligence and systems dynamics

This article aims to encourage the fostering of more systems thinking, and its greater exploitation, within the domain of contemporary intelligence. With particular focus on “micro systems thinking” and with reference to key intelligence processes, such as intelligence analysis, the utility of many systems dynamics within the intelligence context seeks to be further revealed. Through their greater collective harnessing, including up to “System of Systems” (“SoS”) dynamics, and promoting all that they can offer, more sophisticated overarching operational-to-strategic/policy “ends,” notably that of “defence-in-depth,” can be viably further advanced in a sustainable manner into the future. Arguably, a much-needed transformative impact on contemporary intelligence can also be increasingly realised through comprehensively engaging in and with more systems and SoS thinking. Aiding civil protection tasks, crisis management, emergency planners, and civil contingency practitioners likewise gain.     

论边防警察的心理应激与应对

心理应激是一种特殊的情绪状态,在这种情绪状态下个体会有很多特殊的反应和举动。边防警察由于其工作的特殊性,难免会产生心理应激。边防警察的心理应激源包括工作方面、环境方面、生活方面。分析了边防警察心理应激的类型及表现,主要从培养品质和意志,学会放松,取得社会、家人、亲友的支持和理解,加强心理训练等方面论述了应对边防警察心理应激的措施。     

军队院校文化管理模式初探

管理现代化是一所大学成功办学的基本标志。军队院校文化管理理论的提出是时代发展的必然要求。军队院校实施文化管理的核心内容及基本策略就是建设好、使用好自己的特色文化,为此,管理者应注意处理好有为管理与无为管理、柔性管理与刚性管理、部门主管与分工合作、硬件投入与软件提升四个方面的关系。     

航母武器装备保障能力建设研究

随着我国第一艘航空母舰的入役,航母何时具备作战能力越来越引起人们的高度关注。其中,尽快形成航母武器装备的保障能力是至关重要的一项内容。文章围绕航母武器装备保障能力建设这个主题,介绍了航母武器装备保障系统的概况,分析航母武器装备保障的主要特点。阐述了航母武器装备保障的基本要求。并从人员、装备、保障方式等方面研究航母武器装备保障能力建设的对策措施,为航母武器装备保障能力建设提供借鉴和参考。     

基于贝叶斯决策方法的项目管理能力评估研究

项目管理能力是评价科研单位是否具有牵头组织能力的重要指标之一。针对现有评价方法在稳定性、科学性方面的不足,以传统的科研项目管理能力评估方法为基础,引入贝叶斯理论,建立了贝叶斯决策评估模型,并利用实际案例验证了其在科研项目管理能力评估中的有效性。结果表明,该评估方法能够充分利用历史资料和专家意见,对初步评估结果进行再度评估,具有较强的客观性、准确性。     

论产品说明书在建设工程消防管理中的应用

借鉴＂产品说明书＂的形式,把建设工程中的消防设施、器材的原理、使用、维护等介绍给建设工程的管理者,以保证消防设施、器材的正常运行。     

我国界水管理问题的综合分析

界水管理过程中,对于界河（左右岸界河）和国际河流（上下游界河）应明确其不同的主要矛盾,根据我国应对界水问题的基本规则,解决使用和管理中的各种问题。在此基础上,参照地区惯例,积极参与国际条约的制订和完善,以期进一步提高我国界水管理工作的水平。     

装备维修器材管理可视化系统研究

通过对装备维修器材的信息化需求和国内外可视化现状的分析, 以我军装备保障为背景, 探讨了维修器材管理可视化系统的概念和研究内容, 提出了我军未来装备维修器材管理可视化系统的框架式模型, 并为实现该模型进行了技术讨论和推断。     

Structural properties of network revenue management models: An economic perspective

Many revenue management problems have a network aspect. In this paper, we argue that a network can be thought of as a system of substitutable and complementary products, and the value of a revenue management model should be supermodular or submodular in the availability of two resources as the resources are economic substitutes or complements. We demonstrate that this is true in the case of a two‐resource dynamic stochastic revenue management model and show how this applies for multi‐resource deterministic static revenue management models. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006