Optimal burn‐in procedure for periodically inspected systems

Burn‐in is a widely used method to improve the quality of products or systems after they have been produced. In this paper, we study burn‐in procedure for a system that is maintained under periodic inspection and perfect repair policy. Assuming that the underlying lifetime distribution of a system has an initially decreasing and/or eventually increasing failure rate function, we derive upper and lower bounds for the optimal burn‐in time, which maximizes the system availability. Furthermore, adopting an age replacement policy, we derive upper and lower bounds for the optimal age parameter of the replacement policy for each fixed burn‐in time and a uniform upper bound for the optimal burn‐in time given the age replacement policy. These results can be used to reduce the numerical work for determining both optimal burn‐in time and optimal replacement policy. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

导弹仿真试验结果静态一致性检验及其置信度

分析了仿真试验结果与飞行试验结果进行静态一致性检验的方法,分为参数方法和非参数方法。然后讨论一致性检验的置信度,给出了置信度与弃真概率和采伪概率的关系并说明要选择恰当的显著性水平,以保证检验的置信度具有合理性。     

递进优化技术在汽油机工作过程优化计算中的应用

采用数学规化的方法优化汽油机的工作过程,可以在限制发动机热负荷、机械负荷、氧化氮排放和不爆震的条件下,使发动机在运行过程中经济性最好.但是要求得比较精确的优化解,一般要进行大量计算,花费较多机时.本文提出了一种分段、分层、分级的递进优化方法,应用于汽油机工作过程的优化计算中,取得了较好的效果.     

一种新型的武器系统试验训练设备─—零飞试验仪

零飞试验仪（以下简称零飞仪）是一种用于火炮武器系统瞄准精度的检查、试验和训练仪器。当火炮武器系统进行真实目标试验时,设定弹丸飞行时间等于零（即零飞工作方式）．火炮炮管轴线应该直接指向目标。零飞仪就是与这种工作方式相配合的试验仪器,它有广泛的推广应用价值,可用于火炮、导弹武器系统的陆上联调、靶场试验、维修和训练。该设备具有８０年代国际先进水平,填补了国内空白。     

风载荷对某发射装置待发射状态的影响

应用冯.卡门功率谱和谐波合成法生成了考虑脉动效应的瞬时风速时程曲线;计算了发射筒各段的等效风压及等效力矩,给出了作用于发射筒迎风面的风压总值及等效力矩;最后将载荷作为输入条件,进行动力学分析,获得了风载荷作用下发射装置的动态响应。通过分析可知:由于发射装置具有刚度强、质量大的特点,风载荷作用下发射装置的速度、加速度响应均较低,因此,风载荷主要影响发射筒的倾斜程度。     

外军反舰导弹装备使用现状及发展趋势研究

反舰导弹作为海上舰船＂杀手＂,其发展一直倍受各国海军关注。文章对反舰导弹的发展历程进行了回顾,对目前外军已经装备和正在研发的典型反舰导弹进行了分析和研究。以此为基础,对未来反舰导弹的发展趋势进行了探讨和展望,提出未来新型反舰导弹将趋于超远程化、超高速化、超隐身化、网络化和智能化。     

反恐工程支援装备国内外现状及发展

反恐工程支援装备是工程兵执行反恐维稳保障的重要手段,研究国内外反恐工程支援装备现状及发展趋势,便于我们掌握反恐支援工程装备发展的新动向、新技术、新材料的信息;汲取外军在工程支援装备研究中的经验,促进我军工程支援装备建设,不断适应多样化任务背景下对工程支援装备提出的新要求。     

Using container inspection history to improve interdiction logistics for illicit nuclear materials

Strengthening the United States' ability to prevent adversaries from smuggling nuclear materials into the country is a vital and ongoing issue. The prospect of additional countries, such as Iran, obtaining the know‐how and equipment to produce these special nuclear materials in the near future underscores the need for efficient and effective inspection policies at ports and border crossings. In addition, the reduction of defense and homeland security budgets in recent years has made it increasingly important to accomplish the interdiction mission with fewer funds. Addressing these complications, in this article, we present a novel two‐port interdiction model. We propose using prior inspection data as a low‐cost way of increasing overall interdiction performance. We provide insights into two primary questions: first, how should a decision maker at a domestic port use detection data from the foreign port to improve the overall detection capability? Second, what are potential limitations to the usefulness of prior inspection data—is it possible that using prior data actually harms decision making at the domestic port? We find that a boundary curve policy (BCP) that takes into account both foreign and domestic inspection data can provide a significant improvement in detection probability. This BCP also proves to be surprisingly robust, even if adversaries are able to infiltrate shipments during transit. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 60: 433‐448, 2013     

Efficient distributions of arms‐control inspection effort

A rule that constrains decision‐makers is enforced by an inspector who is supplied with a fixed level of inspection resources—inspection personnel, equipment, or time. How should the inspector distribute its inspection resources over several independent inspectees? What minimum level of resources is required to deter all violations? Optimal enforcement problems occur in many contexts; the motivating application for this study is the role of the International Atomic Energy Agency in support of the Treaty on the Non‐Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons. Using game‐theoretic models, the resource level adequate for deterrence is characterized in a two‐inspectee problem with inspections that are imperfect in the sense that violations can be missed. Detection functions, or probabilities of detecting a violation, are assumed to be increasing in inspection resources, permitting optimal allocations over inspectees to be described both in general and in special cases. When detection functions are convex, inspection effort should be concentrated on one inspectee chosen at random, but when they are concave it should be spread deterministicly over the inspectees. Our analysis provides guidance for the design of arms‐control verification operations, and implies that a priori constraints on the distribution of inspection effort can result in significant inefficiencies. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004.     

试论我国未来消防监督管理模式定位

当前我国消防监督管理工作模式仍与实际需要不相适应,积极创新、构建消防监督管理工作新模式,是强化消防工作,进一步推动社会和经济发展的需要。从当前消防监督管理模式的实际出发,尝试对该模式的未来改革定位进行分析,并提出了建议。