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The paper explores terrorist choice by applying two well-known theoretical frameworks: stochastic dominance and prospect theory (PT). We analyse each pair of attack methods that can be formed from the RAND-MIPT database and the Global Terrorism Database. Instances of stochastic dominance are identified. PT orderings are computed. Attention is accorded to the identification of ‘trigger points’ and the circumstances that may lead to an increased likelihood that a terrorist will select an attack method associated with a higher expected number of fatalities, i.e. a potentially more damaging attack method. 相似文献
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Jordan Becker 《Defense & Security Analysis》2017,33(2):131-157
While recent work has attempted to update the research agenda for transatiantic defense burden-sharing, there remain significant gaps between the public choice defense economics literature and the security studies literature. The presence of such a gap is unfortunate, because defense spending choices are likely shaped by factors identified by the public choice literature, as well as the strategic and cultural variables that the security studies literature tends to focus on, as well as domestic macroeconomic factors. The independent variables identified in recent qualitative literature are extremely useful analytically, and, fortunately, they have reasonable proxies in available quantitative data, which enables scholars to study them across large groups of countries and many years. This article builds upon such work to synthesize the most notable of the factors identified in the current literature, and offers some common analytical ground that will benefit both scholars and practitioners.. 相似文献
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张玉雁 《兵团教育学院学报》2006,16(1):14-17
中国古代戏剧家在戏剧人物艺术客体的选择上,同古希腊悲喜剧和印度梵剧迥然不同,表现出别具一格的建树和开拓性,初步形成了具有中国作风和中国气派的戏剧文化,并在这种戏剧文化中体现了中国古代剧作家们主体精神的独立不羁的自由品格和表现社会生活内容的无限广阔性。 相似文献
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本文运用SWOT分析方法对新疆高校开发中亚教育市场中面临的优势、劣势、机遇、威胁四个方面进行了全面分析。新疆留学生教育的发展,优势与劣势并存、机会与威胁同在,关键是如何充分利用优势、消除劣势。并借助SWOT模型中的不同战略组合提出了新疆开发中亚留学市场的的LCVP战略选择方式,为发展新疆留学生教育提供了依据。 相似文献
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本文以系统功能和评价系统理论为依据,分析《傲慢与偏见》中两封信的表现态度系统的语义资源。经过分析笔者发现两封信截然不同的语言表达方式是小说中不同人物性格的外在表现。小说是很好的语言学习材料,我们在分析小说的同时,也让我们欣赏到了作者刻画小说人物的精湛处理。 相似文献
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Keith Hartley 《Defence and Peace Economics》2013,24(5-6):409-426
What is the case for defence and is it a worthwhile investment? This question is addressed for two contrasting nations, namely, the UK and New Zealand. Economists have a set of standard analytical tools for addressing the question but they are difficult to operationalise. This paper provides policy‐relevant answers. 相似文献
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Whose preferences determine the tradeoff between security and civilian output in deciding upon budget allocations to defence? This paper considers the role that consumer preferences might play in influencing military spending. We propose normative criteria to judge the economic or political efficiency of defence provision at a given time, and test them using Australian survey‐based micro‐data. Our results suggest that the political system has not delivered a simple social‐choice translation of individual preferences into collective outcomes, nor has it delivered results consistent with simple majority‐voting median preferences. 相似文献