Nonperiodic preventive maintenance for repairable systems

As a complex system with multiple components usually deteriorates with age, preventive maintenance (PM) is often performed to keep the system functioning in a good state to prolong its effective age. In this study, a nonhomogeneous Poisson process with a power law failure intensity is used to describe the deterioration of a repairable system, and the optimal nonperiodic PM schedule can be determined to minimize the expected total cost per unit time. However, since the determination of such optimal PM policies may involve numerous uncertainties, which typically make the analyses difficult to perform because of the scarcity of data, a Bayesian decision model, which utilizes all available information effectively, is also proposed for determining the optimal PM strategies. A numerical example with a real failure data set is used to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach. The results show that the optimal schedules derived by Bayesian approach are relatively more conservative than that for non‐Bayesian approach because of the uncertainty of the intensity function, and if the intensity function are updated using the collected data set, which indicates more severe deterioration than the prior belief, replacing the entire system instead of frequent PM activities before serious deterioration is suggested. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

基于层次分析法的军校学员体能训练评估

针对目前军校学员军事体育训练评估难以量化考核的问题,提出了基于层次分析法的军校学员体能训练评估方法。首先,通过建立评估指标体系,构建评估指标判断矩阵;其次,进行归一化并计算指标组合权重,构建评估基本模型;最后,利用评估模型对学员体能训练进行综合评估。结果表明本文提出的方法能够对军校学员体能训练进行有效评估,相比于传统考核评估方法更能反映出学员体能的真实状况,突出学员体能特征,开展针对性训练。      

案例教学在建筑防火课程中的应用

案例教学是以学生为主体,教师为主导的一种创新教学法。在《建筑防火》课程中尝试开展案例教学法,以培养学生的实践能力和创新能力。     

一种改进的空袭目标威胁等级评估模型

量化判定空袭目标威胁等级是数字化战场信息融合的重要内容,也是未来联合防空作战中指挥决策系统合理分配作战资源的基本依据。但是,空袭目标威胁等级的评判标准至今尚未统一,本文首先使用AHP法建立空袭目标威胁等级层次分析模型,针对AHP法构建成对比较矩阵过于繁琐及各指标权重难以把握的弊端,只针对层次分析模型最下层的相关指标进行分析并提出量化方法,随后根据量化数值直接构建判断矩阵,并结合DELPHI法给出诸项评估指标的权重。最后,通过实例验证了该模型的有效性和准确性。     

SPC技术在导弹厚膜混合电路生产中的应用

SPC(统计过程控制)作为一种先进的质量管理方法,在国外企业被广泛采用,目前国内也有众多企业开始推行.分析了实施SPC的重要性,根据SPC技术在推广应用中的主要工作内容,给出了导弹厚膜混合电路生产中SPC技术的应用方法,包括关键工序节点和工艺参数的确定、工艺参数数据的采集、控制图的使用、工序能力评价以及所采用的控制技术等实际应用方面的内容.     

C4ISR体系结构设计方法

系统体系结构的设计在C4ISR系统开发中具有重要的地位,文章深入研究了目前运用广泛的三种C4ISR系统体系结构分析设计方法面向过程分析方法、面向对象设计方法和三维视图方法,分析了各种方法的优缺点并进行了比较;讨论了C4ISR体系结构设计方法和C4ISR系统本身的发展趋势以及两者之间的密切关系,对C4ISR系统体系结构的建设提出了自己的看法.     

软计算在污水处理过程控制中的应用

阐明了软计算技术在污水处理过程中应用的必要性、可行性及对行业所带来的社会效益和理论意义,着重分析了其在污水处理过程中的应用情况,简要探讨了软计算技术今后应深入研究的问题和方向,指出将软计算算法和智能控制策略结合起来有利于提高模型预测精度,提高过程控制系统动态响应能力。     

Fuzzy-AHP在军械软科研管理中的应用

本文采用群组Fuzzy-AHP对军械管理软科研成果进行综合评价,给出了一个简便、可行的评价标准。军械管理系统是一个复杂的开放系统,有诸多不确定的因素存在,我们认为要提出一个适应性较强的、具有浓缩内涵和广大外延的军械管理软科研成果的评价标准,必须遵守局部服从整体、近期效果与远期效果相结合、定性分析与定量分析相结合的原则。针对军械管理软科学研究的特点,本文建立了表征软科学成果的包括价值、质量、投入在内的指标体系,构成了多目标决策数学模型,运用层次分析的方法,结合模糊评判的手段,给出了模糊评判矩阵、综合评分与排序。     

Flow shop scheduling with earliness,tardiness, and intermediate inventory holding costs

We consider the problem of scheduling customer orders in a flow shop with the objective of minimizing the sum of tardiness, earliness (finished goods inventory holding), and intermediate (work‐in‐process) inventory holding costs. We formulate this problem as an integer program, and based on approximate solutions to two different, but closely related, Dantzig‐Wolfe reformulations, we develop heuristics to minimize the total cost. We exploit the duality between Dantzig‐Wolfe reformulation and Lagrangian relaxation to enhance our heuristics. This combined approach enables us to develop two different lower bounds on the optimal integer solution, together with intuitive approaches for obtaining near‐optimal feasible integer solutions. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first paper that applies column generation to a scheduling problem with different types of strongly ????‐hard pricing problems which are solved heuristically. The computational study demonstrates that our algorithms have a significant speed advantage over alternate methods, yield good lower bounds, and generate near‐optimal feasible integer solutions for problem instances with many machines and a realistically large number of jobs. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004.     

改进层次分析法在空面多目标攻击排序中的应用

建立了考虑目标的威胁、政治价值和经济价值属性的空面多目标攻击排序综合价值评估指标,应用模糊多属性理论和G.A.Miller九级量化理论对目标综合价值进行量化.建立了机群多目标攻击排序模型,采用熵值法求取各属性的权重从而构造判断矩阵,在此模型的基础上运用改进的层次分析法求解空面多目标攻击排序矩阵,从而为驾驶员的战术决策提供依据.