一种柔性抗攻击网络防护体系结构

网络攻击的复杂性、多变性、综合性等趋势对传统各自为政的网络防护系统提出了严峻挑战。为全面、持久、灵活地应对各种网络攻击,提出一种柔性抗攻击网络防护系统的体系结构。该体系结构以安全核为中心,结合认证、事件采集以及各种抗攻击指令的执行,共同完成网络防护任务,体现出网络防护系统的柔性及抗攻击性。     

BP神经网络的飞机机体研制费用估算

提出一种应用人工神经网络预测飞机机体研制费用的方法.该方法利用偏最小二乘法对飞机性能参数进行了主成分提取,用这些主成分作为BP网络的输入变量,建立了一种基于BP神经网络的飞机研制费用的估算模型,应用该模型对典型的飞机机体研制费用进行了预测.预测结果表明,该方法是有效的、可行的.     

基于对策论的舰载反潜机反潜作战兵力部署研究

为提高舰载反潜机反潜作战兵力部署的科学性,提升舰载反潜机反潜作战规划的能力,提出了一种基于对策论的舰载反潜机反潜作战兵力部署方法。首先推导了反潜机搜索条件下的潜艇生存概率模型,在此基础上,考虑潜艇打击能力、进攻目标价值等因素,构建了舰载反潜机反潜作战兵力部署maxminmax模型,给出了舰载反潜机反潜作战兵力部署maxminmax模型的求解算法,最后应用典型案例验证了模型的可行性和有效性。研究成果可为舰载反潜机反潜作战提供量化参考和实践依据。     

材料随机梁的有限元分析

提出一种以柔度为基础的具有随机刚度弯曲梁的有限元公式。在计算过程中 ,用与刚度均值有关的内力近似表示未知内力值。通过蒙特卡罗模拟可示出刚度的一维可靠性密度函数和相关函数 ,可用来估算柔度的均值和协方差函数。最后根据新的公式计算出随机梁的均值和协方差。     

Investment in production resource flexibility: An empirical investigation of methods for planning under uncertainty

We examine several methods for evaluating resource acquisition decisions under uncertainty. Traditional methods may underestimate equipment benefit when part of this benefit comes from decision flexibility. We develop a new, practical method for resource planning under uncertainty, and show that this approach is more accurate than several commonly used methods. We successfully applied our approach to an investment problem faced by a major firm in the aviation information industry. Our recommendations were accepted and resulted in estimated annual savings in excess of $1 million (US). © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2003     

被掩护地面固定目标不受空中打击分析

重点分析了被掩护地面固定目标不受空中打击的相关因素,并定量地分析了敌空袭兵器攻击地面被掩护目标时所需的数量,从而为地面防空建立最佳的防空部署提供依据。因为防空兵群对空袭兵器的射击次数与防空兵群的杀伤区面积成线性关系,所以在探讨如何部署防空兵力时,以防空兵群的杀伤区面积为准则来建立线性规划模型。     

基于“任务/过程”的作战飞机寿命周期过程模型的建立

在介绍传统过程建模方法的基础上,提出了＂任务/过程＂的概念,详细分析了作战飞机寿命周期过程中任务、过程的具体含义。探讨了作战飞机＂任务/过程＂的图形化描述方法,并将其与IDEF0建模工具结合起来建立作战飞机寿命周期过程模型,详细分析了过程模型中信息的含义,有利于对作战飞机寿命周期费用进行更加有效的控制。     

空投鱼雷最优落水点分析

针对反潜机使用空投鱼雷对潜实施攻击时的最优落水点问题,建立了鱼雷弹道模型、声纳自导系统发现模型、潜艇机动模型、均方差模型,对空投鱼雷对潜攻击过程进行了模拟仿真,得出了相对于不同舷角、距离的鱼雷发现概率,并确定了鱼雷的最优落水点,以期为部队合理使用空投鱼雷提供决策依据。     

Analysis of supply contracts with commitments and flexibility

In this article we address an important class of supply contracts called the Rolling Horizon Flexibility (RHF) contracts. Under such a contract, at the beginning of the horizon a buyer has to commit requirements for components for each period into the future. Usually, a supplier provides limited flexibility to the buyer to adjust the current order and future commitments in a rolling horizon manner. We present a general model for a buyer's procurement decision under RHF contracts. We propose two heuristics and derive a lower bound. Numerically, we demonstrate the effectiveness of the heuristics for both stationary and non‐stationary demands. We show that the heuristics are easy to compute, and hence, amenable to practical implementation. We also propose two measures for the order process that allow us to (a) evaluate the effectiveness of RHF contracts in restricting the variability in the orders, and (b) measure the accuracy of advance information vis‐a‐vis the actual orders. Numerically we demonstrate that the order process variability decreases significantly as flexibility decreases without a dramatic increase in expected costs. Our numerical studies provide several other managerial insights for the buyer; for example, we provide insights into how much flexibility is sufficient, the value of additional flexibility, the effect of flexibility on customer satisfaction (as measured by fill rate), etc. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

基于跨层协议模型的机间自组织网络优化研究

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