基于集对分析的海上油料补给方法选择优化

针对各种复杂环境对海上油料补给方法选择的不确定性影响,在分析海上油料补给方法选择影响因素的基础上,确定了海上油料补给方法选择的属性要素,运用集对分析理论建立了海上油料补给方法选择的优化模型;采用变异系数法计算属性权重,通过构建海上油料补给方法选择的正、负理想方案,确定了各备选方案与理想方案之间的联系度。算例分析结果表明,将集对分析运用于海上油料补给方法的选择,能够有效降低多种复杂因素对油料补给方法选择的不确定性影响。     

高架索的多体动力学模型

针对目前海上补给装备研制中尚无可用的高架索模型的现状,从多体动力学角度入手,研究了绳索多体系统动力学模型的建立方法,将绳索均匀划分为若干刚体单元,各单元之间采用球铰连接。用该方法建立了绳索的多刚体系统动力学模型,并在此基础上,应用仿真软件 ADAMS 对海上横向干货补给过程进行仿真计算。结果表明：海上补给高架索多刚体系统动力学模型完全可以模拟实际的高架索,且仿真计算结果与高架索力学振动模型的计算结果相比更贴近实际情况。     

海上横向补给系统高架索参数影响分析

在不考虑动载荷影响前提下,基于力学基本原理建立了海上横向补给系统高架索静挠度与张力的表达式,在此基础上,研究了张力、集中载荷、高架索两端高度差、高架索跨距等系统参数对高架索最大静挠度的影响.结果表明,在可控因素中,张力对高架索静挠度影响最大.最后,借助符号运算软件MatIlematica得到了货物沿整个高架索输送过程的运行轨迹,同时利用抛物线极值理论得到了货物输送危险点表达式.     

战时战区级弹药补给模型研究

建立了道路选择模型和车辆分配模型,并在这2个模型的基础上构建战时战区级弹药补给模型。     

Fixed‐interval joint‐replenishment policies for distribution systems with multiple retailers and stochastic demand

We consider a distribution system consisting of a central warehouse and a group of retailers facing independent stochastic demand. The retailers replenish from the warehouse, and the warehouse from an outside supplier with ample supply. Time is continuous. Most previous studies on inventory control policies for this system have considered stock‐based batch‐ordering policies. We develop a time‐based joint‐replenishment policy in this study. Let the warehouse set up a basic replenishment interval. The retailers are replenished through the warehouse in intervals that are integer multiples of the basic replenishment interval. No inventory is carried at the warehouse. We provide an exact evaluation of the long‐term average system costs under the assumption that stock can be balanced among the retailers. The structural properties of the inventory system are characterized. We show that, although it is well known that stock‐based inventory control policies dominate time‐based inventory control policies at a single facility, this dominance does not hold for distribution systems with multiple retailers and stochastic demand. This is because the latter can provide a more efficient mechanism to streamline inventory flow and pool retailer demand, even though the former may be able to use more updated stock information to optimize system performance. The findings of the study provide insights about the key factors that drive the performance of a multiechelon inventory control system. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 60: 637–651, 2013     

Warehouse sizing to minimize inventory and storage costs

This paper considers a warehouse sizing problem whose objective is to minimize the total cost of ordering, holding, and warehousing of inventory. Unlike typical economic lot sizing models, the warehousing cost structure examined here is not the simple unit rate type, but rather a more realistic step function of the warehouse space to be acquired. In the cases when only one type of stock‐keeping unit (SKU) is warehoused, or when multiple SKUs are warehoused, but, with separable inventory costs, closed form solutions are obtained for the optimal warehouse size. For the case of multi‐SKUs with joint inventory replenishment cost, a heuristic with a provable performance bound of 94% is provided. © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 48: 299–312, 2001     

The stochastic joint replenishment problem: A new policy,analysis, and insights

In this study, we propose a new parsimonious policy for the stochastic joint replenishment problem in a single‐location, N‐item setting. The replenishment decisions are based on both group reorder point‐group order quantity and the time since the last decision epoch. We derive the expressions for the key operating characteristics of the inventory system for both unit and compound Poisson demands. In a comprehensive numerical study, we compare the performance of the proposed policy with that of existing ones over a standard test bed. Our numerical results indicate that the proposed policy dominates the existing ones in 100 of 139 instances with comparably significant savings for unit demands. With batch demands, the savings increase as the stochasticity of demand size gets larger. We also observe that it performs well in environments with low demand diversity across items. The inventory system herein also models a two‐echelon setting with a single item, multiple retailers, and cross docking at the upper echelon. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

海上补给仿真训练系统中高架索形态模型研究

实景物理模型的开发是整个海上补给仿真训练系统的重点与难点,而高架索物理形态模型又是整个实景物理模型开发的核心.应用面向对象的建模方法,对横向干货补给过程中各阶段高架索所涉及的物理行为模型:悬链线计算模块、恒张力补偿阶段高架索形状计算模块、集中载荷作用高架索形状计算模块、卸载货物阶段高架索模块、架索演示阶段计算模块和装备撤出演示模块进行研究,从而建立海上补给仿真训练高架索形态模型,为模拟仿真训练的开发奠定了坚实的数学基础.     

Dynamic pricing and replenishment: Optimality,bounds, and asymptotics

In many applications, managers face the problem of replenishing and selling products during a finite time horizon. We investigate the problem of making dynamic and joint decisions on product replenishment and selling in order to improve profit. We consider a backlog scenario in which penalty cost (resulting from fulfillment delay) and accommodation cost (resulting from shortage at the end of the selling horizon) are incurred. Based on continuous‐time and discrete‐state dynamic programming, we study the optimal joint decisions and characterize their structural properties. We establish an upper bound for the optimal expected profit and develop a fluid policy by resorting to the deterministic version of the problem (ie, the fluid problem). The fluid policy is shown to be asymptotically optimal for the original stochastic problem when the problem size is sufficiently large. The static nature of the fluid policy and its lack of flexibility in matching supply with demand motivate us to develop a “target‐inventory” heuristic, which is shown, numerically, to be a significant improvement over the fluid policy. Scenarios with discrete feasible sets and lost‐sales are also discussed in this article.     

舰艇编队海上运输补给物资需求预测方法

按照是否与任务、事件相关,将物资需求分为两类,对于任务、事件相关物资需求的预测,将任务进行合理的分解,并根据物资消耗与任务、事件之间的关系,给出了预测的一般模型;对于与任务、事件联系不紧密的物资需求的预测,则根据历史经验及该物资固有的消耗规律,提出了经验预测模型。为了解决舰艇编队海上运输补给物资需求预测所存在的问题,利用案例推理的方法生成了预测所需的样本数据,以最小二乘向量机(LSSVM)模型为预测模型,并以岛屿进攻作战的防空弹药需求预测为例进行了实例分析。结果表明:案例推理生成的样本数据可用,选用LSSVM模型的预测结果与其他预测模型表现出了一致性,但LSSVM相对误差较小;该方法在某种程度上解决了样本数据有限的问题,适用于作战物资需求的预测问题。