一种基于条件概率的设备占用率修正算法

简要介绍了某型无人机维修级别分析中的组合方案法 ,针对传统分析法中设备占用率采用经验值 ,造成可信度低的问题 ,提出了一种基于不同故障模式发生时的条件概率求解设备占用率的算法 ,并给出了这种算法的适用范围。     

Quantifying the performance effects of idle time utilization in multiserver systems

In many practical multiserver queueing systems, servers not only serve randomly arriving customers but also work on the secondary jobs with infinite backlog during their idle time. In this paper, we propose a c‐server model with a two‐threshold policy, denoted by (e d), to evaluate the performance of this class of systems. With such a policy, when the number of idle servers has reached d (<c), then e (<d) idle agents will process secondary jobs. These e servers keep working on the secondary jobs until they find waiting customers exist in the system at a secondary job completion instant. Using the matrix analytic method, we obtain the stationary performance measures for evaluating different (e, d) policies. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007.     

部分服务台同步多重休假的GI/M/c稳态队长

在经典GI/M/c排队中引入部分服务台同步多重休假策略,利用拟单生过程和矩阵几何解的方法,求解系统的稳态队长分布及其条件随机分解。     

聚二甲基硅烷高压合成聚碳硅烷的组成与结构分析

以聚二甲基硅烷(PDMS)为原料,在高压釜内450℃下反应6h,制备了聚碳硅烷(PCS)先驱体。对其组成及结构进行了表征,推测了PCS的大致结构模型。研究表明,PCS分子包含Si CH3、Si CH2 Si、Si H组成的SiC4、SiC3H等结构单元,实验式为SiC1.87H7.13O0.03。与常压高温裂解制备的软化点相近的PCS相比,二者的元素组成基本一致,高压合成的PCS具有较高的分子量和硅氢含量,但支化度略高。     

自由贸易区对中蒙经济合作的影响

自由贸易区是自由经济区的一个功能类型。在中蒙边境二连浩特口岸 (对应口岸为扎门乌德 )地区辟建自由贸易区对中蒙双边经济合作将产生积极的影响 :跨边境的更广域范围内形成资源要素的最佳配置 ,提升中蒙边境经济乃至整个经济合作的内容和层次 ;提高对彼此的出口 ,积累各自所稀缺的资本技术及经验 ;大大刺激彼此为对象的直接投资 ;为边境区域经济发展创建一个“增长极” ,改善双边合作的经济环境 ,从而扩展两国经济合作的空间。     

Insurgent courts in civil wars: the three pathways of (trans)formation in today’s Syria (2012–2017)

As part of research on the meso-foundations of conflict, the field of ‘rebel governance’ examines political institutions that regulate the affairs of civilians in wartime as well as their relations with armed actors. Judicial institutions play an important role in this and research has shown that they are widespread among both historical and current insurgencies. However, usually these bodies have been analysed in the context of one hegemonic faction like the Tamil Tigers in Sri Lanka and the Afghan Taliban. What is missing so far is an analysis of different pathways of (trans)formation of rebel courts. As exemplified by the three case studies of judicial institutions in Eastern Ghouta, Idlib and Aleppo, these are shaped by the distribution of power between ‘same-side’ groups, yielding unipolar, bipolar, or multipolar constellations. The analysis is located on the meso or movement level of insurgent social structures, complementing research on the micro and macro levels.     

The Taliban's ‘military courts’

The Taliban's ‘code of conduct’, which lists rules of discipline for the fighters, has been widely discussed, but do the Taliban try to implement it? This article discusses the structures that the Taliban have put in place for this purpose and their evolution over the years. It assesses that while the Taliban's ‘military justice’ system is still work in progress, the fact that it has attracted a significant investment in human resources bears witness to a serious intent of the leadership. However, the Taliban's concern with the behaviour of their fighting force is driven by their own political calculus, not by any sympathy for the international law of conflict.     

病态线性回归模型系数的0─c型岭估计

针对病态线性模型病态的实质,提出回归系数的０－ｃ型岭估计。首先研究它的均方误差的最优化问题,给出了参数的最优值或最优值的一个上界和下界,证明可以选择参数,使它在均方误差的意义下优于ＬＳ估计。其次,研究它的偏差,证明存在０－ｃ型岭估计优于ＬＳ估计,且比岭估计β（ｋ）具有较小偏差。最后证明它的可容许性,并讨论在实用中它的岭参数选择方法的优点。     

我国宪法监督之管见

我国宪法监督制度存在缺陷 ,特别是没有专门的宪法监督机制。试图从我国现行宪法的监督机制、我国宪法监督制度的缺陷、我国宪法监督体制的模式设计三个方面探究符合我国国情的宪法监督机制。