近程防御体系作战的计算机仿真研究

未来海战将是高技术条件下的局部战争,作战模式是体系与体系的对抗。因此,应从作战体系的角度研究作战。本文就是对未来自备式近程防御体系进行计算机仿真研究,仿真系统的两台计算机之间通过ＲＳ２３２连接。仿真软件主要包括指控系统软件部分、指控系统界面设计部分、对体系的动画仿真演示制作部分、通信部分设计等。     

Contracts and coordination: Supply chains with uncertain demand and supply

Considering a supply chain with a supplier subject to yield uncertainty selling to a retailer facing stochastic demand, we find that commonly studied classical coordination contracts fail to coordinate both the supplier's production and the retailer's procurement decisions and achieve efficient performance. First, we study the vendor managed inventory (VMI) partnership. We find that a consignment VMI partnership coupled with a production cost subsidy achieves perfect coordination and a win‐win outcome; it is simple to implement and arbitrarily allocates total channel profit. The production cost subsidy optimally chosen through Nash bargaining analysis depends on the bargaining power of the supplier and the retailer. Further, motivated by the practice that sometimes the retailer and the supplier can arrange a “late order,” we also analyze the behavior of an advance‐purchase discount (APD) contract. We find that an APD with a revenue sharing contract can efficiently coordinate the supply chain as well as achieve flexible profit allocation. Finally, we explore which coordination contract works better for the supplier vs. the retailer. It is interesting to observe that Nash bargaining solutions for the two coordination contracts are equivalent. We further provide recommendations on the applications of these contracts. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 305–319, 2016     

新大纲要求下的演示实验进课堂教学模式探索

军队院校生长军官通用基础课程教学大纲中的大学物理部分对于演示实验进课堂提出了明确而具体的要求。建设专用演示实验教室,不但能够满足新大纲的教学要求,而且对于实现实践性教学模式改革、为学生开展科研创新活动提供实践平台、发挥大学物理教学的对外交流功能都有重要作用。这一教学模式改革更能适应我校培养通用专业人才和联合保障人才的培养目标。     

校园可持续建筑实践——后勤工程学院绿色建筑示范楼设计

基于生态优先原则的可持续建筑贯彻了环保、节能、健康及舒适等理念,后勤工程学院绿色建筑示范楼设计充分体现了建筑可持续性目标,设计建造的全过程都考虑室内外环境因素及生态影响,结合工种的划分,从环境生态化补偿、建筑结构体系优化、室内环境控制、能源系统平衡、水资源循环利用及智能化监控等6个方面,由外到内对建筑进行可持续设计策略和技术的整合,充分发挥了技术集成的优势。     

基于装备全寿命周期的装备需求论证研究

在研究装备需求论证和装备全寿命周期基本理论的基础上,建立了"螺旋型"的装备全寿命周期模型,依据该模型将装备全寿命周期划分为需求论证、方案设计、演示验证、工程研制、生产部署、使用保障和退役报废7个阶段。分析了基于装备全寿命周期的装备需求论证的基本概念,将装备需求论证的工作过程划分为需求生成与确认、需求修正与实现、需求验证与反馈3个阶段,并阐述了3个阶段的主要工作内容。     

Optimal control policies for an inventory system with commitment lead time

We consider a firm which faces a Poisson customer demand and uses a base‐stock policy to replenish its inventories from an outside supplier with a fixed lead time. The firm can use a preorder strategy which allows the customers to place their orders before their actual need. The time from a customer's order until the date a product is actually needed is called commitment lead time. The firm pays a commitment cost which is strictly increasing and convex in the length of the commitment lead time. For such a system, we prove the optimality of bang‐bang and all‐or‐nothing policies for the commitment lead time and the base‐stock policy, respectively. We study the case where the commitment cost is linear in the length of the commitment lead time in detail. We show that there exists a unit commitment cost threshold which dictates the optimality of either a buy‐to‐order (BTO) or a buy‐to‐stock strategy. The unit commitment cost threshold is increasing in the unit holding and backordering costs and decreasing in the mean lead time demand. We determine the conditions on the unit commitment cost for profitability of the BTO strategy and study the case with a compound Poisson customer demand.     

分布式结构的坦克火控仿真系统的研究

采用现代仿真技术,分布式结构战车火控仿真系统在完成火控系统动态特性仿真任务后,可实现新火控系统研制过程的先期技术演示,并可为装备论证研究提供先进的仿真手段。此外还分析了以DIS结构接入到作战仿真系统的可能性和现实性。     

Production to order and off‐line inspection when the production process is partially observable

This study combines inspection and lot‐sizing decisions. The issue is whether to INSPECT another unit or PRODUCE a new lot. A unit produced is either conforming or defective. Demand need to be satisfied in full, by conforming units only. The production process may switch from a “good” state to a “bad” state, at constant rate. The proportion of conforming units in the good state is higher than in the bad state. The true state is unobservable and can only be inferred from the quality of units inspected. We thus update, after each inspection, the probability that the unit, next candidate for inspection, was produced while the production process was in the good state. That “good‐state‐probability” is the basis for our decision to INSPECT or PRODUCE. We prove that the optimal policy has a simple form: INSPECT only if the good‐state‐probability exceeds a control limit. We provide a methodology to calculate the optimal lot size and the expected costs associated with INSPECT and PRODUCE. Surprisingly, we find that the control limit, as a function of the demand (and other problem parameters) is not necessarily monotone. Also, counter to intuition, it is possible that the optimal action is PRODUCE, after revealing a conforming unit. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

基于WBS的装备作战需求联合论证任务流程设计方法

针对装备作战需求联合论证中任务分解与协同困难的问题,以构建融合业务活动与管理活动的集成论证活动为目标,提出了基于WBS的装备作战需求论证活动分解方法,分析了装备作战需求论证活动分解的原理、原则和活动表示方法,研究了业务活动与管理活动的WBS分解过程,研究了业务活动与管理活动的集成方法和协同分析方法,初步构建了基于WBS的装备作战需求联合论证任务流程模型,为进一步优化和调整装备作战需求论证流程、提高论证工作效率和成果质量提供了新的方法。     

An adaptive forecasting algorithm and inventory policy for products with short life cycles

Products with short life cycles are becoming increasingly common in many industries, such as the personal computer (PC) and mobile phone industries. Traditional forecasting methods and inventory policies can be inappropriate for forecasting demand and managing inventory for a product with a short life cycle because they usually do not take into account the characteristics of the product life cycle. This can result in inaccurate forecasts, high inventory cost, and low service levels. Besides, many forecasting methods require a significant demand history, which is available only after the product has been sold for some time. In this paper, we present an adaptive forecasting algorithm with two characteristics. First, it uses structural knowledge on the product life cycle to model the demand. Second, it combines knowledge on the demand that is available prior to the launch of the product with actual demand data that become available after the introduction of the product to generate and update demand forecasts. Based on the forecasting algorithm, we develop an optimal inventory policy. Since the optimal inventory policy is computationally expensive, we propose three heuristics and show in a numerical study that one of the heuristics generates near‐optimal solutions. The evaluation of our approach is based on demand data from a leading PC manufacturer in the United States, where the forecasting algorithm has been implemented. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004.