利用最小二乘支持向量机求解潜艇内外磁场映射模型

为提高潜艇磁隐身能力,应对潜艇固定磁场进行实时监测,提出利用最小二乘支持向量机的潜艇内外磁场映射方法。结合内外映射法和最小二乘支持向量机原理,通过交叉验证优化模型参数,建立由内到外的潜艇磁场映射模型。以潜艇外部垂向固定磁场变化量为分析对象,仿真和实验结果均与标准值吻合良好。与径向基神经网络算法相比,该方法的泛化能力和推算精度有明显提高,且更符合工程实际,对闭环消磁技术的研究具有指导意义。     

Military Spending,Conflict and External Debt in Sub-Saharan Africa

The damaging economic effects of the debt crises on Africa in the late 1980s encouraged considerable research on the determinants of external debt in developing economies. Although sub-Saharan Africa's (SSA) debt was cut by two-thirds by 2008, through two debt relief programmes, debt in the region has since been rising at an increasingly rapid pace. This study provides an empirical analysis of the determinants of external debt in SSA over the period 1960–2016, using dynamic panel methods. It also considers two potentially important factors that have received relatively little attention. One is military spending, rarely considered, despite a number of well-publicised scandals over the procurement of unnecessary and expensive high-tech weapons systems. A second, is the possibility that the countries studied have been involved in conflict. The empirical results point to a positive impact of military spending on external debt, but with some evidence of heterogeneity across the countries. Furthermore, findings indicate that the positive effect of military expenditure on debt becomes more marked in countries that have been affected by conflict. These results imply that policies to improve security and reduce military spending could be beneficial in reducing external debt and, potentially, improving economic performance in the region.     

WRF模拟太原地区气象场特征及对弹丸的影响

在用WRF模拟太原地区2014年3月19号天气状况的基础上,得出该地区气象场特征,检验WRF模式在复杂地形下的模拟预报能力,并讨论了模拟的气象场对弹丸飞行造成的可能影响。结果表明:WRF模拟的气象场与真实大气比较接近;在该气象场背景下,射程为90 km的某弹丸由纵风引起射程误差较大,约为1 293.85 m,由横风在落点产生的横向偏差为304.85 m,由温度引起的射程偏差很小约为12.93 m。可见,实际大气对弹丸射击精度的影响是可观的,用WRF模拟的流场计算气象因素对弹丸射击精度的影响是有意义的。     

National security,military spending and the business cycle

This paper develops a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model where national security is an argument in the agent’s utility function and the government chooses optimally the level of military spending to maximize social welfare. National defense depends on military expenditure and on the strategic environment reflecting a potential hostile external threat. We use aggregate data on consumption, investment, and military spending for the US economy to estimate the parameters of the model. Estimation results suggest that consumption and national defense are complements and that military spending variability is mainly explained by external threat shocks although it also depends on the macroeconomic conditions. We compute impulse response functions of the main macroeconomic variables to several shocks: a total factor productivity shock, a defense technology shock, and a strategic environment shock. Surprisingly, we find that the optimal response to an increase in the external threat (a worsening in the strategic environment) will rise output by reducing consumption and increasing investment.     

自然风对旋转弹丸外弹道性能影响的仿真研究

为研究自然风对旋转弹丸外弹道性能的影响,基于坐标变换理论考虑了地球曲率变化对刚体弹道模型的作用,分析了自然风对各气动力和气动力矩的影响,建立了非标准条件下的刚体外弹道模型。应用该模型对某105mm榴弹不同风速、风向下的外弹道过程进行仿真,结果表明,自然风对飞行弹丸的攻角姿态有较大影响,进而影响弹丸的射程和方向偏移量;自然风对弹丸攻角姿态的影响在弹丸飞行的初始阶段风速大小起主要作用,而在弹丸飞行的中间阶段则是风矢方向起主要作用。     

狮子搏兔,亦用全力——谈《水浒传》对几个小情节的处理

《水浒传》的情节所体现出的作者的艺术造诣,一直为读者和批评家津津乐道。对于三个女人的情节,体现了现代文学理论的设计理念,值得我们重视。本文试从因果逻辑这一规律来考察这三个相似情节中的相异性,从中我们可以看出作者深厚的艺术功底。     

Reforming the notion of national sovereignty by external intervention

In principle, national sovereignty is the right of a nation to govern its internal affairs without foreign interference. In practice, it is defined by one's interpretation of international law, which may permit legal external intervention under some circumstances, ultimately removing a nation's sovereignty. This paper will examine the current system of international law outlined by the United Nations, analyse the ambiguities contained within its Charter and elaborate on how external intervention can be justified. The case-study of recent developments related to Libya will demonstrate that the manner in which international law is interpreted is changing the notion of principles of sovereignty.     

基于心理调查和空间干预的人群心理仿真

突发危机事件中人群心理评估是当前危机管理急需解决的难点问题.由于突发危机事件群体心理数据采集的困难性和人群心理变化的复杂性等原因,传统方法很难准确评估群体心理效果.随着计算机科学的发展,建模仿真成为解决这类问题的有效手段.以复杂适应系统理论为指导,采用基于Agent的建模与仿真方法,研究外部事件刺激下群体的心理行为,构...     

浅谈维和警察防暴队战术协同

研究维和警察防暴队战术协同的特点、原则和方法,一方面可以丰富维和警察防暴队教学的基础理论,另一方面也可为维和警察防暴队在任务区执行任务提供理论支持。     

外挂式导弹机弹分离气动干扰特性研究

以经典的机翼/挂架/导弹组合模型为例,采用重叠网格软件系统和计算流体力学技术,从机弹干扰工况简化和气动干扰特性影响因素分析两个方面对外挂式导弹机弹分离气动干扰特性进行研究。导弹分离轨迹参数和气动干扰系数的数值预示结果与捕获轨迹试验结果吻合,表明该计算方法能有效预测机弹分离轨迹和分析导弹与载机间复杂气动干扰现象。根据计算流体力学结果,从马赫数、机翼攻角、导弹攻角等方面,给出导弹在不同分离工况下的气动干扰规律,并采用增量系数法对缺失工况进行一阶外插处理的气动干扰数据外推方法,可应用于机载外挂空基武器的机弹分离轨迹预示和气动干扰特性设计中,具有重要的工程应用价值。