An attacker‐defender model for analyzing the vulnerability of initial attack in wildfire suppression

Wildfire managers use initial attack (IA) to control wildfires before they grow large and become difficult to suppress. Although the majority of wildfire incidents are contained by IA, the small percentage of fires that escape IA causes most of the damage. Therefore, planning a successful IA is very important. In this article, we study the vulnerability of IA in wildfire suppression using an attacker‐defender Stackelberg model. The attacker's objective is to coordinate the simultaneous ignition of fires at various points in a landscape to maximize the number of fires that cannot be contained by IA. The defender's objective is to optimally dispatch suppression resources from multiple fire stations located across the landscape to minimize the number of wildfires not contained by IA. We use a decomposition algorithm to solve the model and apply the model on a test case landscape. We also investigate the impact of delay in the response, the fire growth rate, the amount of suppression resources, and the locations of fire stations on the success of IA.     

稀布阵下宽带多波束组合印证测向算法

在稀布阵下,对信号强度不同的多个信号进行多波束测向时,由于波束主瓣较宽,副瓣较高,因而无法分辨信号到达方向。针对此问题,提出了一种新的多波束测向算法,即多波束组合印证测向算法。该方法充分利用高副瓣的特点,建立多波束学习训练匹配表,通过查表综合判定信号到达方向。仿真实验结果表明:该算法很好地解决了稀布阵下对同时到达阵元的多个信号测向问题,且算法简单,运算量小,测向精度较好,具有很好的工程应用价值。     

穿甲弹对自行火炮易损性分析与计算

分析了自行火炮在穿甲弹作用下的易损性,建立了自行火炮易损性计算模型,并以某型自行火炮为例,分别计算了该炮在120mm穿甲弹正面命中与侧面命中时的毁伤概率。     

脉冲激光测距机测距能力检测方法分析

激光测距机的测距能力是激光测距机最主要的性能指标之一,是激光测距机有关性能参数的一种综合反映。国内外有代表性的检验方法有三种：最大测程法、消光比测试法和光纤模拟目标测试法。根据激光测距机原理和影响测距能力的各种因素以及生产验收的实践,对三种检验激光测距机测距能力的方法进行了分析。     

松耦合设计在计算机脆弱性测评系统中的应用

运用松耦合设计思想,对计算机脆弱性测评系统中两个子系统的组成和实现进行了研究。提出多准则测评子系统的Web数据库实现和CVE测评子系统的多层MAS实现方法,并对其实现算法和技术要点进行了论述。     

基于遗传算法的信息系统安全技术方案

组织如何制定优化的信息安全技术方案以降低脆弱性对其信息系统的威胁,是信息安全管理领域的关键问题。在描述信息系统安全技术方案决策模型的基础上,提出了一种求解信息系统安全技术方案优化问题的自适应遗传算法,使得组织能以最少的方案实施费用最大限度地处置脆弱性,并以实例说明了该算法的有效性。     

基于可信度的网络安全性分析方法

提出了一个基于可信度方法的网络安全性分析模型。该模型在脆弱点信息、脆弱点之间的关系、脆弱点与安全性的关系的表示中引入可信度因子,通过不确定推理对主机和网络的安全性进行分析。该模型能综合考虑诸多因素,有效处理安全性分析中的不确定知识。     

Human security in pastoralist areas of Eastern Africa

Abstract

Pastoralist groups in Eastern Africa are extremely vulnerable as a result of inter-community conflicts, the harsh terrain, and unfavourable climatic conditions. They have been neglected by successive regimes on matters of socio-economic development. At present pastoralist areas in Eastern Africa have the lowest literacy rates and insufficient health care facilities. This article interrogates the historical relationship between governments, humanitarian groups and pastoralists. It notes with great concern that pastoralists have been branded as hunger-stricken populations with insignificant economic potential that can be harnessed from their day-to-day livelihood. They are treated as sedentary populations who need a constant supply of relief food to keep going. In order to reverse these misconceptions, the article places emphasis on mitigating the threats of intra-community conflicts, diseases and natural disasters through investment in social schemes and infrastructure in order to open up the areas for service provision. Indeed, for a majority of the pastoralists, insecurity comes not so much from traditional security concerns, but from human insecurity concerns about their survival, preservation of their lifestyle and well-being in a day-to-day context.     

基于话题模型的专家发现方法

专家发现是实体检索的一个重要方面。经典的专家发现模型建立在专家与词项的条件独立性假设基础上。在实际应用中该假设通常不成立,使得专家发现的效果不够理想。本文提出了一种基于话题模型的专家发现方法,该方法无需依赖候选专家与词项的条件独立性假设,且其可操作性比经典模型更强。同时,使用了一种排序截断技术,该技术极大地降低了模型的计算复杂度。使用CERC(CSIRO Enterprise Research Collection)数据集对模型的性能进行评估。实验结果表明,基于话题模型的专家发现方法在各个评价指标上均优于经典的专家发现模型,能够有效地提高专家发现的效能。     

雷达侦察比幅测向系统干扰技术

重点分析了比幅测向系统的原理,在此基础上提出对其进行"主动反侦察"干扰的方法,推导了受到干扰下比幅测向系统的测量结果公式,讨论了不同条件下的干扰效果,并通过仿真进行验证。