内外干扰因素对液体火箭发动机的影响分析

在已有的液体火箭发动机稳态工况的非线性数学模型基础上,计算分析了单干扰因素对液体火箭发动机参数的影响,用非线性方法和小偏差方法对比分析了两个干扰因素分别和共同对发动机参数的影响。所得结论可用于泵压式燃气发生器循环的液体火箭发动机试验结果分析、可靠性及故障分析,也揭示了此类发动机参数随各种干扰因素的变化规律     

The Gravity of Arms

The aim of this paper is to investigate the determinants of international arms transfers in a gravity model framework. By distinguishing between the decision to export arms (extensive margin) and the value of the arms exported (intensive margin), while also considering its interdependence, is what differentiates this paper from previous research. A theoretically justified gravity model of trade augmented with political and security motives is estimated using a two-stage panel data approach for 104 exporting countries over the period from 1950 to 2007. In addition to the usual gravity variables related to the economic mass of the trading countries and the trade cost factors, the model is extended with political and security factors. The level of democracy in both trading partners, political differences between trading partners and voting similarity with the United States in the UN General Assembly of the countries engaged in trade are the main political factors, whereas the existence of conflicts, military pacts, and embargoes are taken as security motives. The key result indicates that both political and security motives are an important determinant of an arms trade, but their effects on the extensive margin of exports (the decision to order a transfer) differs from their effect on the intensive margin (average value of exports). Moreover, the relative importance of the factors under study has changed since 1989. In the post-cold war period, countries that are less democratic are more likely to export arms, military pacts are less relevant and embargoes play a role.     

空降作战的制约因素及前瞻

空降力量是联合作战力量的重要组成部分,空降作战是实施高技术条件下作战的重要手段,因此也是各国争相研究的课题,而空降作战指挥是制约空降作战效能发挥的主要因素。本文从空降作战指挥的特点出发,剖析了空降作战指挥的影响因素,通过对现代战争的形势分析对空降作战指挥的发展趋势做出了合理的预判。      

防空兵指挥决策系统及其运行环境的影响

决策者、决策辅助人员和指挥决策信息系统是部队指挥决策系统的基本组成部分,防空兵指挥自动化和决策支持系统则是指挥决策信息系统的一部分,环境因素和决策信息是影响防空兵指挥决策系统的重要因素.从系统的观点阐述了防空兵指挥决策系统与内外环境因素的关系,提出在新技术条件下,系统信息是防空兵指挥决策系统的又一组成要素.从这个观点出发,可以准确、全面地了解和分析系统环境因素对防空兵指挥决策系统影响,最终达到提高防空兵指挥决策效能的目的.     

加强和改进大学生思想政治工作的思考

新形势下的大学生思想政治工作面临着许多新的挑战,如何在新形势下开展大学生思想政治工作是广大高校工作者必须思考的一个重要课题。分析大学生思想政治工作面临的新情况、新问题,提出相关对策对加强和改进大学生思想政治工作具有重要的现实意义。     

C2关系网络演化生成特性分析*

在网络中心作战背景下,为了探索"聚力前沿"(Power to the Edge)现实要求下的指挥控制(C2)关系动态演化规律,讨论了两种实元的加入策略模型:"信息最优加入"策略(BIMS)和"随机加入"策略(RMS):提出了信息资源利用率、信息资源命中率、信息传输有效率等三个指挥控制关系网络效能指标和一种加权评价方法.通过对仿真结果的分析,发现了BIMS策略下C2关系网络演化过程中存在的自组织、自适应现象,得出了BIMS策略下C2关系网络将具有无尺度网络特征这一结论.最后,比较了BIMS策略和RMS策略下的C2关系网效能和抗随机干扰能力,发现前者优于后者,而且BIMS策略下C2关系网具有逐渐优化的能力.     

和谐警民关系构建过程中的不良因素规避

构建和谐警民关系在当前公安工作中具有全局性意义。在和谐社会建设正成为时代精神精华的背景下,和谐警民关系的构建不仅具有历史逻辑的可能性,而且具有改善社会关系、化解各种矛盾、维护社会公平正义、全面促进社会和谐的根本意义和现实需求。面对队伍建设的新情况、新局面,和谐警民关系的构建应立足现状,分析局面,寻求对策,以利公安工作和队伍建设再上新台阶。     

对学员思想政治教育针对性的调查与思考

学员思想政治教育存在观念、内容、方式、队伍建设等方面诸多问题,急需有针对性地加以解决。应本着发现问题、分析问题和解决问题的思路,透过现象看本质,提出加强学员思想政治教育策略,着力在突出变、精、活、实、新上下功夫。     

When are strategic narratives effective? The shaping of political discourse through the interaction between political myths and strategic narratives

Most research on strategic narratives has explored their creation, and their interaction with other elements of national power in the conduct of foreign policy. Yet, the issue of how the targeted political communities receive those strategic narratives, and thus how those narratives are likely to have a political impact, is understudied. This article argues that in order to understand the ways strategic narrative are received within a political community, political myths must be taken into account. It introduces a typology of political myths based on their degree of universality and their degree of coherence with other myths, and shows how those factors influence the reception of strategic narratives. These mechanisms are illustrated through a study of the reception of the Russian strategic narrative in France. This approach offers opportunities to assess the differentiated impact strategic narratives have on political communities.     

Clinical Characterization of Insomnia among Veterans with PTSD: Identifying Risk Factors for Diagnosis and Treatment with Sedative-Hypnotics

Abstract

Insomnia is prevalent among Veterans with post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), it exacerbates PTSD symptoms, and it contributes to impaired functioning and quality of life. To improve treatment outcomes, it is important to identify risk factors for insomnia and sedative-hypnotic use. Classification and regression trees and logistic regression models were used to identify variables associated with insomnia or sedative-hypnotic use. Key findings include low insomnia diagnosis rates (3.5–5.6%) and high rates of sedative-hypnotics (44.2–49.0%). Younger Veterans and those without a breathing-related sleep disorder (BRSD) were more likely to receive an insomnia diagnosis. Veterans with greater service connection and those with an alcohol/substance use disorder were more likely to be prescribed sedative-hypnotics. Interaction terms may have identified potential groups at risk of being under-diagnosed with insomnia (i.e. non-black Veterans with psychiatric co-morbidity, black Veterans without psychiatric co-morbidity) as well as groups at risk for sedative-hypnotic use (i.e. younger Veterans without BRSD). In sum, Veterans with PTSD have high rates of sedative-hypnotic use despite minimal evidence they are effective. This is counter to recommendations indicating behavioral interventions are the first-line treatment. Policy changes are needed to reduce use of sedative-hypnotics and increase access to behavioral insomnia interventions.