The Gravity of Arms

The aim of this paper is to investigate the determinants of international arms transfers in a gravity model framework. By distinguishing between the decision to export arms (extensive margin) and the value of the arms exported (intensive margin), while also considering its interdependence, is what differentiates this paper from previous research. A theoretically justified gravity model of trade augmented with political and security motives is estimated using a two-stage panel data approach for 104 exporting countries over the period from 1950 to 2007. In addition to the usual gravity variables related to the economic mass of the trading countries and the trade cost factors, the model is extended with political and security factors. The level of democracy in both trading partners, political differences between trading partners and voting similarity with the United States in the UN General Assembly of the countries engaged in trade are the main political factors, whereas the existence of conflicts, military pacts, and embargoes are taken as security motives. The key result indicates that both political and security motives are an important determinant of an arms trade, but their effects on the extensive margin of exports (the decision to order a transfer) differs from their effect on the intensive margin (average value of exports). Moreover, the relative importance of the factors under study has changed since 1989. In the post-cold war period, countries that are less democratic are more likely to export arms, military pacts are less relevant and embargoes play a role.     

内置频率对Duffing振子微弱二进制相移键控信号盲检测影响

采用Duffing振子实现对微弱二进制相移键控（Binary Phase Shift Keying, BPSK）信号的盲检测时,Duffing系统输出的周期态和混沌态转换之间存在过渡带。针对这一问题,推导出过渡带时长和Duffing系统内置频率之间的关系表达式;指出内置频率越高,过渡带时间越短;仿真实验给出时间频率响应曲线。内置频率的提高,会降低系统检测微弱信号的灵敏度。针对这一问题,推导出周期态下Duffing系统输出幅度作为因变量、内置频率作为自变量的表达式;仿真实验给出幅频响应曲线。针对微弱BPSK信号盲检测,建立变尺度方法和检测阵列相结合的基于S变换提取Duffing系统输出幅度包络的微弱BPSK信号盲检测模型,仿真实验验证了模型方法的有效性。     

加强和改进大学生思想政治工作的思考

新形势下的大学生思想政治工作面临着许多新的挑战,如何在新形势下开展大学生思想政治工作是广大高校工作者必须思考的一个重要课题。分析大学生思想政治工作面临的新情况、新问题,提出相关对策对加强和改进大学生思想政治工作具有重要的现实意义。     

对学员思想政治教育针对性的调查与思考

学员思想政治教育存在观念、内容、方式、队伍建设等方面诸多问题,急需有针对性地加以解决。应本着发现问题、分析问题和解决问题的思路,透过现象看本质,提出加强学员思想政治教育策略,着力在突出变、精、活、实、新上下功夫。     

When are strategic narratives effective? The shaping of political discourse through the interaction between political myths and strategic narratives

Most research on strategic narratives has explored their creation, and their interaction with other elements of national power in the conduct of foreign policy. Yet, the issue of how the targeted political communities receive those strategic narratives, and thus how those narratives are likely to have a political impact, is understudied. This article argues that in order to understand the ways strategic narrative are received within a political community, political myths must be taken into account. It introduces a typology of political myths based on their degree of universality and their degree of coherence with other myths, and shows how those factors influence the reception of strategic narratives. These mechanisms are illustrated through a study of the reception of the Russian strategic narrative in France. This approach offers opportunities to assess the differentiated impact strategic narratives have on political communities.     

应用加权紧致非线性格式的VFE-2钝前缘三角翼转捩模拟

为研究前缘转捩对钝前缘三角翼涡结构的影响,采用高阶精度加权紧致非线性格式和γ-Reθ转捩模型对VFE-2中等半径钝前缘三角翼进行数值模拟。将计算结果与试验结果进行详细对比,结果表明:钝前缘三角翼的前缘分离涡发生在翼尖下游,在特定雷诺数下其具体发生位置受转捩因素影响,采用全湍流模型计算会推迟分离,而耦合转捩模型后的计算结果和试验结果吻合良好。运用耦合转捩模型方法,对钝前缘三角翼涡结构随迎角变化进行模拟。计算结果与试验结果吻合,表明在较小的迎角下,前缘不会产生分离诱导涡;随迎角不断增大,分离诱导涡在三角翼后缘附近产生并向上游移动。     

基于高精度加权紧致非线性格式的γ－Reθ转捩模型标定与应用

为准确模拟航空工程中的转捩问题,在高精度数值风洞平台上采用低速平板试验数据对基于高精度加权紧致非线性格式的γ-Re_θ转捩模型进行了标定,并在二维低速问题中进行了应用。计算结果与试验的对比表明:基于高精度加权紧致非线性格式的γ-Re_θ转捩模型可准确模拟自然转捩、旁路转捩及分离转捩的位置,并且具有较低的网格敏感性;在中等雷诺数范围,层流区域和湍流区域有相同量级时,计算必须采用转捩模型才能准确模拟阻力系数。     

基于高精度WCNS格式的γ-Reθ转捩模型标定与应用*

在高精度数值风洞平台上,采用低速平板试验数据对基于高精度WCNS格式的γ-Re_θ转捩模型进行了标定,并在二维低速问题中进行了应用。计算结果与试验的对比表明,基于高精度WCNS格式的γ-Re_θ转捩模型可准确模拟自然转捩、旁路转捩及分离转捩的位置,并且具有较低的网格敏感性。同时也表明在中等雷诺数范围,层流区域长度和湍流区域有相同量级时,计算必须采用转捩模型才能准确模拟阻力系数。     

基于WCNS格式的VFE-2钝前缘三角翼转捩模拟研究*

采用高阶精度WCNS格式和γ-Re_θ转捩模型对VFE-2中等半径钝前缘三角翼进行了数值模拟,重点研究了前缘转捩对钝前缘三角翼涡结构的影响。计算结果与试验进行了详细对比,表明钝前缘三角翼的前缘分离涡发生在翼尖下游,在特定雷诺数下其具体发生位置受转捩因素影响,采用全湍流模型计算会推迟分离,而耦合转捩模型后的计算结果和试验吻合很好。然后基于耦合转捩模型方法,对钝前缘三角翼涡结构随迎角变化进行了模拟。计算结果与试验吻合,并表明在较小的迎角下,前缘不会产生分离诱导涡;随迎角不断增大,分离诱导涡在三角翼后缘附近产生并向上游移动。     

谈高校校报思想政治教育的作用

高校校报既是高校思想宣传工作的重要阵地,又是高校进行思想政治教育的重要平台。深入分析、挖掘校报的思想政治教育作用,对校报提高办报质量,有针对性地为高校发展提供舆论支持具有深远意义。只有充分发挥高校校报在思想政治工作中的作用,才能稳固校园主流媒体的地位。