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基于灰色非线性回归模型的故障预测
引用本文:王晗中,杨江平,于娜,聂涛,刘飞.基于灰色非线性回归模型的故障预测[J].军械工程学院学报,2010,22(1):46-48.
作者姓名:王晗中  杨江平  于娜  聂涛  刘飞
作者单位:空军雷达学院陆基预警监视装备系;石家庄陆军指挥学院军队指挥系;
摘    要:为克服传统灰色模型的局限性,通过对一阶累加生成序列规律性的分析,将灰色模型和非线性回归模型相结合,构造了一种灰色非线性回归模型。实例仿真结果表明,该模型既拓展了传统灰色模型的适用条件,又比传统灰色模型和非线性回归模型具有更高的预测精度,且适用性广。

关 键 词:灰色模型  非线性回归  故障预测  雷达

Fault Prediction Based on a Grey Nonlinear Regression Model
WANG Han-zhong,YANG Jiang-ping,YU Na,NIE Tao,LIU Fei.Fault Prediction Based on a Grey Nonlinear Regression Model[J].Journal of Ordnance Engineering College,2010,22(1):46-48.
Authors:WANG Han-zhong  YANG Jiang-ping  YU Na  NIE Tao  LIU Fei
Institution:1.Department of Land-based Early Warning Surveillance Equipment/a>;Air Force Radar Academy/a>;Wuhan 430019/a>;China/a>;2.Department of Army Force Command/a>;Academy of Shijiazhuang Army Command/a>;Shijiazhuang 050084/a>;China
Abstract:In order to overcome the limitation of the traditional GM(1,1) model,a new grey nonlinear regression model combining the grey model and the nonlinear regression model,is designed based on the analysis of the data sequence proceeded by accumulate generated operation(AGO) once.The analysis result of simulation shows that the new grey nonlinear regression model obviously not only extends the application area of the traditional GM(1,1) model but its prediction is more precise.
Keywords:grey model  nonlinear regression  fault prediction  radar  
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