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ANFIS网络在舰船维修费用预测中的应用
引用本文:刘宝平,孙胜祥,徐一帆. ANFIS网络在舰船维修费用预测中的应用[J]. 海军工程大学学报, 2004, 16(4): 57-60
作者姓名:刘宝平  孙胜祥  徐一帆
作者单位:海军工程大学,管理工程系,湖北,武汉,430033
摘    要:利用自适应模糊推理系统(ANFIS)的模糊推理能力和学习功能相结合的优点,运用于舰船维修费用预测中.分析了影响维修费用的因素,采用变量投影重要性分析方法(VIP)对影响因素进行评估和筛选,使用ANFIS网络建立模型.通过实际算例进行分析,用历史数据训练ANFIS网络,预测舰船维修费用,在数据样本量小的情况下,较一般神经网络精度有明显提高.

关 键 词:变量投影重要性  ANFIS网络  舰船维修费用
文章编号:1009-3486(2004)04-0057-04
修稿时间:2004-02-02

Application of ANFIS network in cost forecast of warship maintenance
LIU Bao-ping,SUN Sheng-xiang,XU Yi-fan. Application of ANFIS network in cost forecast of warship maintenance[J]. Journal of Naval University of Engineering, 2004, 16(4): 57-60
Authors:LIU Bao-ping  SUN Sheng-xiang  XU Yi-fan
Abstract:Taking the advantage of fuzzy inference capacity and learning function of adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), this paper applies this method in the warship maintenance cost forecast; then analyzes the factors that affect the maintenance cost, and adopts the variable importance projection (VIP) analysis method to evaluate and select the factors, and uses the ANFIS network to establish the model. Through an actual example, the ANFIS network is trained with data available. The result shows that the ANFIS network model is accurate, and it can forecast better result than simple nerve networks do.
Keywords:variable importance projection  ANFIS network  warship maintenance cost
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