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要地反巡探测系统漏警率的建模及评估
引用本文:乔永杰,丁竑,徐忠富,熊杰.要地反巡探测系统漏警率的建模及评估[J].现代防御技术,2012,40(1):37-41.
作者姓名:乔永杰  丁竑  徐忠富  熊杰
作者单位:1. 中国电子科学研究院,北京,100041
2. 中国人民解放军63893部队,河南洛阳,471003
摘    要:要地反巡探测系统的设计需根据作战指标确定系统能力,此问题涉及到系统的建模及效能评估。应用随机服务理论,对要地反巡探测系统的搜索过程建立了M/D/C模型。根据M/D/C模型计算公式,以AR320地基监视雷达、地空联合探测的搜索过程为算例,验证了搜索模型的正确性,给出了目标漏警率、搜索波束数量与目标出动强度的关系。此模型扩展性良好,研究结果可对系统的设计和评价有所借鉴。

关 键 词:要地反巡航导弹  随机服务理论  漏警率  出动强度

Missing Alarm Probability Modeling and Evaluation of Critical Area Detection System against Cruise Missile
QIAO Yong-jie , DING Hong , XU Zhong-fu , XIONG Jie.Missing Alarm Probability Modeling and Evaluation of Critical Area Detection System against Cruise Missile[J].Modern Defence Technology,2012,40(1):37-41.
Authors:QIAO Yong-jie  DING Hong  XU Zhong-fu  XIONG Jie
Institution:1.China Academy of Electronics and Information Technology,Beijing 100041,China; 2.PLA,No.63893 Troop,Henan Luoyang 471003,China)
Abstract:The design of critical area against cruise missile detection system demands operational index to determine system ability and the problem involves modeling and effectiveness evaluation.Random service theory is applied to set up M/D/C model for the process of searching;moreover a parallel infinite waiting model is established for system working process.According to M/D/C model formula,take the example of AR320 foundation monitoring radar and ground-air joint detection,validity of the searching model is verified,and the relation of target missing alarm probability,the number of searching beam and target operation intensity is provided.The model has good expansibility and the result can be applied to design and evaluate system for reference.
Keywords:critical area against cruise missile  random service theory  missing alarm probability  operation intensity
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