| 组合预测法在战时单兵日均物资需求预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 牛永界,郭继坤. 组合预测法在战时单兵日均物资需求预测中的应用[J]. 后勤工程学院学报, 2008, 24(4): 66-69 |
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| 作者姓名： | 牛永界 郭继坤 |
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| 作者单位： | 后勤工程学院军事油料应用与管理工程系,重庆,400016;后勤工程学院军事油料应用与管理工程系,重庆,400016 |
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| 摘 要： | 分析、研究、预测战时物资需求量,进而拟制相应的物资保障方案,是提高战时物资保障计划性和有效性的客观要求。利用灰色预测法和趋势预测法建立模型并进行预测,在对比分析各种物资需求预测方法的基础上,建立了基于最小二乘法加权的战时单兵日均物资需求的组合预测模型,为我军进行战时物资需求预测提供了一种可借鉴的方法。
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| 关 键 词： | 组合预测法 最小二乘法 需求 预测 |
Application of Combining Forecast Based on the Least Square Regression in the Individual and Daily Material Demand of the Wartime |
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| NIU Yong-jie,GUO Ji-kun. Application of Combining Forecast Based on the Least Square Regression in the Individual and Daily Material Demand of the Wartime[J]. Journal of Logistical Engineering University, 2008, 24(4): 66-69 |
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| Authors: | NIU Yong-jie GUO Ji-kun |
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| Abstract: | To analyze,research,forecast the wartime material demand,then to draw up the corresponding material logistics plan is the objective requirement of enhancing the wartime material logistics planning and validity.This article has provided one useful method for our army to forecast the wartime material requirement.Based on the contrastive analysis of each method of material demand forecasting,applying gray forecast method and tendeuy method to establish model and to forecast,this article has established the combining forecast model of the least square regression in the individual and daily material demand in the wartime. |
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| Keywords: | the combining forecast the least square regression demand forecast |
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