| 灰色-马尔科夫模型在机场道面使用性能预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 韦灼彬,高屹,吴森. 灰色-马尔科夫模型在机场道面使用性能预测中的应用[J]. 海军工程大学学报, 2009, 21(4) |
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| 作者姓名： | 韦灼彬 高屹 吴森 |
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| 作者单位： | 海军工程大学,后勤指挥与工程系,天津,300450;海军工程大学,后勤指挥与工程系,天津,300450;海军工程大学,后勤指挥与工程系,天津,300450 |
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| 摘 要： | 介绍利用灰色-马尔科夫模型对机场道面使用性能进行预测的基本方法和具体步骤,并给出了工程实例.应用分析表明,该方法能够充分利用机场道面使用中各段历史数据,较好地对机场道面使用性能进行预测,且预测结果比单纯的灰色模型有更高的精度.
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色理论 马尔科夫模型 机场道面 使用性能 预测 |
Application of grey-Markov model to forecasting service performance of airport pavement |
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| WEI Zhuo-bin,GAO Yi,WU Sen. Application of grey-Markov model to forecasting service performance of airport pavement[J]. Journal of Naval University of Engineering, 2009, 21(4) |
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| Authors: | WEI Zhuo-bin GAO Yi WU Sen |
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| Affiliation: | Dept.of Logistics Command and Engineering;Naval Univ.of Engineering;Tianjin 300450;China |
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| Abstract: | The basic method and concrete measures were used for the grey-Markov model to forecast the service performance of airport pavement.The given example indicates that the method can be fully applied to forecasting the service performance of airport pavement with the sufficient historical data in the course of airport pavement service.The forecasted results are more precise than those of the single grey model. |
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| Keywords: | grey model Markov model airport pavement service performance forecasting |
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