| 基于不确定度的专家评价综合方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 姜军,宋保维,潘光,王鹏,陈惠标,常明. 基于不确定度的专家评价综合方法[J]. 火力与指挥控制, 2011, 36(9) |
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| 作者姓名： | 姜军 宋保维 潘光 王鹏 陈惠标 常明 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 西北工业大学,西安,710072
2. 中国电器科学研究院,广州,510302 |
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| 摘 要： | 针对群决策中专家评价信息的综合处理问题,应用多位专家评价的评价样本不确定度,提出了基于不确定度的数据综合处理方法。该方法能够有效应用于群决策问题,尤其是参与决策人员(专家)较多时,出现专家相对权重可信度不明确而导致评价准确度低的问题,科学地简化了群决策中专家权重的确定过程,便于应用,具有坚实的理论依据和应用价值。通过算例分析,该方法的有效性得到了验证。
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| 关 键 词： | 群决策 综合评价 不确定度 样本 |
A Uncertainty-based Expert Comprehensive Evaluation Method in Group Decision-Making |
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| JIANG Jun,SONG Bao-wei,PAN Guang,WANG Peng,CHEN Hui-biao,CHANG Ming. A Uncertainty-based Expert Comprehensive Evaluation Method in Group Decision-Making[J]. Fire Control & Command Control, 2011, 36(9) |
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| Authors: | JIANG Jun SONG Bao-wei PAN Guang WANG Peng CHEN Hui-biao CHANG Ming |
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| Affiliation: | JIANG Jun1,SONG Bao-wei1,PAN Guang1,WANG Peng1,CHEN Hui-biao2,CHANG Ming1(1.Northwestern Polytechnical University,Xi'an 710072,China,2.China National Electric Apparatus Research Institute,Guangzhou 510302,China) |
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| Abstract: | It is one of the most important keys that how to process assessment values of all experts in group decision-making.Weight synthetic analysis methods of experts have been presented to solve the question.But,in practices,some defects of these methods have been founded,especially exceeding 7 experts.For example,partial assessment information of experts group are ignored,and the accuracy of expert weight is ill-defined.Based on uncertainty theory,a novel method for processing assessment data is put forward.In t... |
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| Keywords: | group decision-making comprehensive evaluation uncertainty degree sample |
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