| 吸毒人口趋势的定量研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 兰月新.吸毒人口趋势的定量研究[J].中国人民武装警察部队学院学报,2011(4):94-96. |
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| 作者姓名： | 兰月新 |
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| 作者单位： | 武警学院基础部,河北廊坊065000 |
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| 摘 要： | 通过＂S＂形曲线建立了某地区吸毒人数的预测与控制模型,模型预测了该地区的注册吸毒人口总数,并且根据模型分析找到了控制吸毒人数增长的时间段,最后结合实际给禁毒部门提出了若干建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 吸毒人口 预测 Logistic曲线 拐点分析 遏制对策 |
A Quantitative Investigation of the Drug-abuse Population Tendency |
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| LAN Yue-xin.A Quantitative Investigation of the Drug-abuse Population Tendency[J].Journal of the Chinese People's Armed Police Force Academy,2011(4):94-96. |
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| Authors: | LAN Yue-xin |
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| Institution: | LAN Yue-xin(Basic Courses Teaching Department,The Armed Police Academy,Langfang,Hebei Province 065000,China) |
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| Abstract: | The drug-abuse problem has become more and more internationalized.With this trend,the drug problem has become one of social focuses.It should be seriously addressed by the Party Committees and governments at all levels.This paper,according to the ＂S＂ curve,establishes a forecast number of drug addicts and a control model for a region,and gets the register number of drug addicts projection.At the same time,the increase in the number of drug control time is found out.At last,in light of the reality,this paper offers some of the recommendations for the anti-narcotics department. |
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| Keywords: | drug-abuse population forecast Logistic curve inflection point analysis containment countermeasure |
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