一种空中目标的不确定性威胁程度预测模型

目标威胁预测是对空态势和威胁估计的重要内容.针对空中目标飞行控制的基本特点,建立了基于经验公式的空中目标不确定性位置预测模型,进一步推导了不确定性威胁概率预测的模型和实用算法.仿真结果证明了模型的有效性,可用于多类空中目标意图推理及威胁判断.

Research on Uncertainty Air Target Threat Degree Prediction Model

Target threat prediction is an important content in air situation and threat assessment. Air target uncertainty position prediction model based on empirical formula was proposed according to the basic characteristics of flight control. The uncertainty threat probability prediction model and practical arithmetic were inferred. Results of simulation show that the model is effective and it can be used in intention inference and threat assessment of air target.