| 基于AHP的装备研制项目风险分析方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘京生,石立峰,韩晓光. 基于AHP的装备研制项目风险分析方法[J]. 军械工程学院学报, 2006, 18(2): 36-38,42 |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘京生 石立峰 韩晓光 |
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| 作者单位： | 军械工程学院装备指挥与管理系 河北石家庄050003(刘京生，韩晓光)，空军指挥学院研究生大队 北京100084(石立峰) |
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| 摘 要： | 把AHP(Analytic H ierarchy Process)方法运用于装备研制项目风险分析,实现了风险因素的排序、系统总风险的评价以及风险响应措施的选择。在风险发生概率和风险损失的基础上,将风险因素的可控制性和用户满意度风险也同时作为风险判断准则,使得风险的评价更合理、更准确地反映项目实际。最后给出了风险因素排序及风险响应措施选择的应用实例。
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| 关 键 词： | 层次分析法 风险分析 装备研制项目 |
| 文章编号： | 1008-2956(2006)02-0036-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-01-12 |
Risk Analysis of Equipment Development Project Based on AHP |
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| LIU Jing-sheng,SHI Li-feng,HAN Xiao-guang. Risk Analysis of Equipment Development Project Based on AHP[J]. Journal of Ordnance Engineering College, 2006, 18(2): 36-38,42 |
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| Authors: | LIU Jing-sheng SHI Li-feng HAN Xiao-guang |
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| Affiliation: | LIU Jing-sheng~1,SHI Li-feng~2,HAN Xiao-guang~1 |
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| Abstract: | In this paper,a framework for project risk factors ranking,system risk assessment,and risk response option using AHP is proposed in which such new criteria as risk controllability and customer satisfaction index are involved.The whole methodology is applied to equipment development project,and its effectiveness in project risk analysis is demonstrated. |
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| Keywords: | AHP risk analysis equipment development project |
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