| 基于模糊综合评价模型的武器研制技术风险分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 田新广,邱志明,段洣毅. 基于模糊综合评价模型的武器研制技术风险分析[J]. 指挥控制与仿真, 2007, 29(5): 90-92,96 |
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| 作者姓名： | 田新广 邱志明 段洣毅 |
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| 作者单位： | 海军装备研究院博士后工作站,北京,100073;北京交通大学计算技术研究所,北京,100029;海军装备研究院博士后工作站,北京,100073;北京交通大学计算技术研究所,北京,100029 |
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| 摘 要： | 针对舰炮武器系统研制的技术特点和风险分布特征,提出了基于模糊综合评价模型的技术风险分析方法,并结合具体风险因素分析了舰炮武器系统研制技术风险评估的指标和准则。介绍了某型大口径舰炮系统的研制风险分析实例,给出了该舰炮系统研制技术风险的评估结果,验证了该方法的可靠性和有效性。
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| 关 键 词： | 技术风险 舰炮 风险分析 模糊综合评价 |
| 文章编号： | 1673-3819(2007)05-0090-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-04-22 |
Technology Risk Analysis of Weapon Development Based on Fussy Comprehensive Evaluation Models |
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| TIAN Xin-guang,QIU Zhi-ming,DUAN Mi-yi. Technology Risk Analysis of Weapon Development Based on Fussy Comprehensive Evaluation Models[J]. Command Control & Simulation, 2007, 29(5): 90-92,96 |
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| Authors: | TIAN Xin-guang QIU Zhi-ming DUAN Mi-yi |
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| Abstract: | A novel method for technology risk analysis based on fussy comprehensive evaluation models is proposed according to the technical characteristic of naval gun development,which is more objective and accurate than traditional methods. The guidelines and measures for technology risk evaluation are discussed in terms of practical risk factors. Finally the efficiency and reliability of the presented method are verified through actual examples. |
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| Keywords: | technology risk naval gun risk analysis fussy comprehensive evaluation |
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