基于AHP的舰船大风浪中航行安全评价

舰船在大风浪中航行的风险是一个比较重要的研究领域,其风险程度很难用量化进行评估.为了更好地方便研究,并为以后的研究奠定理论基础,采用了层次分析法,建立舰船在大风浪中航行的安全评价体系,同时构造了判断矩阵,并进行了层次单排序一致性检验,求出了每个影响舰船航行安全因素的权重,并通过实例进行解算,得出结果和实际情况相比大致相似.此方法可以较好地对舰船在大风浪中航行的安全进行直观的描述,可供舰船长用来掌握舰船航行的风险情况,进而进行有效的风险决策.

The Evaluation of Safety of Ship sailed in Storm Based on AHP

The risk degree of navigating ship navigating on heavy sea is an important domain,the risk degree is hard to quantize.To make easier for future study,the paper,which based on AHP,builds the evaluating system of the risk degree of the ship navigating on heave sea,construct estimating matrix and examine the order’s coherence,work out the proportion of the factors that affect ship’s security,and calculates the example,then finds that the result conform to the fact.The method could describe the risk degree intuitionisticily and supply captain with the elude scheme.