Dynamic Winner-Take-All Conflict |
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Authors: | Erdal Karagol † Selami Sezgin ‡ |
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Affiliation: | 1. Balikesir University, Department of Economics , 10200 Bandirma, Balikesir, Turkey;2. Pamukkale University, Department of Public Finance , 20040 Denizli, Turkey |
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Abstract: | This paper empirically investigates the importance of financial and political variables in determining debt rescheduling probabilities in Turkey for 1955–2000. The problem of sovereign debt default and rescheduling has been the subject of substantial academic research during the last two decades. There has been criticism of models of developing countries’ indebtedness and rescheduling that rely solely on some economic or financial predictors related to country debt, the foreign exchange sector or the domestic economic situation. Using probit analysis, this paper indicates that financial variables are important determinants of rescheduling probabilities. However, political variables are not significant in our models. |
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Keywords: | Defence expenditures External debt Turkey Debt rescheduling JEL codes: H56 C25 E65 F34 |
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