对多次命中时舰艇主动力装置生命力问题的研究

针对舰艇主动力装置生命力 ,以及多次命中的生命力难以进行定量分析 ,定义了主动力装置多次命中后所处的各种可能状态 ,并运用马尔科夫过程的有关理论 ,推导出了多次命中条件下舰艇处于各种状态的概率 .     

Classical geopolitics,realism and the balance of power theory

Since the end of World War II, classical geopolitics as a particular form of realism has been disengaged from the development of mainstream realist theories. This disengagement has not only concealed the value of classical geopolitics as a framework of analysis for policy and strategy, but also created an increasing rift between theory and policy in contemporary realist theories. This paper seeks to reengage classical geopolitics with mainstream realist theories by clarifying its realist traits and analytical characteristics, (re)stating its core propositions and probing into its potential contribution to the development of mainstream realist theories. This paper contends that classical geopolitics, while having a distinctive pedigree, can arguably be considered an integral part of the family of realist theories in view of its basic theoretical assumptions concerning international anarchy, the unit of analysis and power politics. As a framework of analysis, classical geopolitics incorporates three interrelated strategic propositions. Those three propositions not only constitute the theoretical core of classical geopolitics, but also manifest a peculiar balance-of-power conception that is essentially distinct from those proposed by mainstream realist theories. This paper argues that those three propositions combined promise to fill in prominent lacuna in the balance-of-power research programme, and also have significant implications for contemporary world politics.     

脉冲功率电源故障诊断方法研究

脉冲功率电源是电磁发射系统中最容易发生故障的薄弱环节,脉冲功率电源故障会使整个系统性能下降。针对脉冲功率电源故障,提出基于多层小波分析提取故障信息的模式搜索支持向量机故障诊断方法。通过建立脉冲功率电源的软故障模型,进行仿真分析获得电流故障数据样本,对故障样本进行离散小波分解,获得指定层细节信息的小波系数作为故障特征量;对故障特征量进行主成分分析,将小波系数进行降维,以便有效地进行故障诊断。通过实验,将所提方法故障诊断结果与其他三种故障诊断结果进行比较,验证了所提方法的有效性。     

An integrated electric power supply chain and fuel market network framework: Theoretical modeling with empirical analysis for New England

In this article, we develop a novel electric power supply chain network model with fuel supply markets that captures both the economic network transactions in energy supply markets and the physical network transmission constraints in the electric power network. The theoretical derivation and analysis are done using the theory of variational inequalities. We then apply the model to a specific case, the New England electric power supply chain, consisting of six states, five fuel types, 82 power generators, with a total of 573 generating units, and 10 demand market regions. The empirical case study demonstrates that the regional electric power prices simulated by our model match the actual electricity prices in New England very well. We also compute the electric power prices and the spark spread, an important measure of the power plant profitability, under natural gas and oil price variations. The empirical examples illustrate that in New England, the market/grid‐level fuel competition has become the major factor that affects the influence of the oil price on the natural gas price. Finally, we utilize the model to quantitatively investigate how changes in the demand for electricity influence the electric power and the fuel markets from a regional perspective. The theoretical model can be applied to other regions and multiple electricity markets under deregulation to quantify the interactions in electric power/energy supply chains and their effects on flows and prices. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2009     

ARIA分组密码差分功耗分析

分析了密码算法加密过程的功耗泄露模型,给出了差分功耗分析的基本原理,针对ARIA分组密码中查找S盒的功耗泄漏进行了差分功耗分析,并进行仿真实验。实验结果表明：ARIA密码中S盒查表操作功耗消耗易遭受差分功耗攻击,对800个随机明文的功耗曲线进行实验分析,可获取ARIA加密前4轮轮密钥,结合密钥扩展算法即可获取128位的主密钥。     

舰船动力发展的方向——综合电力系统

论述了舰船综合电力系统的概念及研究意义,指出综合电力系统是舰船动力发展的新方向;介绍了国内外舰船综合电力系统的研究现状和前沿动态,探讨了舰船综合电力系统需攻克的关键技术,提出了我国发展舰船综合电力系统的对策.     

基于节点方程的舰船电力系统数学建模

针对舰船电力系统的特点,建立了发电机、电动机等负载的电流微分方程组,并推导出其导纳、剩余电流微分量的表达式.根据基尔霍夫电流定律,建立了基于节点电流微分平衡关系的节点方程.在系统数学建模基础上,得到了舰船电力系统动态过程的计算方法.     

舰船交流环形电力网络短路电流计算

根据舰船交流环形电力网络的特点,提出了一种简单有效的短路电流计算方法。该算法以电站为独立单元,依据网络结构和系统参数分别对发电机和电动机进行等效,利用星网等值变换将环形电力网络简化为各电源直接与短路故障点通过阻抗相连的形式,然后通过短路电流改进算法计算故障点的电流。仿真结果表明,该算法准确度较高,满足实际工程要求,为复杂结构独立电力系统的短路电流计算开辟了一条新途径。     

舰船主动力装置系统可靠性的模糊分配

利用模糊数学理论中的综合评判方法 ,综合考虑多方面的模糊因素 ,对舰船主动力装置系统进行可靠性分配 .这种方法概念清楚、思路清晰 ,为舰船主动力装置初步设计阶段系统可靠性分配的较好方法     

夺取战场综合控制权军队指挥中的对策

作战实践表明,作战的核心问题是如何牢牢把握控制权。随着新制权理论的不断涌现,制权的重心从制海权、制空权、制信息权、制交通权等拓展至战场综合控制权。分析了夺取战场综合控制权指挥活动的特点和可能遇到问题,论述了战场维度、社会形态和科技发展对夺取战场综合控制权指挥活动带来的影响,并对夺取战场综合控制权军队指挥活动进行了初步探讨,提出夺取战场综合控制权应实施一体化联合作战指挥、形成军地联合指挥控制机制、建设完善夺取战场综合控制权的物质条件等对策性措施,对夺取战场综合控制权军队指挥活动有一定借鉴意义。     

一种基于自适应滤波的三相有源电力滤波器的检测算法

对电力有源滤波器现有的几种检测算法进行了而单的分析，针对目前在电力有源滤波器中应用较广 泛的瞬时无功功率理论检测法中存在的问题和不足，提出了一种基于自适应滤波理论的三相并联型电力有 源滤波器的新型检测算法，并用 Ｍａｔｌａｂ中的Ｓｉｍｕｌｉｎｋ对基于此算法的有源滤波器进行了建模和仿真．     

Air power in humanitarian intervention: Kosovo and Libya in comparative perspective

It would be hard to overstate the importance of air power in humanitarian intervention (HI) and the Responsibility to Protect (R2P). Yet, the role of air power in HI and R2P has been understudied. This article seeks to remedy the lack of systematic investigation. It does so by developing a framework for assessing the effectiveness of air power during military operations in HI and R2P and applies it to NATO’s air campaigns in Kosovo (Operation Allied Force) and Libya (Operation Unified Protector). Upon examination NATO is revealed to have fared better in Libya than Kosovo in positively accomplishing its stated humanitarian objectives, minimizing collateral damage and reducing the costs for the interveners, all of which are aspects considered by the model. The relative effectiveness of Operations Unified Protector is generally attributed to geography, diplomacy and technology. It is argued that better ground support, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and burden sharing are needed to enhance the utility of air power in HI and R2P even further.     

AFRICOM: hard or soft power initiative?

The United States (US) Africa Command (AFRICOM) was launched in 2007, ostensibly to foster African security. Rather than focusing on traditional military operations, AFRICOM also embraces non-military activities such as humanitarian aid and African development. This begs the question as to what type of power (hard or soft) the US intends to wield through AFRICOM. Several US official statements have emphasised the soft power attributes of this military project. To this end, this article seeks to respond to two fundamental questions. First, is AFRICOM a soft power project? Second, how, if at all, has AFRICOM enhanced perceptions of the US in Africa? The article concludes that sceptical and negative perceptions of AFRICOM inhibit its soft-power objective of winning the hearts and minds of the African people.     

Wisdom without tears: Statecraft and the uses of history

The world is mired in history again, as historical modes of competition return and historical grievances fuel the policies of multiple revisionist actors. If the end of history has ended, then it follows that the time is ripe for an engagement with history’s wisdom. We argue that the making of American statecraft—the deliberate, coordinated use of national power to achieve important objectives—can be significantly enhanced by a better understanding of the past. This essay, which draws on the extensive literature on history and statecraft, U.S. foreign policy, and the author’s own research and experiences, offers a defense of the use of history to improve statecraft, as well as a typology of ten distinct ways in which an understanding of history can improve government policy.     

大功率柔性互联设备的有功互济协调控制方法

针对以常规母联开关互联的交流电网线路变压器容量无法合理利用的问题,提出了依靠由背靠背电压源变流器组成的新型大功率柔性互联装置实现两侧交流电网有功功率互济的协调控制方法。介绍了新型柔性互联装置的拓扑结构与基本的控制原理,为实现两侧线路变压器容量合理的目标制定了一种生成有功功率参考的方法,并基于PSCAD/EMTDC搭建了一套仿真算例,对新型柔性互联装置的基本控制与所提出的有功互济的协调控制方法进行了验证。仿真结果表明,在柔性互联装置采用所提方法时能够实现两侧交流线路的有功功率互济,解决了线路变压器容量无法合理分配的问题。     

运用统计能量分析法解决高频声振问题的研究

为了得出统计能量分析法的适用范围和成功应用的关键因素,应用模态理论对系统的输入功率和耦合损耗因子进行了研究,挖掘了统计能量分析法中“统计”的更深层次的含义.通过对统计能量分析法原理的分析,提出增大系统的特征尺寸和系统阻尼、增大分析带宽和采用宽带激励均可提高统计能量分析的精度.     

舰船主动力装置系统可靠性的模糊预计

利用模糊数学理论中的综合评判方法，综合考虑多方面的模糊因素，借助于已知单元的可靠性预计舰船主动力装置系统中其它单元的可靠性，进而预计系统的可靠性．     

基于复杂网络理论的军事力量部署研究

运用复杂网络理论,将军事力量部署进行网络拓扑化,通过分析计算网络关键节点的组成来研究军事力量在空间部署的合理性。在定义了军事力量部署网络拓扑化后的关键节点概念的基础上,提出了基于网络节点度和介数综合数学模型来评价网络节点关键度量值数学模型及基本算法流程,并运用案例进行了计算分析。     

路面不平度的频谱分析及其AR模型

描述了路面不平度的统计特性,建立了AR模型。运用现代谱估计的方法对沙土地、硬土地和耕地等非人工路面的频谱特性进行了分析,得到了沙土地等3种路面的加速度功率谱和位移功率谱密度曲线图。结果表明,沙土地和耕地路面要好于硬土地路面,该结论与常识相符,验证了用AR模型法进行功率谱分析的可靠性和可行性。     

皮秒脉冲泵浦的高功率超连续谱光源

实验研究利用皮秒脉冲泵浦光子晶体光纤产生高功率超连续谱输出,探讨制作高功率全光纤超连续谱光源的关键技术,分析不同结构皮秒脉冲光纤激光器泵浦光子晶体光纤产生超连续谱的优缺点.应用重复频率倍增技术降低激光器自身的非线性效应,得到性能参数合适的高功率皮秒脉冲光纤激光器;采用后处理技术将光子晶体光纤输入端扩芯后与双包层光纤进行...