话单分析法在边防情报工作中的运用

话单分析法在边防情报工作中发挥着巨大的作用，边防情报分析人员可以使用话单分析方法进行情报分析和收集等工作。     

信息提取在边防情报工作中的应用

信息提取旨在为人们提供更有利的信息获取工具。信息提取应用于边防情报工作中，目的是解决边防情报分析的数据来源瓶颈问题。分析信息提取在边防情报工作中应用的可行性及作用，建立边防情报信息提取系统，展望信息提取在边防情报工作中的未来发展。     

试论边防情报分析中的非理性因素

在公安边防情报分析过程中,非理性因素不同程度的影响着分析结果的客观性和准确性.阐述了非理性分析行为产生的原因及其在公安边防情报分析中的影响,提出了养成良好习惯,提高分析判断能力,控制情绪情感,保持集思广益等对策,以期能够使公安边防情报分析工作更为完善.     

边防刑事情报工作与边防刑事侦查之比较

边防刑事情报工作贯穿于边防刑事案件侦查的全过程，在侦查边防刑事案件中发挥着先导、服务、保障功能，边防刑事侦查的结果为边防刑事情报工作提供研究基础。边防刑事情报工作的内容包括收集边防刑事情报；建立边防刑事情报信息系统，进行边防刑事情报交流；进行边防刑事情报的全面、全员分析。边防刑事情报工作的基本任务包括建立“情报引导侦查”的边防刑事侦查模式；建设可快速、有效、保密地进行情报交流与协作的边防刑事情报信息系统；进行战略层面的边防刑事情报分析。     

群体性事件情报预警困境的博弈分析

在公安边防部门辖区内，群体性事件时有发生，成为影响辖区治安的主要因素。如何基于所掌握的情报，找出一种科学合理的情报分析方法成为边防部门亟待解决的问题。从博弈论的角度，建立模型，用数学方法进行求解，对公安边防部门与群体性事件的策动者进行博弈分析。     

竞争性假设分析法在群体性事件情报预警中的应用

目前，边防部门对于群体性事件预警情报的分析缺乏科学系统的工作流程和分析思路，受思维定势、先入为主等主观因素的影响较为严重。随着科学技术的不断发展，群体性事件预警情报的来源不断扩展，数量不断攀升，如何进行准确的情报分析，成为边防部门面临的一个亟待解决的问题。分析了竞争性假设分析法在群体性事件情报预警中的可行性和实际应用，对预警情报的分析工作有一定的借鉴价值。     

论边防情报分析中的经验思维

经验思维是以经验为依据进行问题决断的思维形式，其具有快速、直接等特点，成为边防情报人员最常用的思维方法，具有无可取代的地位。经验思维也存在着粗略性、狭隘性等局限，制约着边防情报的分析质量。通过对经验思维作用原理、特点的阐述，探讨其在边防情报分析中的优缺点，并尝试针对其缺点，提出了相关建议。     

谈公安边防刑事侦查情报工作者的情报意识

通过对情报意识的概念、表现形式以及情报意识与情报过程各环节关系的分析,阐述了提高边防刑事侦查人员情报意识的必要性,并论述了如何提高边防刑事侦查人员的情报意识问题.     

边防情报价值量化评估研究

在阐述了边防情报价值评估意义的基础上,详细分析了边防情报的信息价值、验证价值、时效价值、应用价值和层次价值等指标,运用层次分析法对边防情报价值进行量化评估,旨在为公安边防工作中的情报分析研究、情报价值的科学评判提供方法和依据.     

大学英语听力教学现状与听力策略培养

综述了学习策略和听力策略的关系、听力策略中元认知策略、认知策略类和社会情感策略，分析了大学英语听力教学现状，建议大学英语教师应培养学生听力策略意识，鼓励学生有意识地应用听力策略，提高他们的听力水平，从而改善传统的听力教学。     

Visions of the Enemy from the Field and from Abroad: Revisiting CIA and Military Expectations of the Tet Offensive

As the January 1968 Tet holiday approached, CIA analysts and American commanders in South Vietnam developed more accurate conclusions about communist military strategy than did intelligence analysts at CIA headquarters. Besides valuing different types of intelligence, General William Westmoreland, Lieutenant General Frederick Weyand, and CIA analysts in Saigon also placed greater emphasis on new information about communist military strategy than did CIA analysts at Langley. These different reactions to information highlight reasons why military commanders and intelligence analysts stationed in the theater of operations might develop more accurate conclusions about enemy military strategy than intelligence analysts stationed at their national headquarters.     

Applying Order-of-Battle to Al Qaeda Operations

Since the global war on terror began, the pursuit of Al Qaeda is widely considered as warfare and not the pursuit of criminals. In light of counter-terrorism being redefined as war, the criteria applied for tracking militaries of conventional enemies may also be applicable to Al Qaeda. Intelligence analysts have long used the nine order-of-battle (OB) criteria as part of the estimative process for conventional, or nation-state, enemies. Applying OB criteria to Al Qaeda may assist intelligence analysts in knowing the enemy and identifying changes that will allow for predictive analysis. Many elements of Al Qaeda's OB prior to the events of 11 September were viewed as clutter and not significant changes that might have otherwise alerted intelligence analysts to the impending attack. This essay suggests how one might go about applying the nine OB criteria to analysis of Al Qaeda. Although more difficult and requiring modification, using an analytical procedure that has been tested successfully over many years is a logical step in the war on Al Qaeda. If all OB changes are tracked and analyzed using a systematic approach as outlined in this essay, Al Qaeda attacks may be predicted and/or curtailed in the future.     

现代军事情报处理方法中的语言、语音技术

军事情报的收集、处理和分析是情报部门的重要工作,当今时代,依靠人工搜集处理方法在效率上已经不能满足需要,采用先进的信息处理技术对情报进行自动处理技术正是解决这一问题的有效途径。大部分的情报载体是文字和语音．因此自然语言和语音处理技术在情报处理方面发挥着重要作用。针对军事情报处理方法中的语言、语音处理技术进行简单的介绍,包括机器翻译、信息检索,语音分析、语音识别等方面。     

认知电子战综述

认知电子战通常被定义为以具备认知性能的电子战装备为基础,注重自主交互式的电磁环境学习能力与动态智能化的对抗任务处理能力的电子战形态。自其被首次提出以来,以其感知准、推理强、决策快的优势备受国内外研究学者广泛关注。随着人工智能新理念、新技术、新应用的不断涌现,认知电子战步入崭新的发展阶段。为捕捉其未来发展方向,从人工智能角度出发,总结并丰富了认知电子战概念内涵,梳理认知电子战的发展脉络及外国典型项目,搭建认知电子战系统框架及架构,从感知、判断、决策等方面对认知听电子战关键技术进行了全面系统综述,并总结了认知电子战面临的挑战和发展趋势。     

Stalking the Secure Second Strike: Intelligence,Counterforce, and Nuclear Strategy

Secure second strike nuclear forces are frequently held to be easy to procure. Analysts have long argued that targeting intelligence against relocatable targets like submarine launched and land mobile ballistic missiles is difficult to obtain. However, the scholarly consensus on intelligence for counterforce operations is seriously overdrawn. Both during and after the Cold War, the United States developed substantial intelligence capabilities to track and target submarines and mobile missiles. These efforts achieved important and under-appreciated success. Second strike forces have been far more vulnerable than most analysts are willing to credit.     

元记忆研究的历史回顾与展望

元记忆研究是当前认知心理学研究的热点,它是元认知的重要组成部分。它是人对自己记忆系统的内容、功能的认知和评价,以及对记忆系统的监控。本文回顾了元记忆研究的历史成果,也指出了存在的问题和今后的研究方向。     

United States defence contractors and the future of military operations

ABSTRACT

The United States’ global strategic outlook has shifted markedly since the end of major combat operations in Iraq and Afghanistan. As the United States’ strategic posture shifts, the nature of military operations is simultaneously changing rapidly. Many analysts predict that cyber-operations, autonomous weapons systems, artificial intelligence, and clandestine special forces operations will be central features in future conflicts. Although often overlooked by scholars and policy analysts, defence contractors are integral to the development and implementation of these emerging categories of warfare. This inquiry examines the evolving nature of the American defence industry and the roles corporations play in current theatres of conflict. Surprisingly, rather than becoming less reliant on defence contractors after their much-maligned performance in the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, American military and intelligence agencies have become more dependent on the private sector as technology becomes increasingly central to warfare.     

Warning of Terror: Explaining the Failure of Intelligence Against Terrorism

Many scholars and analysts have studied intelligence failure and surprise and developed theories to explain disasters such as the attack on Pearl Harbor. Others, especially since the 9/11 attacks, have examined the rising threat of terrorism and see it as posing a particularly difficult challenge for the intelligence community. But little work has been done to integrate the earlier literature on intelligence failure with the newer threat of terrorist attack. This article attempts such an integration, by examining the bombing of the US Marine Barracks in Beirut in 1983; it concludes that most studies of the Beirut bombing are mistaken in their assessment of the role played by intelligence in that disaster, and suggests that our understanding of intelligence failure against surprise attacks needs to be revised in the age of terrorism.     

情报信息主导警卫工作研究

全力推进警务信息化是公安“三项建设”的重要内容，情报信息建设则是公安警卫部队（以下简称警卫部队）信息化建设的重中之重。深刻认识情报信息对于警卫工作的重要性，抓住警卫情报信息建设的基础环节，健全和完善警卫情报信息机制建设，加强警卫情报信息的获取、分析、研判、预警、管理和应用，强化情报信息交流、协作和共享，对于确保警卫目标安全具有重要的现实意义。     

新疆边境地区维稳情报基础工作研究

新疆边境地区的社会治安稳定关系到整个新疆乃至全国的安全稳定。当前,影响新疆边境地区稳定的因素较多,主要有境内外极端势力的暴力恐怖活动、经济发展不平衡、周边国家局势不稳等等。在新疆边境地区的维稳工作中,情报基础工作是前提和先导,对于维护新疆边境地区的稳定具有重要的作用。新疆边境地区维稳情报基础工作包括情报的收集、传递、核查、研判。当前,随着公安信息化建设不断深入和情报主导警务战略的全面实施,新疆边境地区维稳情报基础工作应成为维稳工作的常态化内容,在维稳工作中得到广泛应用。