基于小生境蝙蝠算法的联合远程打击武器目标分配问题建模与求解

针对联合远程打击作战筹划中武器目标分配问题,使用数学建模与仿真分析相结合的方法,研究了联合远程精确打击武器目标分配基本原则,构建了武器目标分配问题的多目标优化数学模型;对目标函数和约束条件进行处理,将该模型转化为单目标优化问题;提出了一种结合小生境淘汰思想的改进蝙蝠算法,用来求解武器目标分配的近似最优解。实验分析表明:该算法能够有效改善蝙蝠算法的收敛特性,适用于联合远程打击作战武器目标分配问题的求解。     

多目标多决策者环境下防空反导装备体系资源分配与优化

作战体系具有层次高、规模大,各作战分系统间协调配合密切的特征。在作战任务中,这种多层次、多系统、多决策者、多目标的结构使得对各作战子系统的武器装备分配变得更为复杂。为解决此类复杂结构的优化问题,在层次化多目标分析方法基础之上,将层次系统的风险管理引入到模型中来,形成多目标多决策者资源分配模型多目标多决策者资源分配模型,用以解决在不确定风险环境下进行多目标资源分配的问题。利用MOMDRA模型建模空袭风险下防空反导体系的武器装备分配问题,在求解该模型的过程中采用系统分解的思路,利用权重法,站在不同决策者的角度得到该体系的Pareto最优资源分配方案,并通过一个实例来说明此方法的可行性。     

基于CBBA的多域作战无人系统任务规划方法研究

针对多域作战任务中异构无人系统的分布式任务规划问题,建立考虑时间窗约束、路径受限等情况下的多域作战任务分配模型;基于一致性束算法求解异构无人系统的任务分配问题;采用Bezier曲线和粒子群算法对一致性束算法进行了扩展,将路径规划耦合到任务分配过程中。仿真结果表明,扩展后的一致性束算法可以同步得到无冲突的多域作战无人系统任务分配解和路径规划结果,验证了其在多域作战无人系统任务规划方面的适用性。     

装备多阶段作战任务成功性评估

受使用方式、可靠性、维修性因素的影响,装备执行作战任务时常呈现出多阶段任务特性。通过对装备作战多阶段任务的分析与描述,基于Markov模型建立起单阶段任务成功性评估模型并给出求解方法,而后给出逐阶段评估多阶段任务成功性的过程,并通过系统状态映射机制解决阶段任务间系统状态数量不同的问题。最后,通过装备使用方案优化的示例展示了该方法在装备领域中的应用价值。     

基于作战能力的部队作战任务分配方法

作战任务分配需要考虑作战部队各方面能力,难以快速实施作战分配。对此,提出了基于作战能力的作战任务分配方法,在面向任务的部队作战能力的基础上进行作战任务分配。建立了作战任务分配的优化模型,模型适应范围较广,并适应动态作战任务分配。使用最小费用最大流问题求解方法获得平衡或不平衡作战任务分配问题的最优解。实验研究结果表明:模型求解结果符合实际作战任务需求,基于作战能力的作战任务分配方法是一种有效的方法。     

多机协同对空目标探测与攻击任务的最优分配

针对信息化条件下多机协同空战中需要协同制导的问题,建立了探测任务和攻击任务分配的模型。首先根据战场态势和雷达探测能力建立探测任务分配模型,然后根据战场态势和武器作战能力建立攻击任务分配模型,最后将此多目标决策问题转化为单目标优化问题。通过建立可行解到粒子间的映射,提出了粒子群优化算法对该优化问题进行求解。仿真实验表明了该模型与算法的可行性与有效性。     

复杂约束下的导弹作战任务规划模型和算法研究*

导弹作战任务规划是一个涉及时间、资源、质量和其他关系约束的复杂问题.首先通过定叉约束满足效用对基本约束满足模型进行了扩展,建立了导弹任务规划的约束满足优化模型.在此基础上,研究了任务规划模型求解的时间和效用传播算法,提出了基于综合效用的优化求解框架.该模型和求解框架易于解决具有多种约束因素的复杂问题,具有较好的通用性.通过定义软、硬约束效用,使得实际任务规划问题求解具有更好的灵活性.     

复杂约束下的导弹作战任务规划模型和算法研究

导弹作战任务规划是一个涉及时间、资源、质量和其他关系约束的复杂问题。首先通过定义约束满足效用对基本约束满足模型进行了扩展，建立了导弹任务规划的约束满足优化模型。在此基础上，研究了任务规划模型求解的时间和效用传播算法，提出了基于综合效用的优化求解框架。该模型和求解框架易于解决具有多种约束因素的复杂问题，具有较好的通用性。通过定义软、硬约束效用，使得实际任务规划问题求解具有更好的灵活性。     

基于任务的连续出动舰载机航空保障重调度研究

对舰载机和各种保障资源进行调度是提高舰载机航空保障效率、保证舰载机所承担作战任务顺利完成的有效手段。为了克服以往研究中没有考虑作战任务变更对舰载机航空保障调度的影响,使用重调度的理论与方法研究了基于任务的连续出动舰载机航空保障重调度问题,建立了连续出动舰载机航空保障重调度模型。采用免疫算法对模型进行求解,可以避免模型的解空间可能出现组合爆炸问题。最后通过一个实例表明该模型可以很好的应对由作战任务变更所引起的重调度问起,算法求解速度满足作战需求,从而验证了模型的准确性及算法的有效性。     

一种改进的基于MDLS与GA的作战资源分配算法

联合作战任务计划的核心是任务和行动,其目的就是如何有效地将作战资源分配到各个任务中去,考虑到分配过程中的各种约束,对这一问题的求解即是解决一个组合优化问题.提出了一种改进的基于 MDLS 与 GA 的任务计划算法,结合了两种算法的优点,回避了各自的不足;通过案例的实验,以更小的计算代价获得了较优的结果,证明了算法的效率和研究该问题的意义.     

混合模糊测试中混合符号执行优化策略评估与分析

针对传统混合模糊测试提升技术多聚焦于利用多种动静态分析手段辅助而忽略了混合符号执行自身性能的问题,提出一种混合模糊测试平衡点模型,并基于该模型对主流混合符号执行方案进行剖析,包括污点分析辅助模糊测试、混合模糊测试以及混合符号执行,归纳了6种符号执行方案,基于混合符号执行引擎Triton复现了6种符号执行方案,并通过10个典型真实程序进行了测试评估。从效率、内存、覆盖率三个维度对各个方案进行性能对比与影响因素分析。实验证明,优化方案都可以消除不必要的约束并减少时间和空间开销,但约束缩减会造成信息丢失,造成覆盖率降低。基于实验数据分析,提出了一个优化方案的性能序列,并提出三种针对不同测试需求的优化方案。     

Risk preference,multiple attributes,and multiple criteria in bayesian acceptance sampling plans

Although there has been considerable research directed toward developing Bayesian acceptance sampling plans, little consideration has been given to incorporating a decision-maker's risk attitude or treating such problems in terms of multiple-type defects and multiple criteria. We review our own work which is focused on the above issues. A model incorporating risk preference is shown to yield substantial differences in the characteristics of an optimal sampling plan relative to a typical Bayesian linear cost (risk neutral) model. Bayesian models and optimization schemes for a variety of multiple-type defect plans are reviewed. A bicriterion acceptance model, employing average outgoing quality and average inspection cost is also formulated. Traditional versus interactive optimization procedures are compared empirically in terms of ease of use, satisfaction with solutions, and insight gained into the problem.     

The SSA-BP-based potential threat prediction for aerial target considering commander emotion

The target's threat prediction is an essential procedure for the situation analysis in an aerial defense system. However, the traditional threat prediction methods mostly ignore the effect of commander's emotion. They only predict a target's present threat from the target's features itself, which leads to their poor ability in a complex situation. To aerial targets, this paper proposes a method for its potential threat prediction considering commander emotion (PTP-CE) that uses the Bi-directional LSTM (BiLSTM) network and the backpropagation neural network (BP) optimized by the sparrow search algorithm (SSA). Furthermore, we use the BiLSTM to predict the target's future state from real-time series data, and then adopt the SSA-BP to combine the target's state with the commander's emotion to establish a threat prediction model. Therefore, the target's potential threat level can be obtained by this threat prediction model from the predicted future state and the recognized emotion. The experimental results show that the PTP-CE is efficient for aerial target's state prediction and threat prediction, regardless of commander's emotional effect.     

A generic model of motor‐carrier fuel optimization

Fuel optimizers are decision models (software products) that are increasingly recognized as effective fuel management tools by U.S. truckload carriers. Using the latest price data of every truck stop, these models calculate the optimal fueling schedule for each route that indicates: (i) which truck stop(s) to use, and (ii) how much fuel to buy at the chosen truck stop(s) to minimize the refueling cost. In the current form, however, these models minimize only the fuel cost, and ignore or underestimate other costs that are affected by the models' decision variables. On the basis of the interviews with carrier managers, truck drivers, and fuel‐optimizer vendors, this article proposes a comprehensive model of motor‐carrier fuel optimization that considers all of the costs that are affected by the model's decision variables. Simulation results imply that the proposed model not only attains lower vehicle operating costs than the commercial fuel optimizers, but also gives solutions that are more desirable from the drivers' viewpoint. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

Capacity investment decisions under risk aversion

This article studies the optimal capacity investment problem for a risk‐averse decision maker. The capacity can be either purchased or salvaged, whereas both involve a fixed cost and a proportional cost/revenue. We incorporate risk preference and use a consumption model to capture the decision maker's risk sensitivity in a multiperiod capacity investment model. We show that, in each period, capacity and consumption decisions can be separately determined. In addition, we characterize the structure of the optimal capacity strategy. When the parameters are stationary, we present certain conditions under which the optimal capacity strategy could be easily characterized by a static two‐sided (s, S) policy, whereby, the capacity is determined only at the beginning of period one, and held constant during the entire planning horizon. It is purchased up to B when the initial capacity is below b, salvaged down to Σ when it is above σ, and remains constant otherwise. Numerical tests are presented to investigate the impact of demand volatility on the optimal capacity strategy. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 218–235, 2016     

基于广义回归神经网络的单位运营状况分类

单位的运营状况会直接影响股东和广大人民的利益,针对运营状况可以使用广义回归神经网络进行分类。由于广义回归神经网络中径向基函数的扩展参数Spread的选取会导致分类的准确率,提出了一种果蝇优化算法优化参数Spread的分类模型。充分利用了果蝇优化算法的寻优能力,将优化后的参数代入到广义回归神经网络中对单位的财务数据进行运营状况的分类。结果表明,与广义回归神经网络做比较,优化后的网络模型对数据的分类可以达到很高的准确率,在相关领域的分类上有非常大的实用性。     

基于ModelCenter的顶置武器站稳定精度优化

顶置武器站具有系统组成类型复杂、子系统间存在耦合作用的特点,导致多学科协同仿真的优化模型难以建立。通过Adams、Simulink分别建立了顶置武器站机械系统及控制系统模型,并在多学科优化设计平台Model Center中对该机电联合仿真模型进行系统集成;在此基础上,以顶置武器站稳定精度为目标函数,采用一阶差分模型对炮控系统比例系数及积分系数进行了灵敏度分析,并采用设计探索优化器对该参数进行了优化设计。仿真结果表明,所建立的顶置武器站稳定精度多学科协同优化模型设计周期短、计算效率高,为下一步进行顶置武器站多工况、多结构参数的优化设计提供技术支撑。     

A model to predict the residual life of aircraft engines based upon oil analysis data

This paper reports on a study using the available oil monitoring information, such as the data obtained using the Spectrometric Oil Analysis Programme (SOAP), to predict the residual life of a set of aircraft engines. The relationship between oil monitoring information and the residual life is established using the concept of the proportional residual, which states that the predicted residual life may be proportional to the wear increment measured by the oil analysis programmes. Assuming such a relationship between wear and the residual life exists, we formulated a recursive prediction model for the item's residual life given measured oil monitoring information to date. A set of censored life data of 30 aircraft engines (right censored due to preventive overhaul) along with the history of their monitored metal concentration information are available to us. The metal concentration information includes many variables, such as Fe, Cu, Al, etc.; not all of them are useful, and some of them may be correlated. The principal component analysis (PCA) has been adopted to reduce the dimension of the original data set and to produce a new set of uncorrelated variables, which we shall use in the prediction model. The procedure associated with estimating model parameters is discussed. The model is fitted to the actual SOAP data from the aircraft engines, and the goodness‐of‐fit test has been carried out. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005.     

油罐油气惰化置换过程数值模拟研究

基于对油罐惰气置换原理的分析,建立了油气惰化置换过程的紊流模型,采用压力和速度耦合场的PISO算法,完成了油罐惰气置换过程的数值模拟研究。用原型实验数据对模型进行了验证,经验证对比表明模型与实验结果吻合较好。进一步研究表明,对于3 000 m^3的油罐,约整个置换过程的前9 600 s,罐内气体处于爆炸燃烧范围,置换约9 600 s后油罐已处于安全状态;＂置换死角＂出现在靠近燃惰气进口两侧的中央偏下位置;罐内各气体组分除在靠近燃惰气进口一侧的较小空间内对流扩散速度较大外,其他大部分位置各气体组分对流扩散速度较小。这些结论将为油气惰化置换过程的进一步优化提供一定的参考依据。     

Aircraft routing under the risk of detection

The deterministic problem for finding an aircraft's optimal risk trajectory in a threat environment has been formulated. The threat is associated with the risk of aircraft detection by radars or similar sensors. The model considers an aircraft's trajectory in three‐dimensional (3‐D) space and represents the aircraft by a symmetrical ellipsoid with the axis of symmetry directing the trajectory. Analytical and discrete optimization approaches for routing an aircraft with variable radar cross‐section (RCS) subject to a constraint on the trajectory length have been developed. Through techniques of Calculus of Variations, the analytical approach reduces the original risk optimization problem to a vectorial nonlinear differential equation. In the case of a single detecting installation, a solution to this equation is expressed by a quadrature. A network optimization approach reduces the original problem to the Constrained Shortest Path Problem (CSPP) for a 3‐D network. The CSPP has been solved for various ellipsoid shapes and different length constraints in cases with several radars. The impact of ellipsoid shape on the geometry of an optimal trajectory as well as the impact of variable RCS on the performance of a network optimization algorithm have been analyzed and illustrated by several numerical examples. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006