陆军战斗决心方案评估方法研究

战斗决心方案评估是陆军指挥员及指挥机关组织战斗过程中的一项重要工作。研究评估方法为陆军部队行动选择战斗决心方案提供依据。对战斗决心方案的评估，根据决心方案的战术手段、作战目标选择、战斗部署等三项主要内容，建立评估指标体系和评估数学模型，得出综合评估结果。该量化分析的评估方法提高了决策的精确性。     

陆军信息对抗行动效果评估研究

信息对抗行动是陆军作战的重要行动之一,对陆军作战进程和结局影响重大。通过对信息进攻、信息防御和信息保障等主要内容的定性与定量分析,建立评估指标体系、评估数学模型,得出综合评估结果,为指挥员和指挥机关筹划后续行动提供可靠依据,使效果评估工作更加合理准确。     

陆军进攻战役防空效率指标及制空权评估

结合陆军未来作战样式和实际需求,描述了陆军进攻(反击)战役防空体系的构成及其各系统的主要用途,提出了陆军防空效率评估指标体系中应包括制空权指标的观点,分析了影响该指标的主要因素,用航空集群和导弹集群战斗效率对比的方法描述了陆军战役进攻(反击)防空制空权的评估模型,结合示例说明了制空权评估方法的应用.     

联合作战体系下机动进攻战斗中政治工作初探

机动进攻战斗是联合作战体系下陆军作战的基本样式之一.着眼信息化联合作战新特点新变化,紧紧围绕作战任务,从政治工作筹划、战场组织指挥、发挥作战功能等三个方面,研究服务保证之道,探索克敌制胜之策,是联合作战体系下机动进攻战斗取得胜利的重要保证.     

战斗实验室——美军检验训练效果的重要机制

美军为了从以往的作战行动中汲取教训，找到薄弱环节，检验和评估新的作战思想、作战方法和手段，寻求增强联合部队的杀伤力、生存力和行动速度的途径，确定部队训练、人员培训、编制体制和武器装备等方面的需求，建立了六大战斗实验室，即“早期进入时的杀伤力与生存力战斗实验室”、“战斗指挥战斗实验室”、     

系统动力学装甲兵进攻战斗中机降行动效果分析

围绕装甲机械化部队机降行动的作战特点,着眼于充分发挥机降行动击敌要害的战术优长,在新一代战斗条令的理论指导下,运用系统动力学方法和兰彻斯特战斗理论,建立装甲兵部队进攻战斗中机降行动的系统动力学模型,探索装甲兵部队在使用机降力量快速达成战术目的新方法,为指挥员科学使用这一战术手段提供了定量依据和有效的辅助决策支持.     

陆军合成部队火力打击行动效果评估

为了有效地调控火力打击行动进程,陆军合成部队指挥员和指挥机关必须及时准确地评估火力打击行动效果,不断调配有限的作战资源。火力打击行动效果评估主要包含敌作战体系毁伤评估、弹药效力评估、己方生存力评估和误伤评估等内容,并通过评估模型进行定性与定量分析,为指挥员和指挥机关调整决心和指挥控制火力打击行动提供决策依据。     

陆军合成部队火力打击行动效果评估研究

为了有效的调控火力打击行动进程,陆军合成部队指挥员和指挥机关必须及时准确地评估火力打击行动效果,不断调配有限的作战资源。火力打击行动效果评估主要包含敌作战体系毁伤评估、弹药效力评估、己方生存力评估和误伤评估等内容,并通过评估模型进行定性与定量分析,为指挥员和指挥机关调整决心和指挥控制火力打击行动提供决策依据。     

巴基斯坦海军的特种部队

1966年,巴基斯坦海军第一支破坏侦察分队——“海军特种作战小队”正式成立,司令部设在卡拉奇。目前,巴基斯坦海军特种部队编制人数为150人。该特种作战小队的所有人员,均由陆军特种部队各下属单位,在自己的基地为海军训练。由于巴基斯坦陆军有一支战斗蛙人部队,为了避免两支部队所担负的任务重叠,巴政府对其各自管辖的范围进行了划分:陆军战斗蛙人在内地水路活动,海军战斗蛙人在沿海方向和公海一带活动。 巴海军特种部队的阅兵服左上衣兜的上     

陆军战场机动效果评估

战场机动效果评估是陆军指挥员及指挥机关组织机动过程中的一项重要工作。首先介绍了战场机动效果评估的内容和指标体系,通过对机动时效性、机动到位率、机动隐蔽性和战斗力保持程度等主要内容的定性与定量分析,建立评估指标体系、评估数学模型,分别从机动时刻性、机动到位率、机动隐蔽性和战斗率四个方面评估机动效果,然后得出综合评估模型。以某战场机动场景为例进行仿真分析,得出综合评估结果,证实该方法提高了评估的准确性,为指挥员决策提供重要依据。     

Putin – the masked nemesis of the strategy of ambiguity

Recent events demonstrate the complex and adaptive approach employed by Russia to reassert influence in Europe. The changing face of Russia’s strategy commenced in 2007 when it launched a crippling cyber-attack against Estonia. This was followed by a large Russian conventional attack against Georgia in 2008, occupying two large areas of the nation. 2014 witnessed the Russian annexation of Crimea where in just a week, Russia seized control of Crimea “without firing a shot.” The annexation of Crimea was rapidly followed by a Russian inspired and led subversive war in eastern Ukraine. The common thread among these diverse Russian operations is its use of ambiguity to confound and confuse decision makers in the West.     

India's counter-insurgency experience: the ‘trust and nurture’ strategy

The Indian Army, a force trained primarily for conventional warfare, has been engaged in internal counter-insurgency operations since the 1950s. Despite such a long innings on a counter-insurgency mode, little attention has been accorded within military circles to doctrinal innovation for waging sub-conventional warfare in India's democratic political context. At best, the Army continues to view counter-insurgency duty as secondary to its primary duty of defending India from external conventional threats. By conceptualizing a counter-insurgency strategy of ‘trust and nurture’, this article aims to fill this critical doctrinal gap in India's military policy. The author argues that a counter-insurgency strategy of ‘trust and nurture’ based on democratic political culture, measured military methods, special counter-insurgency forces, local social and cultural awareness and an integrative nation-building approach will result in positive handling of India's internal security problems. The author utilizes India's counter-insurgency experiences in Assam, Mizoram, Nagaland, Punjab, and Operation ‘Sadhbhavana’ in Jammu and Kashmir as illustrative empirical indicants in order to validate the ‘trust and nurture’ strategy.     

Helping hands: civil–military cooperation and Italy's military operation abroad

In the Post-Bipolar Era the growing complexity of the military operations requires a new approach for the resolution of international crises. Since the end of the Cold War, peace support operations (PSO) have become the mainstay and principal occupation of most Western armies. At the same time, Italy has been one of the most important actors in such an area. The article focuses on the cooperation between military and civil components (a process called CIMIC) as a key variable in the Italian PSOs. We will analyse in detail the main lessons learned from past military interventions as well as the general context in which new tendencies are taking place. The maintaining of a minimum security frame becomes essential to fulfil activities ‘collateral’ to the mission: reconstructing services and infrastructure, food distribution, water and medication, law and order, de-mining, training of local forces, and supporting local institutions. These are the main tasks to obtain thrust and support from the population.     

Terrorism,insurgency, kidnapping,and security in Africa's energy sector

Energy continues to serve as the bedrock of modern economies and the main driver of modern society. For Africa, the production and supply of energy resources such as crude oil, natural gas, uranium, coal, biomass, biofuels and other renewables are an important source of employment, rents, taxes, royalties and profits. This sector brings in several tens of billions of dollars of revenue annually. The production and delivery of such resources, however, depend on critical infrastructures such as pipelines, refineries, processing plants, terminals, rigs, electrical energy pylons, substations, pump stations, vessels, and tankers. These infrastructures have been attacked by terrorists, insurgents, vandals and saboteurs, all of whom see them as targets against which to register their grievances and extract concessions from the state. This paper is a chronological account of some of the documented incidents of terrorism, insurgency, kidnapping, destruction, sabotage, and human casualties suffered in the oil and gas sectors in Africa between 1999 and 2012. It is based on data extracted from the databases of the RAND Database of World Terrorism Incidents and the University of Maryland's Global Terrorism Database (GTD).     

Tacit support for terrorism: The rapprochement between the USSR and Palestinian guerrilla organizations following the 1967 war

This article demonstrates the inconsistent and wavering Soviet attitude towards national liberation movements in general and the Palestinian organizations in particular. Until the late 1960s, the Soviets viewed these organizations with suspicion, hesitating to engage in political dialogue with them. However, in the 1970s, political and military events in the region, as well as modifications in the Kremlin's Cold War strategies, led to a general shift towards the Middle East in Soviet foreign policy. Soviet leaders showed increased willingness to provide certain Palestinian organizations with arms with which to conduct terrorist activities against Israeli, pro-Israeli, Jewish and Western targets. The article explores the complex relations between Palestinian organizations and the USSR in the field of international terror. The study also exposes and analyzes the nature and content of Soviet–Palestinian arms dialogues and transactions. It provides clear evidence that Soviet policymakers and other luminaries were fully informed of, and sometimes directly involved in, these transactions and dialogues at the highest levels.     

A1 Qaeda and the radical Islamic challenge to western strategy

The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses.     

Helping hands: external support for the KNU insurgency in Burma

This article analyses to what extent the Burmese KNU insurgency made use of external support from states, refugees, and diasporas. Based on extensive fieldwork it is concluded that support from neighbouring states and refugees has for years kept the Karen rebellion alive. Western countries perceived forms of resistance to the illegitimate Burmese regime as just and have therefore played a crucial role in the continuation of conflict in Karen State. It is important that policymakers and donors as well as executing organizations continue to reflect critically on the way they exercise their work.     

Reviews

Douglas S. Derrer, We Are All the Target: A Handbook of Terrorism Avoidance and Hostage Survival. Annapolis, MD: US Naval Institute Press, 1992. Pp. x+135, notes, index. $14.95. ISBN 01–55750–150–5

Ian Knight, Zulu: Isandlwana and Rorke's Drift, 22–23 January 1879. London: Windrow & Greene, 1992. Pp.136, 150 illus., incl 8 colour plates, maps, biblio. £35. ISBN 1–872004–23–7

Ian Knight, By the Orders of the Great White Queen: Campaigning in Zululand through the Eyes of the British Soldiers, 1879. London: Greenhill Books and Novato: Presidio Press, 1992. Pp. 272, 17 illus., 1 map. £18.95. ISBN 1–85367–122–3

Manfried Rauchensteiner and Erwin A. Schmidl (eds.), Formen des Krieges: vom Mittelalter zum ‘Low‐intensity’ Conflict’. Graz : Verlag Styria, 1991. Pp.208. DM35. ISBN 3–22–12139–7

Harold J. Kearsley, Maritime Power and the Twenty‐First Century. Dartmouth: Dartmouth Publishing Company, Limited, 1992. Pp.xv + 203, 13 diagrams, index. £32.50. ISBN 1–85521–288–9     

基于GTST-DMLD-ESD的装备RMS建模仿真

装备的RMS是装备的重要设计参数,是影响战备完好和保障能力的关键因素.引入GTST-DMLD作为主要建模工具,建立起装备系统的RMS描述模型,以ESD为补充和扩展,对维修过程进行建模.并以GTST-DMLD-ESD模型作为装备RMS仿真的核心,对装备RMS仿真模型的总体框架进行了研究,并对各模块进行了较为详细的探讨.