以发射质量最小为优化目标的反TBM拦截器优化研究

以反ＴＢＭ拦截器发射质量最小为优化目标,系统地研究了反ＴＢＭ拦截器总体优化技术,建立了反ＴＢＭ拦截器数学模型和优化算法,并得出重要结论。     

Systems defense games: Colonel blotto,command and control

The classical “Colonel Blotto” games of force allocation are generalized to include situations in which there are complementarities among the targets being defended. The complementarities are represented by means of a system “characteristic function,” and a valuation technique from the theory of cooperative games is seen to indicate the optimal allocations of defense and attack forces. Cost trade-offs between systems defense and alternative measures, such as the hardening of targets, are discussed, and a simple example is analyzed in order to indicate the potential of this approach.     

基于目标威胁规则的雷达情报按需分发

针对预警监视网络中信息过载的问题,为了提高情报分发的效率,提出了基于目标威胁规则的情报按需分发方法。依据目标特征以及保卫对象,利用模糊综合决策和层次分析法估计目标威胁值,在此基础上,通过设定阈值过滤,并与用户作战需求模型动态匹配,最终将所得到的目标情报信息分发给特定情报用户。仿真表明,该方法能够有效地实现情报的按需分发。     

巡航导弹强弱点分析及防御方法

巡航导弹具有突防能力强、命中精度高、灵活性强、技术上易于实现和造价低等优点而备受各个国家重视,已经发展成为现代战争的重要武器,是上世纪90年代以后的主要空中作战目标之一.对巡航导弹的强点与弱点进行了分析,并研究了防御巡航导弹的可行方法.     

To catch an intruder: Part A—uncluttered scenario

We analyze an interdiction scenario where an interceptor attempts to catch an intruder as the intruder moves through the area of interest. A motivating example is the detection and interdiction of drug smuggling vessels in the Eastern Pacific and Caribbean. We study two models in this article. The first considers a nonstrategic target that moves through the area without taking evasive action to avoid the interdictor. We determine the optimal location the interceptor should position itself to best respond when a target arrives. The second model analyzes the strategic interaction between the interceptor and intruder using a Blotto approach. The intruder chooses a route to travel on and the interceptor chooses a route to patrol. We model the interaction as a two‐player game with a bilinear payoff function. We compute the optimal strategy for both players and examine several extensions. © 2017 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 64: 29–40, 2017     

Combined proportional navigation law for interception of high-speed targets

A new proportional navigation (PN) guidance law, called combined proportional navigation (CPN), is proposed. The guidance law is designed to intercept high-speed targets, which is a common case for ballistic targets. The range of target-to-interceptor speed ratio during target interception is derived when guidance laws are applied in high-speed targets interception, and the effectiveness of negative navigation ratio in the PN-based guidance law is proven analytically in some lemmas. Based on the lemmas, the lateral acceleration command of CPN is defined, and the solution to the appearance of singularity in time-varying navigation ratio is given. The simulation results show that CPN can determine head-on engagement (as PN) or tail-chase engagement (as RPN) through initial path angle compared with PN and retro proportional navigation (RPN), and can adjust the value of navigation ratio for head-on engagement or tail-chase engagement. Therefore, the capture region of CPN is larger than that of other guidance laws using PN-based methods.     

全球信息栅格及其对美军导弹防御系统的作用

导弹防御系统是美军重点发展的战略武器系统。C4ISR作为导弹防御系统体系中重要的通信指挥自动化系统,由于其自身存在着信息网闭塞与狭窄的缺点,制约着导弹防御系统的功能发挥。美军目前正在全力建设全球信息栅格,通过整合各种信息资源,构成一个可以共享"陆、海、空、天"多维信息的互连互通互操作网络,提升导弹防御系统的一体化信息交互,建成一个多层次、全方位、覆盖全球的导弹拦截系统。     

截击机机群作战起飞规划效能模型

研究了截击机机群起飞架数的规划方法.通过对多攻击机机群进攻方式及截击攻击机机群目标分配形式的分析,以单一机群对单一机群在均匀目标分配形式下的作战效果为基础,根据来袭目标及我方最佳截击区域情况,合理地规划多机场作战飞机的起飞架数.建立了多机场飞机异地起降对多攻击机机群进行最优目标分配的形式及其量化关系模型,最后通过实例仿真和分析,证实了该模型的有效性和实用性.     

灰靶理论的空中目标威胁评估与排序

对空中目标的威胁程度进行科学的评估与排序是防空指挥的重要环节,是防空指挥员进行火力分配的主要依据,也是防空指挥自动化系统的重要功能之一.灰靶理论是处理模式序列的灰关联分析理论,其核心概念是靶心度,可以依据靶心度进行模式分级.分析了影响空中目标威胁程度的主要因素,并基于灰靶理论建立了空中目标威胁评估与排序的数学模型,提出了应用灰靶理论进行威胁评估与排序的方法,为防空指挥员进行科学决策提供了理论依据.     

真比例导引律的降维分析方法

提出了三维真比例导引律的降维分析方法。首先研究视线的运动规律,提出了视线的两种旋转角速度及其计算方法,建立了视线运动方程与新的弹目相对运动方程。其次通过对弹目相对运动的分析,发现在三维空间中存在视线瞬时旋转平面,可以在该平面内构造二维制导律,以应用于三维拦截问题的制导控制。然后将空间真比例导引律不加任何近似与线性化直接引入视线瞬时旋转平面,使其维度从三维降为二维,并对其制导特性进行了分析。最后通过仿真对比分析,验证了真比例导引律降维分析方法的有效性。     

空中反恐中保卫目标重要度指标体系研究

空中恐怖袭击具有突然性和随意性的特点,其目的是通过制造恐怖事件引起巨大影响,带来社会恐慌。通过分析空中恐怖袭击对袭击目标选择的特点,剖析其规律性,从而建立空中反恐保卫目标重要度指标体系和保卫目标重要度评价模型,对保卫目标进行科学有效地划定与排序,便于在空中反恐作战中对保卫目标及早进行确定、实施空中警戒范围划定和战斗部署。     

Optimal pricing and inventory control policy in periodic‐review systems with fixed ordering cost and lost sales

This paper studies a periodic‐review pricing and inventory control problem for a retailer, which faces stochastic price‐sensitive demand, under quite general modeling assumptions. Any unsatisfied demand is lost, and any leftover inventory at the end of the finite selling horizon has a salvage value. The cost component for the retailer includes holding, shortage, and both variable and fixed ordering costs. The retailer's objective is to maximize its discounted expected profit over the selling horizon by dynamically deciding on the optimal pricing and replenishment policy for each period. We show that, under a mild assumption on the additive demand function, at the beginning of each period an (s,S) policy is optimal for replenishment, and the value of the optimal price depends on the inventory level after the replenishment decision has been done. Our numerical study also suggests that for a sufficiently long selling horizon, the optimal policy is almost stationary. Furthermore, the fixed ordering cost (K) plays a significant role in our modeling framework. Specifically, any increase in K results in lower s and higher S. On the other hand, the profit impact of dynamically changing the retail price, contrasted with a single fixed price throughout the selling horizon, also increases with K. We demonstrate that using the optimal policy values from a model with backordering of unmet demands as approximations in our model might result in significant profit penalty. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

基于遗传算法的防空兵群最优火力分配模型研究

结合战场目标价值分析,根据防空兵火力分配情况,运用遗传算法建立了最佳火力分配模型,使防空武器最大限度的发挥火力单位效能,达到最大毁伤效果。采用了实数编码方案,对选择,交叉,变异等操作进行了改进。最后通过计算,验证了方案的可行性和优越性.     

Suboptimal decision rule for attacking targets of opportunity

A player having only a definite number of weapons is hunting targets. His total hunting time is also limited. Targets of opportunity with various values arrive at random, and as soon as a target arrives the player observes the target value and decides whether or not to shoot it down. The issue is what the decision rule is which guarantees him a maximum expected gain during the hunting time. Poisson arrival of the targets, uniform distribution of the target value, and the shoot-look-shoot scheme qre assumed. A decision rule is derived which is not optimal but has a very simple form and gives almost as good value as the optimal decision rule does.     

Damage assessment of the target area of the island/reef under the attack of missile warhead

Under the background of vigorously developing facilities of island/reef in the world, the economic value and strategic significance of the island/reef have become increasingly important. Unfortunately, they may easily become the attacking target of missiles in the war time. Therefore, aiming at the damage quantification of the targets in the island/reef under the missile attacking, a macroscopic damage assessment model for the target area is proposed in this paper. The model focuses on the construction of the assessment model framework. Firstly, the analytic hierarchy process and the grey relational analysis are applied to measure the importance of each target in the region through four indicators of the target hazard, striking urgency, damage advantage and mission relevance, respectively. Secondly, based on the damage mechanism of shock wave and fragments to target, the corresponding damage model is established, and the damage grade of each target in the evaluated area is obtained according to the damage criteria and grading standard. Finally, the model obtains the overall damage grade of the target area by employing the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, with synthesizing the importance and the damage grade of each target. Through the verification of an example, it demonstrates the certain feasibility of the model and provides a certain basis and reference for the subsequent research.     

联合火力打击目标毁伤指标分析

对目标的打击程度不同,带来了参战兵力兵器,以及兵力的使用的不同,因此,对目标的毁伤指标评估一直是指挥员和作战计划人员所关注的重要问题。通过分析目标及目标毁伤指标的概念,并对突击目标进行分类,提出了突击单个目标、面状目标、作战集团等目标的毁伤标准(如对单个目标的毁伤标准为摧毁、严重毁伤、中度毁伤和轻度毁伤)和计算方法。     

防空系统中空中目标威胁评估方法研究

针对当前对空中目标威胁评估研究的不足，提出了一种防空系统中评估目标威胁度的新方法，其思想在于将空中目标的威胁因子分为定量指标和定性指标，其中定量指标包括目标速度、目标高度等可以直接获取的指标，该部分指标通过隶属函数直接得到威胁值；定性指标包括目标类型、目标意图等不能直接获取的指标，通过贝叶斯网络进行推理以得到静态威胁值。最后通过AHP 方法对各个指标威胁值进行加权得到总威胁值。该方法的特点在于定性分析与定量分析的结合，通过仿真算例验证了该方法的有效性与可行性。     

Property distribution and configurations of sovereign states: A rational economic model

A nation's wealth is both an object of conquest to covetous aggressors and a resource to its owners for self defense. To maintain autonomy every country must mount a defense which either makes its capture (1) more expensive than any aggressor can afford, or (2) more expensive than it is worth to aggressors. Whether this condition can be satisfied for all countries simultaneously depends as shown in this paper on relative efficacy of military offense versus defense, the aggregate of wealth among nations and its distribution, and the benefits a conqueror may obtain from conquest, including the duration of these benefits. The paper shows how these factors fit together to determine the sustainability and stability of the international distribution of property as embodied in the configuration of sovereign states.     

基于GA-PSO的目标分配问题研究

防空作战中的目标分配问题属于NP完全问题,在综合考虑火力单元作战效能和防御效能的基础上,引入火力单元综合有利度,建立了一种用于大规模多火力单元对抗多轮次目标的静态目标分配模型,给出了基于GA因子的改进PSO算法,并将算法应用于目标分配模型的求解,通过VC 6.0编程和计算机仿真验证了模型的可行性和算法的有效性.     

空天防御效能指标及其标准值的确定方法

空天领域的对抗决定了未来军事行动的进程和战争的胜败,空天威胁也已经成为各国国家军事安全的主要威胁。军事强国的全球打击系统、快速打击系统和弹道导弹的迅猛发展使得未来空天防御作战环境越来越复杂,也对空天防御作战提出了更高要求。空天防御是信息化空天时代的主要作战样式之一,是维护国家安全的重要屏障。本文提出了空天防御的充分性准则以及保证空天防御充分性的主要途径,分析了拟制空天防御力量行动方案的一般流程。文中所提出的空天防御效能指标以及确定和保证标准值指标的方法,能够从经济学视角较为合理、充分地构建和实施空天防御,对空天防御作战规划理论建议有一定参考价值,也能为发展空天防御作战规划系统提供研究思路和技术支撑。