美国导弹防御系统的发展动向分析

介绍了美国导弹防御系统的发展历程以及装备的研制、改进情况,指出了在现代战争中发展美国导弹防御系统的优势和重要性,重点探讨了国家导弹防御系统NMD、美国战区导弹防御系统TMD、海军全战区弹道导弹防御系统NTW、海军区域导弹防御系统NAD的性能及其特点,最后论述了美国导弹防御系统的发展动向分析,美国导弹防御系统的未来的防御手段,主要是新型的定向能武器和动能武器。     

美国的弹道导弹防御新策略

由美国国会１９９９ 年３ 月决定加速发展“最具前途”的高层战区 导弹防御系统, 所以有关美国弹道导弹防御的新策略近期成了全球讨论的热点。文章从描述 美国战区导弹防御系统和国家导弹防御系统的基本配置和拦截试验出发, 简要介绍了美国的 弹道导弹防御计划。最后指出, 弹道导弹防御的核心思想是以数量庞大的精确制导武器摧毁来袭弹道导弹, 在战略导弹防御的三个阶段实施反导作战。     

为海军的战区弹道导弹防御设计导弹系统

虽然在敌对国家武库中的大部分战区弹道导弹（ＴＢＭ）都是近程的“飞毛腿”型导弹,但在一些第三世界国家中现在正在研制中程到远程的改型。潜在的威胁存在于以下三个作战空间：大气层内低空（０￣３０公里）;大气层内高空（３０￣７０公里）;大气层外（大于７０公里）。使海军具备区域防御能力的ＳＭ－２ⅣＡ型导弹,适合应付固有的射程近、速度低的大气层内低空威胁。大气层外的战区弹道导弹射程比较远,能够威胁散布范围可能很     

战区导弹防御(TMD)和国家导弹防御(NMD)

概述了弹道导弹防御的发展,弹道导弹防御系统的分类.对战区导弹防御系统和国家导弹防御系统及其所用拦截武器进行了综合介绍.     

何谓THD

TMD (Theatre Missile Defense)是战区导弹防御系统的简称。美国新政府加紧部署的导弹防御系统,既包括国家导弹防御系统(NMD,National Missile Defense),也包括战区导弹防御系统(TMD)。按照美国人自己的说法,TMD是一种用于保护美国本土以外的战区免受近程、中程和近中程弹道导弹攻击的     

战区导弹防御分析

“战区导弹防御”(TMD)计划是相对于“国家导弹防御”(NMD)计划而言的,它和“国家导弹防御”(NMD)计划共同构成美国的“弹道导弹防御”(BMD)计划。“国家导弹防御”(NMD)计划的主要任务是发展能够保护美国本土免遭远程战略弹道导弹攻击的弹道导弹防御系统。而“战区导弹防御”系统则用于保卫美国本土之外的一个地区免遭射程在3500千米以下的近程、中程、远程弹道导弹袭击,如美国部署在海外的部队、设施以及美国的盟     

TMD——挡不住的诱惑

美国的战区导弹防御计划形成于1993年5月,近年来为在东亚建立第一个战区导掸防御系统(TMD),美国与日本、韩国进行了长期的磋商,并于1997年正式提出将台湾拉人该系统。经过一番踌躇后,台湾终因“挡不住的诱惑”,为加入TMD再次掏了钱袋,但至今未能获得进     

美国战区高空防御系统(THAAD)分析

文章以组成战区高空防御系统的核心项目──THAAD拦截弹、战区导弹防御地基雷达（TMD－GBR）为背景,分析论证了主要战术技术指标．并给出计算结论。     

美国海军战区弹道导弹防御系统

美军认为,目前已有不少国家具有了使用战术弹道导弹对美军战区兵力和资源进行攻击的能力,为保证战区部队及各类资源的安全,使之免受战术弹道导弹的攻击,必须发展先进的战区弹道导弹防御(TBMD)系统。为此,1993年5月,美国宣布将其“战略防御倡议”计划(即“星球大战”计划)更名为“弹道导弹防御”计划,同时确立了以反战术弹道导弹为重点的战略,把主要工作转向了研制先进的 TBMD 系统。在此指导思想下,美海军正在积极进行海军区域防御(NAD)系统和海军全战区防御(NTWD)系统的研制,并正在寻求与盟国海军一道进行研制和采购。     

弹体处理在提高战术弹道导弹弹头突防能力中的应用

针对美国战区导弹防御 (TMD)系统的特点 ,提出了提高中程战术弹道导弹弹头突防能力的弹体处理 (弹体分解 )方案。从弹头目标群的雷达辐射、红外辐射、减速等特性对弹体分解方案进行了分析和初步论证。最后演示了利用多目标突防挫败“战区高空区域防御”(THAAD)系统的过程     

美国国家导弹防御(NMD)系统

1 999年 3月 ,美国国会参众两院通过了国家导弹防御系统的法案 ,该法案规定 ,一旦该系统研制成功 ,美国应立即予以部署 ,从而引起国际社会和舆论的广泛关注。简要介绍了美国弹道导弹防御计划的演变 ,国家导弹防御系统的组成、性能特点和基本配置以及拦截试验的基本情况。     

基于Multi-Agent的防空导弹武器系统模型设计

建立科学的结构模型是进行防空导弹武器系统仿真的基础和关键环节。针对防空导弹武器系统的特点,提出了基于Multi-Agent的防空导弹武器系统模型建模方法,设计了防空导弹武器系统模型结构。利用Multi-Agent建模技术,把防空导弹武器系统实体映射成相应的Multi-Agent系统,并以Agent的形式对防空导弹武器系统这一客观复杂系统进行了深刻的认识,为防空导弹武器系统建模仿真奠定了基础。     

导弹防御系统中的雷达目标识别研究

以评估美国国家导弹防御(NMD)系统雷达识别能力为背景,分析了地基雷达识别弹道导弹目标的技术途径。根据弹道导弹目标群在飞行中段和再入段表现出的特性差异,提出了涉及目标结构特性、姿态特性以及再入特性的综合识别策略,并初步分析了各种识别措施的可行性。     

A trajectory for homeland ballistic missile defense

The Ground-based Midcourse Defense system is intended to protect the US homeland against limited attacks from intermediate- and long-range ballistic missiles. It has succeeded in intercepting target missiles and can engage a threat launched from North Korea or the Middle East, targeting any point in the USA. Nevertheless, high-profile struggles and program changes related to homeland ballistic missile defense (BMD) continue to make headlines. The most significant struggle has been a string of three straight intercept test failures over five years, followed by the recent successful intercept test in June 2014. This article first briefly reviews the current threats of concern. It then examines homeland BMD policy objectives, followed by the current major technical issues in supporting these objectives and, then, the likelihood of negating a warhead. Finally, it highlights major considerations that should be part of the trajectory the US government takes moving forward.     

Deterrence under nuclear asymmetry: THAAD and the prospects for missile defense on the Korean peninsula

The 2016 decision to deploy Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) to South Korea has generated multitude of intensely politicized issues and has proved highly controversial. This has made it challenging to alleviate, let alone clarify, points of analytical and policy tensions. We instead disaggregate and revisit two fundamental questions. One is whether THAAD could really defend South Korea from North Korean missiles. We challenge the conventional “qualified optimism” by giving analytical primacy to three countermeasures available to defeat THAAD–use of decoys, tumbling and spiral motion, and outnumbering. These countermeasures are relatively inexpensive to create but exceedingly difficult to offset. Second, we assess the optimal way to ensure South Korean national security against North Korean missiles. By examining the balance of capability and issues of credibility/commitment, we show that the U.S. extended deterrence by punishment remains plentiful and sufficiently credible even without enhancing the current defense capability.     

Missile defense and strategic stability: Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) in South Korea

South Korea is threatened by its troubled relationship with North Korea. North Korea possesses a large cache of missiles as well as chemical and biological weapons, and the future potential to mount nuclear weapons on its missiles. The United States is also challenged because of its defense commitments to Seoul. As a countermeasure, the United States and South Korea decided to deploy Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) missile defenses in South Korea. However, China has objected. Chinese scholars believe the THAAD radar would be able to track Chinese inter-continental ballistic missiles, thereby weakening their deterrent. A technical analysis does not support this assertion. However, it is vital for South Korea, given its proximity and economic interdependence, to reassure China. South Korea should highlight that THAAD will be deployed by the United States Forces Korea and is not a commitment by Seoul to become part of U.S.-led missile defenses in the Asia-Pacific.     

数据挖掘故障诊断专家系统

为了及时准确地对防空导弹飞行试验故障进行诊断,克服传统专家系统获取专家知识的瓶颈,立足于防空导弹飞行试验历史数据,利用数据挖掘的方法获得飞行试验故障模式判定决策树,进而得出导弹故障判定规则,形成故障诊断专家知识库,构建防空导弹故障诊断专家系统.这使数据挖掘和专家系统两者的优点得到充分发挥.     

From rivals to partners: AirSea Battle and the US air force–navy relationship

AirSea Battle (ASB) has generated significant publicity, controversy, and debate among scholars, analysts, commentators, and observers of US defense strategy. However, a research gap exists concerning formal analysis of the impact of the operational concept on the relationship between the US Air Force (USAF) and the US Navy (USN). The impact of the ASB operational concept on the USAF–USN relationship is examined across the issue areas of strategy, budgets, weapons procurement, and training. These four issue areas represent important areas of historical conflict and competition between the Air Force and Navy. The conclusion is that ASB is ushering in a new era of Air Force–Navy partnership that advances the inter-service dynamic from “jointness” toward integration. The emergent USAF–USN partnership therefore represents a significant development in US defense politics and defense strategy.