受限空间人员被困事故消防救援研究

归纳总结了受限空间人员被困事故的特点,分析了此类事故救援过程中需要的器材装备,论述了受限空间人员被困事故的救援技术,并针对此类事故救援、训练、研究提出了建议。     

航空器轮胎爆破事故量化分析与预防方法研究

在对传统重要度优缺点开展分析并扩展航空事故重要性分析的基础上,提出了一种新的航空事故重要度定义和求解方法。以飞机轮胎爆破事故为例,给出了航空事故Bow-tie模型的建模方法和具体步骤,提出了利用基本事件和环节事件发生概率直接计算航空事故发生可能性的定量求解方法。从数值上建立了危险源与航空事故发生后果的量化联系,并提出了一种基于Bow-tie模型的航空事故预防对策和控制措施生成机制,为有效预防、控制和缓解各类航空事故提供了依据。     

污水井中毒事故的消防救援研究

污水井中毒事故是近年来多发且死亡率较高的一种事故,分析了污水井中毒事故的特点,制定了事故的消防救援方案,并对此类事故处置训练提出建议,对消防部队的救援工作具有指导作用。     

核动力装置一回路辅助系统失水事故的仿真研究

运用一种操作简便、计算速度快的工具软件对某核动力装置一回路辅助系统典型位置的失水事故进行了仿真.通过分析仿真结果得出不同位置的破口引起不同后果的事故,其中有些事故可以忽略,有些事故则相当严重.     

基于船用堆严重事故下环境中早期剂量后果的重要核素分析

为评价船用堆发生严重核事故后环境中早期剂量后果,首先对事故源项在环境中的迁移进行了预测;然后,用严重事故计算程序MELCOR仿真计算出大破口失水事故、全船断电事故源项,最后用大气扩散计算软件MACCS计算了两种事故下环境中的总释放核素和单一核素造成的早期剂量后果,以及每种核素对事故早期剂量后果的贡献。计算结果表明:18种核素可包络大破口失水事故、全船断电事故99%以上的剂量贡献。     

葱茏的生命绿洲——江南集团2005年安全生产创佳绩

2005年,湖南湘潭江南机器（集团）有限公司打造了安全生产的生命绿洲。这一年,是该公司工业总产值创历史最高。事故频率最低的一年。全年未发生重、特大事故,无燃烧爆炸事故,无急性中毒事故,无死亡、重伤事故,仅发生一般事故1人次,一般事故频率为0．2‰（计划指标为7‰）,有效保障了企业的生产经营和发展稳定。江南,是如何泛着生命葱茏的绿意的呢？     

谈化工设备检修中的防火防爆

因设备检修引发的火灾爆炸事故在化工企业发生的事故中占有一定的比例,文章通过分析检修中引起火灾爆炸事故的原因,对检修中的动火、动土、进入设备、登高等作业提出了相应的安全对策.     

基于层次聚类法的化工装置火灾爆炸灾害事故模式分析

化工装置灾害事故模式的研究,有益于从源头上做好灾害事故的预防工作。在介绍传统事故模式分析方法的基础上,提出了基于层次聚类法的化工装置火灾爆炸灾害事故模式分析方法,并对近20年100起相关灾害事故案例进行了模式分析研究。     

PDA在应急事故指挥中的应用研究

在分析当前部队应急事故指挥现状与PDA(Personal Digital Assistant)应用现状的基础上,提出集成EGIS,GPS,GPRS的PDA系统在应急事故指挥中的应用原型,用于解决应急事故指挥中移动困难的问题,加快应急事故指挥系统的响应速度,降低事故造成的损失.介绍了Windows CE与嵌入式开发、系统组成、工作原理及系统功能,为PDA在应急事故指挥中的应用提出一个可行性方案.     

电梯事故的救援和预防

电梯作为住宅楼、写字楼等楼宇内的垂直运输工具，应用日益广泛，电梯的事故也逐渐增多，已引起人们的普遍关注。分析了当前电梯事故的原因及类型，从外部救援和电梯内自救两方面阐述了电梯事故救援的方案，提出了有效预防电梯事故的对策。     

Helping hands: civil–military cooperation and Italy's military operation abroad

In the Post-Bipolar Era the growing complexity of the military operations requires a new approach for the resolution of international crises. Since the end of the Cold War, peace support operations (PSO) have become the mainstay and principal occupation of most Western armies. At the same time, Italy has been one of the most important actors in such an area. The article focuses on the cooperation between military and civil components (a process called CIMIC) as a key variable in the Italian PSOs. We will analyse in detail the main lessons learned from past military interventions as well as the general context in which new tendencies are taking place. The maintaining of a minimum security frame becomes essential to fulfil activities ‘collateral’ to the mission: reconstructing services and infrastructure, food distribution, water and medication, law and order, de-mining, training of local forces, and supporting local institutions. These are the main tasks to obtain thrust and support from the population.     

Terrorism,insurgency, kidnapping,and security in Africa's energy sector

Energy continues to serve as the bedrock of modern economies and the main driver of modern society. For Africa, the production and supply of energy resources such as crude oil, natural gas, uranium, coal, biomass, biofuels and other renewables are an important source of employment, rents, taxes, royalties and profits. This sector brings in several tens of billions of dollars of revenue annually. The production and delivery of such resources, however, depend on critical infrastructures such as pipelines, refineries, processing plants, terminals, rigs, electrical energy pylons, substations, pump stations, vessels, and tankers. These infrastructures have been attacked by terrorists, insurgents, vandals and saboteurs, all of whom see them as targets against which to register their grievances and extract concessions from the state. This paper is a chronological account of some of the documented incidents of terrorism, insurgency, kidnapping, destruction, sabotage, and human casualties suffered in the oil and gas sectors in Africa between 1999 and 2012. It is based on data extracted from the databases of the RAND Database of World Terrorism Incidents and the University of Maryland's Global Terrorism Database (GTD).     

Tacit support for terrorism: The rapprochement between the USSR and Palestinian guerrilla organizations following the 1967 war

This article demonstrates the inconsistent and wavering Soviet attitude towards national liberation movements in general and the Palestinian organizations in particular. Until the late 1960s, the Soviets viewed these organizations with suspicion, hesitating to engage in political dialogue with them. However, in the 1970s, political and military events in the region, as well as modifications in the Kremlin's Cold War strategies, led to a general shift towards the Middle East in Soviet foreign policy. Soviet leaders showed increased willingness to provide certain Palestinian organizations with arms with which to conduct terrorist activities against Israeli, pro-Israeli, Jewish and Western targets. The article explores the complex relations between Palestinian organizations and the USSR in the field of international terror. The study also exposes and analyzes the nature and content of Soviet–Palestinian arms dialogues and transactions. It provides clear evidence that Soviet policymakers and other luminaries were fully informed of, and sometimes directly involved in, these transactions and dialogues at the highest levels.     

A1 Qaeda and the radical Islamic challenge to western strategy

The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses.     

Helping hands: external support for the KNU insurgency in Burma

This article analyses to what extent the Burmese KNU insurgency made use of external support from states, refugees, and diasporas. Based on extensive fieldwork it is concluded that support from neighbouring states and refugees has for years kept the Karen rebellion alive. Western countries perceived forms of resistance to the illegitimate Burmese regime as just and have therefore played a crucial role in the continuation of conflict in Karen State. It is important that policymakers and donors as well as executing organizations continue to reflect critically on the way they exercise their work.     

Reviews

Douglas S. Derrer, We Are All the Target: A Handbook of Terrorism Avoidance and Hostage Survival. Annapolis, MD: US Naval Institute Press, 1992. Pp. x+135, notes, index. $14.95. ISBN 01–55750–150–5

Ian Knight, Zulu: Isandlwana and Rorke's Drift, 22–23 January 1879. London: Windrow & Greene, 1992. Pp.136, 150 illus., incl 8 colour plates, maps, biblio. £35. ISBN 1–872004–23–7

Ian Knight, By the Orders of the Great White Queen: Campaigning in Zululand through the Eyes of the British Soldiers, 1879. London: Greenhill Books and Novato: Presidio Press, 1992. Pp. 272, 17 illus., 1 map. £18.95. ISBN 1–85367–122–3

Manfried Rauchensteiner and Erwin A. Schmidl (eds.), Formen des Krieges: vom Mittelalter zum ‘Low‐intensity’ Conflict’. Graz : Verlag Styria, 1991. Pp.208. DM35. ISBN 3–22–12139–7

Harold J. Kearsley, Maritime Power and the Twenty‐First Century. Dartmouth: Dartmouth Publishing Company, Limited, 1992. Pp.xv + 203, 13 diagrams, index. £32.50. ISBN 1–85521–288–9     

基于GTST-DMLD-ESD的装备RMS建模仿真

装备的RMS是装备的重要设计参数,是影响战备完好和保障能力的关键因素.引入GTST-DMLD作为主要建模工具,建立起装备系统的RMS描述模型,以ESD为补充和扩展,对维修过程进行建模.并以GTST-DMLD-ESD模型作为装备RMS仿真的核心,对装备RMS仿真模型的总体框架进行了研究,并对各模块进行了较为详细的探讨.     

Cyber sheiks and grassroots jihadis: the war in Syria and the devolution of the Bosnian Salafi communities

ABSTRACT

What was the scope of the Bosnian jihadi participation in the war in Syria? Did the Bosnian volunteers tend to join one particular faction? Why did the Bosnian youngsters decide to join the holy war in the Levant? Was this an organized and hierarchical process or was this a grassroots movement? Last, were all the Salafis in Bosnia supportive of this dynamic or did this process cause internal frictions? These are some of the questions that this research will try to answer.