一种新的非参数谱估计方法

提出了一种新的非参数谱密度估计方法,它是传统加窗周期谱估计方法的一种修正,并证明了此估计具有渐近无偏性、相合性、渐近正态性.     

改进的累量域波达方向矩阵法

构造了一种可以进行高分辨二维波达方向估计的累量域波达方向矩阵。利用该矩阵的特征值和特征向量 ,就可以求出信号源的方位角和俯仰角。同其它的波达方向矩阵法相比 ,放宽了对阵列结构的要求 ,提高了阵列孔径的利用率。同时 ,由于采用了累量来构造波达方向矩阵 ,因此新方法具有对高斯噪声的自然盲性。     

基于高阶谱净化的水声目标宽带调制信号检测

针对水声目标解调谱轴频提取中低信噪比和低频信号干扰严重的问题,给出了一种检测水声目标辐射噪声宽带调制信号的方法。首先利用希尔波特变换解调出信号包络,进而计算出解调谱;根据螺旋桨桨叶旋转产生的调制线谱存在明显的谐波关系,利用高阶累计量对角切片对解调谱进行净化;根据线谱波形特征进行线谱检测识别得到比较干净的线谱成分。通过实际舰船噪声检验分析,该调制信号检测方法能够较好的检测出水下目标辐射噪声中调制线谱的基频以及谐波成分。     

考虑了非国防公共支出的军费最优规模

战争是现阶段人类社会客观存在的恶疾,这一恶疾每天都在耗费大量人类社会的经济资源,但是可供利用的经济资源是有限的,用于国家安全保障的每一种经济资源的增加都意味着某项经济建设投入的减少。文章运用西方经济学和公共部门经济学知识,对一个国家为满足国防需要而应该投入的军费数量进行了理论上的分析。     

略论克尼格累茨战役的军事、政治意义

19世纪60年代，普鲁士宰相俾斯麦推行强硬的“铁血政策”，为德意志统一展现了宏伟前景。普鲁士在国家军事力量的支撑下，综合运用外交、政治、战略手段，完成了梦寐以求的德意志统一大业。这其中普鲁士与奥地利对决的克尼格累茨战役起着关键性的作用。它不仅改变了欧洲政治和军事地图，打破了中欧地区的势力均衡，使普、奥两国命运发生不可逆转之变化，而且为德意志的完整、独立奠定了坚实基础，并推动了德意志走向穷兵黩武的军事帝国。     

舰船装备多态系统维修决策的帕累托最优模型

针对舰船装备的复杂性与多态性特点,在分析多目标维修决策帕累托最优理论基本原理的基础上,建立了考虑可靠性、维修时间以及费用的舰船装备多态系统维修决策帕累托最优模型,给出了一种操作简便的解析算法,为维修决策提供了模型依据。最后,以舰用柴油机为例,建立了柴油机维修决策的帕累托最优模型,在给定的决策参数条件下,计算得到了柴油机维修的最优方案,验证了该研究方法的正确性及可操性。     

不连续距离特征量信息融合方法

浅海波导中低频声场存在稳定可观察的干涉结构,目标辐射噪声LOFAR图中呈现干涉条纹图案。从条纹中可以提取出距离特征量信息,它反映了目标运动过程中的距离变化率。由于外部环境的影响或运动态势的改变,LOFAR图中条纹有可能会短暂丢失。此时,基于波导不变条纹的距离特征量提取算法失效。提出了不连续距离特征量信息融合方法,在条纹丢失期间内保持对目标距离特征量轨迹的跟踪。仿真及海试数据处理结果验证了其可行性。     

炮控系统性能测试方法

炮控系统是战车的重要组成部分,其性能的好坏直接影响到火控系统的反应时间和射击精度。对比了炮控系统角位移量测量方案,并对CCD坐-标靶方法作了改进,既能保证足够的测量精度和测量范围,又有较高的性能价格比。     

21世纪以来日本装备建设经费投向投量特点及走向

21世纪以来,随着国内政治倾向和国家战略发展,日本对未来战略进行了调整,同时也加大了对军费的投入力度。通过对日本装备建设经费规模和结构的分析,可以看出,其装备建设经费规模和军费绝对规模的变化态势基本一致。探密日本装备建设经费投向投量的特点,可以预测其未来发展的走向。     

基于BMOPSO的后装保障基地多目标选址方法研究

基于后装保障基地选址多目标特性,提出了保障水平—保障距离阶跃性、保障加权距离等概念,构建了多目标混合整数规划选址模型;针对模型目标函数多、维度大、难以计算等特点,设计了一种二进制多目标粒子群算法(BMOPSO),并进行算法效率分析;结合算例分析了具体选址问题,计算得到了一组帕累托选址方案组合和帕累托前沿.该方法可根据决策者偏好为其提供选址决策参考.     

Confidence intervals related to sequential test for the exponential distribution

One-sided sequential tests for the mean of an exponential distribution are proposed, and the related confidence intervals are computed. The tests behave like the classical sequential probability-ration test when the mean is small and like a fixed-time test when the mean is large and accurate estimation is important.     

二阶矩模糊随机过程的均方极限

给出了二阶矩模糊随机过程均方极限的两种定义,证明了这两种定义的等价性,并讨论了二阶矩模糊随机过程均方极限的性质。     

材料随机梁的有限元分析

提出一种以柔度为基础的具有随机刚度弯曲梁的有限元公式。在计算过程中 ,用与刚度均值有关的内力近似表示未知内力值。通过蒙特卡罗模拟可示出刚度的一维可靠性密度函数和相关函数 ,可用来估算柔度的均值和协方差函数。最后根据新的公式计算出随机梁的均值和协方差。     

Probabilistic priorities in the M/G/1 queue

A simple method is presented for deriving the mean and variance of the queueing time distribution in an M/G/1 queue when the priorities assigned to customers have an assignment probability distribution. Several examples illustrate the results. The mean and variance of the queueing time distribution for the longest service time discipline are derived, and its disadvantages are discussed.     

(R.Q) inventory problem with unknown mean demand and learning

We address a single product, continuous review model with stationary Poisson demand. Such a model has been effectively studied when mean demand is known. However, we are concerned with managing new items for which only a Bayesian prior distribution on the mean is available. As demand occurs, the prior is updated and our control parameters are revised. These include the reorder point (R) and reorder quantity (Q). Deemer, taking a clue from some earlier RAND work, suggested using a model appropriate for known mean, but using a Compound Poisson distribution for demand rather than Poisson to reflect uncertainty about the mean. Brown and Rogers also used this approach but within a periodic review context. In this paper we show how to compute optimum reorder points for a special problem closely related to the problem of real interest. In terms of the real problem, subject to a qualification to be discussed, the reorder points found are upper bounds for the optimum. At the same time, the reorder points found can never exceed those found by the Compound Poisson (Deemer) approach. And they can be smaller than those found when there is no uncertainty about the mean. As a check, the Compound Poisson and proposed approach are compared by simulation.     

Control-variate selection criteria

For multiresponse simulations requiring point and confidence-region estimators of the mean response, we propose control-variate selection criteria that minimize mean-square confidence-region volume in two situations: (a) Only the mean control vector is known, and standard linear control-variate estimation procedures are used. (b) Covariances among controls are also known and are incorporated into new linear control-variate estimation procedures. An example illustrates the performance of these selection criteria.     

Technical note: Traffic intensity estimation

This note examines estimation of the traffic intensity in an M/G/1 queue. We show that the ratio of sample mean service times to the sample mean interarrival times has undesirable sampling properties. To remedy this, two alternative estimators are introduced. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 2009     

On the discrete-time queue length distribution under markov-dependent phases

The technique of probability generating functions has been applied to solve the steady state behavior of a discrete-time, single-channel, queueing problem wherein the arrivals to the queue at consecutive time-marks are statistically independent, but the service is accomplished in phases which are Markov-dependent. Special cases of importance have been discussed. In the end, mean number of phases, its special cases, the mean queue lengths, and the variances have been ascertained.