油料消耗神经网络组合预测模型

油料消耗单一预测模型精度不高,难以适应信息化条件下精确保障需要。以单一的神经网络预测模型、时间序列预测模型和灰色预测模型为组合预测的基础,利用神经网络求取3种预测模型的组合预测权重系数,将这3种单一预测模型的预测结果作为神经网络组合预测模型的输入,求得一个新的预测结果。平均相对误差和均方差比表明,神经网络组合预测模型比单一预测模型更为优越。     

GUNS AND BUTTER

Having developed an arms industry of extraordinary depth and breath of capacity, the advent of the De Klerk presidency in 1989 dramatically affected the South African military establishment and its defence industry as budgets were slashed, procurement came to a standstill and the industry was reorganized. Subsequent majority rule did not auger well for the defence industry, yet, a decade later, by 2004, the armaments industry was not only thriving, but had managed to embed itself in the long-term security vision of the state. Key moments in this process was the inclusive and consultative development of the South African White Paper on Defence in 1996, the Defence Review in 1998, and a White Paper on South African Defence Related Industries the following year. Today the relationship between the industry and the government is again close and South Africa's arms producers constitute an interesting combination of intertwined public and private sector entities, ranging from Armscor, Denel and Defencetek in the public sector to private arms producers embedded in large industrial groupings and a heterogeneous host of smaller autonomous enterprises.     

线性方程组迭代解法的另类矩阵形式

改进了线性方程组迭代解法的矩阵形式．以最简单的Jacobi迭代法的迭代矩阵为基础,只需经过简单的加减和数乘运算就可得到Seidel和SOR的迭代过程,使得算法新形式的求解过程数学意义非常明确,表达形式也非常简洁,这样不仅便于理解记忆,还非常有利于编程实现。改进后的矩阵迭代形式求解计算量为:Seidel需要大约n2次乘除法．SOR约为2n2次乘除法,且改进后的Seidel迭代法和SOR方法存储空间也较传统形式为少。     

钢制油罐腐蚀因素综合研究

提出了油罐腐蚀因素的综合研究方法,研究了钢制油罐主要腐蚀因素。首先根据腐蚀特征,找出钢制油罐的5个特征腐蚀部位;其次根据文献,深入讨论影响其腐蚀的大气、土壤、存储介质和随机因素,得到56个具体腐蚀因素;然后针对油罐底板上表面,考虑腐蚀机理和腐蚀因素参与腐蚀程度,分别构建层次模型和网络模型;最后对影响油罐底板上表面的11个因素进行综合排序。研究结果表明,综合研究方法具有合理性。     

有源雷达干扰弹干扰效能评估模型研究

针对信息化战场上有源雷达干扰弹的作战运用,应用模糊综合评判和AHP理论对其干扰效能评估进行研究。通过对该干扰弹干扰效能影响因素的分析,构造出干扰效能评估指标体系,采用AHP和征求专家意见确定了指标权重,经过对单因素的量化分析,得到了各影响因素隶属度的获取途径,并依此建立了二级模糊评估模型。该方法不仅能合理评估该雷达干扰弹的干扰效能,也对提高该弹的作战效能有一定指导作用。     

物理化学实验教学模式改革的探索

通过对传统物理化学实验教学模式现状的分析，以及对传统物理化学实验教学模式和开放式物理化学实验教学模式的对比，得出开放式物理化学实验教学模式取代传统物理化学实验教学模式势在必行，并分析探讨了开放式教学模式的建设与面临的问题。