Learning and costs in airframe production: A multiple-output production function approach

This article examines the influence of both production rate and learning on airframe program costs. A dynamic multiple-output production model is developed and is used to observe the cost impact of changes in production rate and learning. Several simulations are performed to demonstrate the sensitivity of the optimal time path of cost to changes in the model parameters. The model is applied by estimating parameters from the F102 airframe program.     

Interpreting the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty

Interpreting the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, by Daniel H. Joyner. Oxford University Press, 2011. 192 pages, $100.     

军事文化:一个范式的转换(节选)

本篇译稿节选了美国空军中校卡伦·O·杜尼文《军事文化——一个范式的转换?》一书的部分内容,作者考察了美国军事文化中的社会性变化,探究了美国军事文化中一种介于军事的传统与非传统之间的,介于男性战士为主的范式或信仰体系和以平等主义与兼容并蓄为特征的充满矛盾的进化军事文化模式之间的斗争。这是一场旧思想和新思想之间的竞赛。译者选编了作者战斗部队中的女性(战争中的女性)这一典型案例来阐述美国军事文化中范式与模式之间的差异。杜尼文中校在本书中还考察了美国军事文化中存在的长期冲突,她建议美国军方现在开始需再一次进行文化范式的转换———从传统的以男性士兵为主的排他性价值观向一种兼容并蓄的从军观念转变。作者强调美国军方必须在其发展过程中,削减其分离主义和排外性的倾向。她提出实施这一范式转换的三个对策(战略部署):改变军方的占主导地位的关于“战斗着的,充满阳刚之气”的具有排他性而非包容性的标准和想法;主动接受并控制正在持续的主要的社会性变化;同时接受与个人和组织对范式转换的职责。范式转换的先驱们必须特别地推崇一种兼容并蓄与平等主义的文化。杜尼文中校也强调了美国高级军事将领是产生美国军事范式转换的最佳催化剂———他们是真正的先驱,他们能够使兼容并蓄的文化范式制度化。杜尼文中校提出如下结论:如果美国希望其军方成为美国社会的一面镜子,无疑要接受一种兼容并蓄的文化范式。     

Alternatives for defense in the Post‐Soviet World: A guide for economists to the U.S. debate

The defense establishments of all major powers are changing to reflect changes in the foundations of national security strategy and resource allocation. The authors believe economists should play an active role in formulating these changes and offer an orientation to the U.S. debate, presenting three major alternatives: the “Base Force” (Bush Administration), Mr. Aspin's Force “C,” and the “Low” Alternative (Prof. Kaufmann and Dr. Steinbruner). These alternatives are compared using first‐order measures of capabilities, budgets and risk. Budgetary estimates are based on newly‐developed analytical tools.     

Reward,punishment or inducement? US economic and military aid, 1946–1996

If the US has wielded power as global hegemon, then there should be evidence of a linkage between American resources and the ability to influence behavior. However, there is widespread disagreement on how this power is manifested (see Krause, ). Methodological and epistemological issues have hampered empirical studies of US hegemonic behavior. For example, does the US reward past behavior or does it offer inducements for future behavior? We document and discuss these issues in terms of the aid–foreign policy compliance nexus. The empirical portion of our paper tests whether US military and non‐military aid are correlated with foreign policy similarity. The main merits of our study are that: (1) we test a new measure of foreign policy similarity developed by Signorino and Ritter () and compiled by Gartzke et al. (); (2) we relax the causality issue and test using vector autoregression (VAR) for 76 developing countries; and (3) our time horizon is a minimum of 30 years for each country. Our central finding is that aid is most often used as a reward. More specifically, foreign policy similarity leads to greater economic aid for most African countries, foreign policy similarity leads to greater military aid for a majority of Latin American states, and there are no overarching patterns for Asia and the Middle East. We discuss the implications of our findings in the context of the bargaining and structural approaches to statecraft.     

Cycles and trends in the procurement system: Anticipating changes in acquisition legislation, regulation and policy

In conclusion, let me raise the question of whether the Law Panel can impact these cycles or reverse these trends. If they are regarded as historical imperatives, the answer is clearly No. But we have been urged to be bold and to try to devise a new, simplified statute that will take us back to a better day. We are going to do that, without regard to the question whether Congress will accept the solution.

There probably has never been a better time for the Panel's report than the present; the window of opportunity is open. But what the Panel recommends is going to be awfully hard to sell, even in a window-of-opportunity year. If the predictions come true about the defense budget's going down to the level of the period when Eisenhower remained a Major for 14 years, maybe Congress will be receptive to anything that adds a little bit of value to the defense dollar. With this in mind, the Law Panel is likely to be very bold in its attempt to streamline the procurement system and reduce oversight. Hope springs eternal . . . .