基于改进截断正态概率密度模型的防发散多尺度卡尔曼滤波

借鉴对机动频率建模的思想,对机动目标的截断正态概率密度模型进行改进,提出了一种改进的截断正态概率密度模型(ICN模型),并将防发散算法与多尺度估计理论结合,用克服滤波器发散的S(k)算法对基本的多尺度估计进行机动检测和相应改进,得到单模型单传感器系统的防发散多尺度估计算法,旨在减小噪声影响,减小机动目标模型不准确带来的跟踪误差,改善跟踪效果。     

Information disclosure with endogenous channel structure

This article investigates the firms' optimal quality information disclosure strategies in a supply chain, wherein the supplier may encroach into the retail channel to sell products directly to end consumers. We consider two disclosure formats, namely, retailer disclosure (R-C) and supplier disclosure (S-C), and examine the optimal disclosure format from each firm's perspective. We show that either firm prefers to delegate the disclosure option to its partner when the supplier cannot encroach. However, the threat of supplier encroachment dramatically alters the firm's preference of disclosure. The supplier may prefer the S-C format to the R-C format when the entry cost is low and the disclosure cost is high to achieve a higher quality information transparency. Meanwhile, the retailer may prefer the R-C format to the S-C format when the entry cost is intermediate to deter the possible encroachment of the supplier. In this sense, the firms' preferences of disclosure format can be aligned due to the threat of supplier encroachment. The consumer surplus is always higher under the S-C format while either disclosure format can lead to a higher social welfare. We also consider an alternative scenario under which the supplier encroaches after the product quality information is disclosed. An interesting observation appears that the supplier may encroach when the product quality is low but foregoes encroachment when the product quality gets higher.     

Coping with shortages caused by disruptive events in automobile supply chains

Unpredictable disruptive events significantly increase the difficulty of the management of automobile supply chains. In this paper, we propose an automobile production planning problem with component chips substitution in a finite planning horizon. The shortage of one chip can be compensated by another chip of the same type with a higher-end feature at an additional cost. Therefore, the automobile manufacturer can divert the on-hand inventory of chips to product lines that are more profitable in the event of shortages caused by supply chain disruptions. To cope with this, we propose a max-min robust optimization model that captures the uncertain supplies of chips. We show that the robust model has a mixed-integer programming equivalence that can be solved by a commercial IP solver directly. We compare the max-min robust model with the corresponding deterministic and two-stage stochastic models for the same problem through extensive numerical experiments. The computational results show that the max-min robust model outperforms the other two models in terms of the average and worst-case profits.     

弹道导弹微动模型及微多普勒特征研究

通过微多普勒可以提取弹道导弹目标的微动特征,利用弹头和诱饵微动特征的差异可识别出真弹头.运用角动量守恒定理分析了弹道导弹目标在各阶段的微动形式,运用叉乘矩阵、泰勒级数等原理,推导出了弹道导弹目标的微动模型,给出了弹道导弹目标的微多普勒计算公式,从理论上分析了其微多普勒特征.利用时频分析方法从回波信号中提取了弹道导弹目标的微多普勒,从回波信号中提取的微多普勒与理论上计算的微多普勒一致,表明分析方法有效,结论正确.     

基于层次聚类法的化工装置火灾爆炸灾害事故模式分析

化工装置灾害事故模式的研究,有益于从源头上做好灾害事故的预防工作。在介绍传统事故模式分析方法的基础上,提出了基于层次聚类法的化工装置火灾爆炸灾害事故模式分析方法,并对近20年100起相关灾害事故案例进行了模式分析研究。     

干部交流工作之我见

干部交流工作,作为加强干部队伍建设的一项重要措施,在许多方面起到了重要作用。但是,干部交流工作也受到很多因素的影响,为加强和完善干部交流工作,应转变观念,统筹安排,拓宽途径,扩大范围,完善干部交流政策机制,积极推进干部交流工作稳步发展。     

多普勒雷达测速信号滤波方法分析

针对四波束多普勒雷达测速信号的特点,提出了适用于光纤捷联惯导/多普勒雷达/气压高度表组合导航系统应用的多普勒雷达测速信号滤波方法.分别分析了卡尔曼滤波、经典数字滤波和小波变换滤波方法在从含有噪声和野值的多普勒雷达测速信号中提取出原始信号的特点,并对实际跑车试验中测得的多普勒雷达测速数据进行了滤波处理.结果表明:小波滤波方法在降噪以及剔除野值方面性能更好,更能适用于组合导航中对多普勒雷达测速信号的精度要求.     

基于D-S理论及Einstain算子的ISM模型分析

在评价相控阵天线质量的传统方法中,往往依据指标主要属性分类成层,容易忽视指标间的复杂联系。针对该问题,从研究指标间的内部关系出发,搭建了反映相控阵天线质量特性的解释结构模型。并着重探讨如何分析该模型,将模型分为"一对多"和"多对一"两种基本结构,利用D-S理论、模糊分配及Einstain算子详细叙述了这两种结构的求解过程。最后,以该方法在某型远海机动水文监测雷达天线中的具体应用,验证了ISM模型从建立到分析整个过程的可行性和准确性。     

军事办公建筑被动式节能设计策略

军事办公建筑的节能设计与使用,对推动节能减排、促进军营建设具有重要意义。通过对被动式节能设计策略的研究,从建筑设计的视角,以军事办公建筑设计为突破口,分析能耗现状,明确设计目标和思路,从空间设计布局、围护结构热工性能、遮阳系统设置、自然通风与自然采光等方面,探讨被动式节能设计策略在军事办公建筑设计中的应用。结合特定环境,寻求贯穿节能设计始终的适宜技术,充分发挥被动式节能技术集成的优势。通过多项节能技术的协同作用,可以强化和扩大节能措施带来的节能效应,在降低能耗的同时创造出健康、舒适、高效的办公环境。