Military deployment and international terrorism: do location and mission type matter?

Extant literature documents a relationship between military deployment and the risk of an international terrorist attack against citizens of the deploying country. It appears that deployment significantly increases the possibility of terrorist actions in the home country. In particular, if country A decides to send troops to nation B, then citizens of the former country are more likely to fall victim of an attack carried out by a terrorist organisation originating from the latter country. Contributing to this line of literature, we further refine this relationship by distinguishing between regions where the troops are sent as well as by introducing differences between types of deployment. Our results indicate that missions to Asia and the Middle East are more dangerous than missions to other regions as reflected by the terrorist threat in the home country. Robustness tests do however show that the significance of the location variable Asia is predominantly attributed to the mission to Afghanistan. As for types of deployment, only ad hoc missions seem to increase the risk of an attack, whereas no significant results are found for other missions such as operations under UN and NATO flag. Leaving out the missions to Iraq and Afghanistan however also increases the danger resulting from missions by fixed coalitions. Our results find however no evidence that ‘wearing a blue helmet’ increases the probability of a terrorist attack at home.     

箱式屏蔽效能测试方法及影响因素分析

为测试强电磁场作用下材料的屏蔽效能,基于屏蔽材料的屏蔽原理,提出一种在GTEM室内置屏蔽箱测试材料屏蔽效能的新方法,构建实验平台,仿真分析屏蔽箱窗口尺寸及测试探头位置对测试结果的影响．实验结果表明：测试窗口大小和测试位置对测试材料的屏蔽效能有影响．其主要影响因素是屏蔽效能的测试频率下限,并确定了0．6m×0．6m窗口的测试频率下限为55MHz,0．3m×0．3m测试窗口的测试频率下限为250MHz．     

An engagement model to optimize defense against a multiple attack assuming perfect kill assessment

We present an air-defense engagement model to counter an attack by multiple antiship missiles, assuming perfect kill assessment. In this model, the probability of shooting down all incoming missiles is maximized. A generating function is employed to produce an algorithm which is used to evaluate the outcomes. © 1997 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 44: 687–697, 1997     

论中国战略文化的近代流变

中华“天下观”把和谐的天下秩序作为基本的价值追求,并由此形成了求和平、谋统一、重防御的中国战略文化传统。近代以来,在西方“强权即是公理”的战略文化冲击下,为了实现救亡图存的历史使命,中国战略文化实现了文化革新,但其基本价值观念没有变,至今仍然影响着中国的对外战略选择。     

Storage life prediction under pre-strained thermally-accelerated aging of HTPB coating using the change of crosslinking density

In order to predict the storage life of a certain type of HTPB (hydroyl-terminated polybutadiene) coating at 25 C and analyze the influence of pre-strain on the storage life, the accelerated aging tests of HTPB coating at 40 C, 50 C, 60 C, 70 C with the pre-strain of 0%, 3%, 6%, 9%, respectively were carried out. The variation regularity of the change of crosslinking density was analyzed and the aging model of HTPB coating under pre-strained thermally-accelerated aging was proposed. The storage life of HTPB coating at 25 C was estimated by using the Berthelot equation as the end point of the aging life with a 30% decrease in maximum elongation. The results showed that the change of crosslinking density of HTPB coating increased with the increase of aging temperature and aging time, and decreased with the in-crease of pre-strain. Under 0% pre-strain, the relationship between the change of crosslinking density of HTPB coating and the aging time can be described by the logarithmic model with the confidence probability greater than 99%.The stress relaxation phenomenon existed under 3%, 6% and 9% pre-strained aging. The aging model considering chemical aging and pre-strain was established with the confidence probability greater than 90%. The storage life of HTPB coating was 15.2935 years at 25 C under 0% pre-strain, which was reduced by 13.9007%, 75.6949% and 89.7859% under 3%, 6% and 9% pre-strain, respectively. The existence of pre-strain has a serious impact on the storage life of HTPB coating, therefore, the pre-strain should be avoided as much as possible during the actual storage.     

Study on energy release characteristics of reactive material casings under explosive loading

Reactive Materials (RMs), a new material with structural and energy release characteristics under shock-induced chemical reactions, are promising in extensive applications in national defense and military fields. They can increase the lethality of warheads due to their dual functionality. This paper focuses on the energy release characteristics of RM casings prepared by alloy melting and casting process under explosive loading. Explosion experiments of RM and conventional 2A12 aluminum alloy casings were conducted in free field to capture the explosive fireballs, temperature distribution, peak overpressure of the air shock wave and the fracture morphology of fragments of reactive material (RM) warhead casings by using high-speed camera, infrared thermal imager temperature and peak overpressure testing and scanning electron microscope. Results showed that an increase of both the fireball temperature and air shock wave were observed in all RM casings compared to conventional 2A12 aluminum ally casings. The RM casings can improve the peak overpressure of the air shock wave under explosion loading, though the results are different with different charge ratios. According to the energy release characteristics of the RM, increasing the thickness of RM casings will increase the peak overpressure of the near-field air shock wave, while reducing the thickness will increase the peak overpressure of the far-field air shock wave.     

基于组合媒质通道模型的地下目标成像

由于电磁波在穿越不同介质时会出现折射现象,因此在地下目标成像过程中,电磁波信号穿越从雷达到地下目标的组合通道的路径不是直线而是折线,此时利用常规的自由空间中的合成孔径成像方法已经不能对目标进行成像。基于电磁波的传播规律和地层有耗媒质的特性,提出了电磁波传输的组合通道模型,并将其应用到地下目标成像中。通过仿真比较可以看出,使用组合通道模型对地下目标成像效果有明显的改善,组合通道模型适用于对分层土壤中的地下目标成像。     

直升机反伏击行动对策研究

直升机反伏击行动,必须坚持先期感知战场态势、有效隐蔽飞行企图、建立安全的低空飞行走廊和力争先机制敌伏击的作战指导,采取预先侦察、多备航线、陆空协同和施计用谋的手段,破坏和打乱敌伏击部署,以实现反伏击的目的。     

一种内陆环境溢油综合监测系统方案设计

针对内陆环境油品储存和运输场所面积大、植被多、地形多变、单一技术难以实现全范围溢油监测的情况,将复杂内陆环境下的油品储运区分为作业区、周围山地和水域3个主体区域,设计了一种基于无线通信的溢油综合监测系统方案。系统由综合监测报警中心和可燃气体、土壤溢油、水面浮油3个探测报警模块通过无线连接组成,各模块均包括若干相应的探测器和现场报警控制器,可对油品作业区及周围山地、水域进行全范围实时监测,及时报警泄漏溢油隐患,降低泄漏溢油事故发生几率。     

军用软件的测试与实践方法

首先分析了民用软件存在的问题,然后结合军用软件的特点,对影响军用软件可靠性的因素进行分析,最后提出提高军用软件质量的几种测试与实践方法.