A bivariate optimal replacement policy for a cold standby repairable system with repair priority

In this article, an optimal replacement policy for a cold standby repairable system consisting of two dissimilar components with repair priority is studied. Assume that both Components 1 and 2, after repair, are not as good as new, and the main component (Component 1) has repair priority. Both the sequence of working times and that of the components'repair times are generated by geometric processes. We consider a bivariate replacement policy (T,N) in which the system is replaced when either cumulative working time of Component 1 reaches T, or the number of failures of Component 1 reaches N, whichever occurs first. The problem is to determine the optimal replacement policy (T,N)* such that the long run average loss per unit time (or simply the average loss rate) of the system is minimized. An explicit expression of this rate is derived, and then optimal policy (T,N)* can be numerically determined through a two‐dimensional‐search procedure. A numerical example is given to illustrate the model's applicability and procedure, and to illustrate some properties of the optimal solution. We also show that if replacements are made solely on the basis of the number of failures N, or solely on the basis of the cumulative working time T, the former class of policies performs better than the latter, albeit only under some mild conditions. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

俄罗斯军事人才生成机制对武警视级指挥院校任职教育的启示

俄罗斯军事教育注重培养学员的国家意识,强调教员必须具有很强的综合能力,教学方法灵活、实用,考试方法突出能力素质的考核。俄罗斯军事人才培养形成了注重实战演练、坚持岗位轮换、引进竞争机制、重视鉴定考核的良性机制,保证了人才培养的质量。武警部队初级指挥院校提高任职教育质量应借鉴俄罗斯军事人才培养方法,在培训内容、教员选拔、授课方法、考试形式等方面进行改革。     

关于RSA—TBOS安全性的一点注记

RSA—TBOS是在CT—RSA2003会议上提出的一种基于RSA的签密方案。它设计巧妙,使用双层包裹的方式将加密和签名融合到一起,使得签密密文的长度与普通签名或加密的长度相等,从而取得“一箭双雕”的效果。经对RSA—TBOS的安全性进行分析,证明了在某些特定参数设置下,RSA—TBOS的安全性不高。     

灰色预测模型在非致命武器经济寿命预测中的应用

针对目前非致命武器经济寿命方面的研究相当缺乏的现状,结合非致命武器的自身特点,在全面分析装备全寿命周期费用的基础上,引入灰色理论,运用GM（1,1）模型对非致命武器的经济寿命周期费用进行估算和预测。通过分析,灰色预测模型具有较高的建模精度,预测方法和结果对非致命武器的经济寿命预测具有很强的实用性。     

基础对象模型应用方法研究

将来源于理论分析的BOM技术应用于实际的仿真项目之前,包括模型的行为封装方法等许多问题亟需解决.针对这些实际问题,在充分研究BOM的概念、结构和设计理念的基础上,对BOM在仿真中的实际应用方法进行了初步的探讨.进一步明确了BOM技术与其他组件技术的不同,提出了一种以IF BOM描述模式,以ECAP BOM封装模型行为的BOM应用方案,并借助于COM技术设计了模块化的ECAP BOM,实现了ECAP BOM对模型行为的封装.该方法兼顾了仿真模型的灵活性要求和组件封装性的特点,是一种切实可行的方法.     

空气动力和直接侧向力复合控制的拦截弹飞行力学及稳定回路模型

以大气层低层拦截导弹为研究对象,建立了飞行力学模型,进行了空气动力与力矩燃气动力的复合控制回路分析设计,进行了实例计算与仿真。     

任务空间概念模型VV&A研究

任务空间概念模型是现实世界军事知识的第一层抽象,是仿真系统开发的业务基础。所以任务空间概念模型的质量直接影响到仿真系统的质量,任务空间概念模型自身的VV&A是一个非常值得关注的问题。任务空间概念建模本质上看是军事领域的知识表示或者需求描述,定性描述占主要,定量成分非常少。因此,传统的通过分析输出数据的方法不能适应任务空间概念模型的特点。概要介绍了任务空间概念模型建模,并且提出了从专家法、静态校核机制、概念执行机制三个角度来考察模型质量的思路。     

云模型及其在指挥控制系统可靠性分析中的应用

根据指挥控制系统的特点及作战应用的具体情况,从指挥控制系统的可靠性出发,提出了适合指控系统可靠性分析的云模型。通过拟定性能评价指标,导出各指标的云模型及其多维加权综合云的重心,应用云重心评价方法进行分析;并通过案例,运用基于PC-L INM AP的云重心评价方法,以影响指挥控制系统可靠性的两个重要性能指标为依据,分析了未来联合作战中指挥控制系统的可靠性,比较贴近作战实际,可信度较高。     

Optimal pricing and inventory control policy in periodic‐review systems with fixed ordering cost and lost sales

This paper studies a periodic‐review pricing and inventory control problem for a retailer, which faces stochastic price‐sensitive demand, under quite general modeling assumptions. Any unsatisfied demand is lost, and any leftover inventory at the end of the finite selling horizon has a salvage value. The cost component for the retailer includes holding, shortage, and both variable and fixed ordering costs. The retailer's objective is to maximize its discounted expected profit over the selling horizon by dynamically deciding on the optimal pricing and replenishment policy for each period. We show that, under a mild assumption on the additive demand function, at the beginning of each period an (s,S) policy is optimal for replenishment, and the value of the optimal price depends on the inventory level after the replenishment decision has been done. Our numerical study also suggests that for a sufficiently long selling horizon, the optimal policy is almost stationary. Furthermore, the fixed ordering cost (K) plays a significant role in our modeling framework. Specifically, any increase in K results in lower s and higher S. On the other hand, the profit impact of dynamically changing the retail price, contrasted with a single fixed price throughout the selling horizon, also increases with K. We demonstrate that using the optimal policy values from a model with backordering of unmet demands as approximations in our model might result in significant profit penalty. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

伪码调相连续波引信及其抗侦察性能分析

分析了伪随机码信号的特征,介绍了伪码调相连续波引信的工作原理,在此基础上,分析了此体制下引信的抗侦察性能。根据Neyman-Pearson准则,推导出伪码调相引信的信号发现概率。最后利用窗口函数原理,建立了引信的参数截获概率模型,推导出它们的参数截获概率,从而证明了此体制下引信抗侦察性能的优越性。