一种改进的均方根容积粒子滤波算法

传统的粒子滤波算法在重要性采样估计时忽略了当前量测影响。在非线性场景下,传统的粒子滤波导致个别粒子具有大权值,造成估计结果精度差。针对该问题,结合均方根容积卡尔曼滤波(SCKF)算法和Gating技术,提出了一种新的重要性函数估计算法。本算法将后验概率作为重要性采样函数,通过利用SCKF和统计距离,建立粒子与量测的关联关系,实现对重要性采样函数的均值和协方差矩阵的估计。而后,使用粒子滤波算法,对多目标状态和数目进行估计。实验表明,在非线性跟踪场景下,本算法估计精度高,估计结果稳定。     

释放点排布方式对水雾红外遮蔽性能的影响

水雾作为一种优良的红外伪装措施,受到了越来越多的关注。水雾遮蔽性能的仿真研究也成为了关注的焦点,但是始终没有一种有效的仿真途径来探讨水雾释放点排布产生的影响。针对这一问题,基于高斯扩散理论与Mie散射理论,提出了一种空间划分的建模方案,解决了这一问题,并根据仿真结果,简单分析了相同条件下不同释放点排布方式对其红外辐射遮蔽性能的影响。所得结论对制定有效的红外对抗策略有一定的参考价值。     

Estimating failure time distribution and its parameters based on intermediate data from a Wiener degradation model

Instead of measuring a Wiener degradation or performance process at predetermined time points to track degradation or performance of a product for estimating its lifetime, we propose to obtain the first‐passage times of the process over certain nonfailure thresholds. Based on only these intermediate data, we obtain the uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator and uniformly most accurate confidence interval for the mean lifetime. For estimating the lifetime distribution function, we propose a modified maximum likelihood estimator and a new estimator and prove that, by increasing the sample size of the intermediate data, these estimators and the above‐mentioned estimator of the mean lifetime can achieve the same levels of accuracy as the estimators assuming one has failure times. Thus, our method of using only intermediate data is useful for highly reliable products when their failure times are difficult to obtain. Furthermore, we show that the proposed new estimator of the lifetime distribution function is more accurate than the standard and modified maximum likelihood estimators. We also obtain approximate confidence intervals for the lifetime distribution function and its percentiles. Finally, we use light‐emitting diodes as an example to illustrate our method and demonstrate how to validate the Wiener assumption during the testing. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

多核贝叶斯优化的模型决策树算法

构造模型决策树时超参数较多,参数组合复杂,利用网格搜索等调参方法将会消耗大量的时间,影响模型性能的提升。提出了一种多核贝叶斯优化的模型决策树算法,该算法为应对不同分类数据特性,采用三种高斯过程建模寻优,利用贝叶斯优化技术,选出最优的参数组合。实验结果表明,所提算法在参数寻优上要优于传统的模型决策树寻优方法,并且能够在迭代次数不多的情况下找到全局最优参数值,在一定程度上提升了算法的分类性能,节省了大量的调参时间。     

水雾扩散模型仿真

建立水雾红外衰减模型时,通常把水雾空间看作单一均匀整体处理,然而雾滴的扩散现象使水雾的雾滴密度无法保证处处相等,所以仿真结果与实际情况相比普遍存在较大偏差。针对这一问题,基于高斯扩散理论与Mie散射理论,提出了一种新的建模方案。通过将水雾空间划分为多个子空间,并计算每个子空间内水雾消光性能的建模方法,提高建模的准确性。同时结合红外制导导弹来袭的方向变化,计算出不同方向上的水雾消光性能。从仿真结果可以看出,这种建模方式能够很好地克服以往建模方法的缺陷,为探索水雾的精确建模提供了一种新思路。     

Effect of Drying on Particle Size and Sensitivities of Nano hexahydro-1,3,5-trinitro-1,3,5-triazine

Nano hexahydro-1,3,5-trinitro-1,3,5-triazine (RDX) was prepared using a bi-directional rotation mill and dried under different conditions (liquid, temperature and drying). It shows that the samples cake seriously and the particles grow up obviously by ordinary drying in different liquids at 70 °C, which occurs again after vacuum drying. With the increase of temperature, the degrees of caking and aggregation are enhanced. Well dispersed sample maintaining constant particle size is extracted by supercritical drying, especially freeze drying. Furthermore, the mechanical sensitivities of I-RDX, O-RDX and F-RDX, of which the average sizes are 88.03 μm, 15.32 μm and 0.16 μm, respectively, are evaluated. Compared with I-RDX, the friction, impact and shock sensitivities of O-RDX are slightly lower. However, the friction, impact and shock sensitivities of F-RDX are reduced by 30%, 99.0% and 59.9%, respectively.     

天基光学短弧观测约束域的粒子群优化定轨方法

针对空间目标定轨问题,提出一种利用两段天基光学短弧观测数据的粒子群优化定轨新算法。在介绍天基光学短弧观测测量帧集、测量约束域及目标函数构造的基础上,为解决已有的基于网格搜索思想寻优的算法存在的多解、局部最优解及运算量过大等问题,提出了一种利用粒子群优化算法在约束域内对目标函数值寻优达到定轨目的的新算法。对算法的性能进行了仿真验证。多次仿真结果表明:该算法大大降低了计算量,且有效地解决了目标函数多解和局部最优解问题,对目标定轨的精度与定轨算法的克拉美罗下限接近。     

非平稳高斯序列最大值的几乎处处中心极限定理

在较弱的条件下,研究了一类非平稳高斯序列的几乎处处中心极限定理.设{Xa,n≥1}为一非平稳高斯序列,记其协方差为rij=Cov(Xi,Xj).假设该序列满足如下条件:对充分大的n,若存在0<α<1当|i-j|>nα时,rijlog|j-i|(l0glog|j-i|)1+ε一致有界.在这一条件下,通过利用概率极限理论,...     

气液同轴式喷嘴雾化特性的试验

通过试验研究气液同轴直流式和气液同轴离心式喷嘴的雾化性能。研究表明:喷嘴出口扩张时可以改善喷嘴的雾化性能;气液同轴直流式和气液同轴离心式喷嘴都存在一个合适的缩进长度,在改善喷嘴雾化特性的同时对总流量影响较小;在相同条件下,气液同轴离心式喷嘴的喷雾性能要优于气液同轴直流式喷嘴的喷雾性能。     

Characteristics structure analysis on debris cloud in the hypervelocity impact of disk projectile on thin plate

In this paper, the gauge points setting is introduced in the SPH simulation to analyze the debris cloud structure generated by the hypervelocity impact of disk projectile on thin plate. Compared with the experiments, more detailed information of the debris cloud structure can be classified from the numerical simulation. However, due to the solitary dispersion and overlap display of the particles in the SPH simulation, accurate comparison between numerical and experimental results is difficult to be performed. To track the velocity and spatial distribution of the particles in the debris cloud induced from disk and plate, gauge points are locally set in the single-layer profile in the SPH model. By analyzing the gauge points’ spatial coordinate and velocity, the location and velocity of characteristic points in the debris cloud are determined. The boundary of debris cloud is achieved, as well as the fragments distribution outside the main structure of debris cloud.