The political economy of drones

This paper provides a political economy analysis of the evolution of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV), or ‘drones’ in the USA. Focus is placed on the interplay between the polity and private economic influences, and their impact on the trajectory of political, economic, and military outcomes. We identify the initial formation of the drone industry, trace how the initial relationships between the military and the private sector expanded over time, and discuss present relationships. Understanding the historical evolution of UAV technology, as well as the major players in the industry today, is important for ongoing policy debates regarding the use of drones both domestically and internationally.     

TERRORISM: FACTS FROM FIGURES 1

If international terrorism is on a rising trend, an important source of confirmation or refutation of this is time‐series data on terrorist activity. Using chiefly data collected by the RAND/MIPT consortium we show using basic statistical analysis that in the period 1968–2005 the yearly number of all international terrorist incidents shows no trend over time, but fluctuates year on year in a random manner. On the other hand some indicators do show a definite trend over time, principally the steady rise in the number of incidents that are death‐dealing in nature. A further conclusion is drawn, showing that the proportion of these incidents leading to deaths above a given level is virtually fixed.     

一类具有时滞和Gompertz增长率的捕食系统的稳定性与Hopf分支

研究一类具有时滞和Gompertz增长率的捕食系统,通过分析系统的特征方程,得到正平衡点的局部稳定性和系统出现Hopf分支的条件,并利用中心流形定理和规范型理论,得到确定Hopf分支方向和分支周期解稳定性的计算公式．     

运载火箭摄动制导导引系数实时计算方法

对于新型运载火箭,没有相近型号导引系数数据供参考,采用传统试探法计算量大,在制导方案初期论证中不能满足多方案快速计算的需求。在引入理想弹道剩余飞行速度概念的基础上,提出导引系数实时计算方法。本方法对当前实时状态参数和后续飞行段弹道进行了综合考虑,通过数字仿真表明导引精度高于传统常系数导引方法。由于本方法对导引能力进行了预估,因而制导指令不会剧烈变化,易于姿态控制系统的设计实现。同时,由于采用完全解析法,对箭载计算机计算能力要求几乎没有增加,易于工程实现。     

Lost through non-translation: bringing Clausewitz's writings on ‘new wars’ back in

While Carl von Clausewitz has generally been respected as one of the most profound philosophers of war, his expertise has been regarded as somewhat limited if not even irrelevant to the so-called ‘new wars’ of the post-Cold War world. Many scholars in international relations have claimed that ‘new wars’ are essentially ‘post-Clausewitzian’ and ‘post-trinitarian’ in nature, meaning that they are no longer fathomable through a Clausewitzian framework. However Clausewitz's earlier writings were nearly exclusively dedicated to guerrilla warfare, or what he called ‘small wars’. These writings have been largely overlooked by many analysts of contemporary conflicts. By drawing on his rare and untranslated writings, the article uncovers a critical part of Clausewitz's expertise in asymmetric warfare and shows that, far from being irrelevant in an age where interstate warfare is increasingly being replaced by conflicts between states and semi-/non-state actors, Clausewitz's philosophical writings actually shed new light into the particular interactive dynamics generated during wars waged under conditions of asymmetry.     

太阳能热推力器二次聚光器再生冷却过程

为克服太阳能热推力器折射式二次聚光器容易破裂的缺点,本文采用再生冷却技术,对二次聚光器与推力室进行了一体化设计,并对该过程进行了流动与传热仿真。仿真结果表明,该设计可有效地降低聚光器的工作温度至1600K以下,热应力分析表明可有效降低其破裂的可能性。同时该设计可预热推进剂至500K以上,提高了系统的能量利用效率。通过进一步对吸收腔内的热辐射分析发现,工质流动对吸收腔壁温影响较小,吸收腔壁面仍然可以维持2400-2600K的高温。     

带点缺陷的一维亥姆霍兹共振腔声子晶体中缺陷模式

在基于亥姆霍兹共振腔的一维声子晶体中引入点缺陷会在原有局域共振型声禁带内产生缺陷模式。采用传递矩阵法和有限元法分析了缺陷模式随缺陷单元几何尺寸变化关系和声子晶体中声场分布情况。结果表明,随着缺陷单元与完美单元之间耦合程度的增强,缺陷模式从局域共振型禁带中完美单元共振频率处向禁带边缘移动。同时,缺陷模式的存在使得结构中出现了能量局域化的现象。本工作对设计新型声滤波器、能量集中装置具有一定的理论意义。     

An Imperfect Jewel: Military Theory and the Military Profession

This article explores a perennial theme in the literature of strategic studies: the relationship between military theory and the military profession. It begins with a conceptual analysis of this relationship. It then investigates what military theorists themselves have had to say about the utility of their craft. It concludes by assessing the actual influence of military theory on selected individuals and institutions. The individuals are George S. Patton, Jr., and Ulysses S. Grant. The institutions are the United States Army and the United States Air Force in the late twentieth century. The fundamental finding is suggested in the title: military theory can indeed be quite useful in the maturation of military commanders and in the development of martial institutions, but it is not always necessary and by no means perfect. It should thus be studied assiduously but used with caution.     

射流角度和壁面曲率对撞壁液膜的影响

射流角度和壁面曲率是空间液体火箭发动机液膜冷却设计的重要参数,通过实验研究了入射角和壁面曲率半径对射流撞壁液膜形态和液膜厚度的影响;实验中液膜厚度的测量采用探针法法测量。对射流撞壁的溅射现象进行的分析表明,射流由壁面附着状态转变为液滴飞溅状态的临界We数为214.1,射流撞壁后由附壁状态转变为溅射状态的临界入射角度为23.1°,根据液体火箭发动机冷却的需要可以选择合适的射流角度。     

面向服务的海战场指挥信息系统体系结构框架

一体化联合作战和基于信息系统的体系作战对海战场指挥信息系统提出了更高的要求.从面向服务的海战场指挥信息系统构建需求出发,在军事信息服务定义的基础上,利用SOA和P2P设计了海战场指挥信息系统体系结构的物理框架和功能框架,给出了各框架的组成和结构,并与已有框架作了对比分析,结果表明所提的框架更加全面、可靠和灵活,为开展面向服务的指挥信息系统研究打下了坚实的基础.