弹药库防静电方法研究

根据弹药库静电危险场所的分类等级,以形成静电危害的3个基本条件为依据,讨论了弹药库防静电危害常用措施:设施设备静电接地、防静电工作台、人体静电防护、铺设导电(或防静电)地面以及各自防静电要求.这些措施为防止和消除弹药库的静电危害提供了根本保障.     

GTEM室内脉冲场分析及对数周期天线的响应规律研究

为研究对数周期天线(LPGA)的方波脉冲响应特性,利用GTEM室和CST仿真软件对LPGA方波脉冲响应信号进行实验测试与仿真分析.利用实验室自行研制的超宽带电场测试系统对GTEM室进行校准,得到了室内电场强度E(t)与方波源的输出电压V(t)和芯板高度h之间的关系;搭建GTEM室中天线脉冲响应测试平台,得到不同辐照方向下的LPGA方波脉冲时域响应信号;利用CST仿真软件建立对数周期天线的3D模型,得到响应信号幅值的开路电路模型.     

美国2014年《四年防务评估报告》特点

2014年3月4日,美国国防部向国会提交了2014年版《四年防务评估报告》和《2015财年国防预算报告》。《四年防务评估报告》更新了再平衡战略,为美军建设提出了优先发展方向,要求美军联合部队向“更小型化”转型,以满足未来军事行动需求。     

一类具有饱和发生率的离散型SIS传染病模型

研究一类具有饱和发生率的离散型SIS传染病模型,得到了模型的基本再生数.通过线性化的方法,运用LaSalle-Lyapunov定理,证明当基本再生数R01时,无病平衡点是全局渐近稳定的;通过迭代的方法,证明当基本再生数R01时,地方病平衡点是全局渐近稳定的.     

悬索桥在静风荷载作用下的非线性计算分析

为了防止悬索桥在风荷载作用下产生过大变形甚至发生失稳,有必要对其进行非线性计算分析,以确定结构主要构件在风荷载作用下的变形特点,并判断其静风稳定性是否满足要求。以一中等跨径的悬索桥为实例,利用节段模型试验采集三分力系数,采用大型有限元程序ANSYS对其进行静风稳定性非线性计算,得到了悬索桥在递增变化的风荷载作用下的顺风向位移,以及最终发生静风失稳时的临界风速。计算结果表明,桥梁各构件位移随风速的增大而增大,横向屈曲最大风速大于临界风速,该桥的静风稳定性满足要求。     

Sequential learning versus no learning in Bayesian regression models

We consider two regression models: linear and logistic. The dependent variable is observed periodically and in each period a Bayesian formulation is used to generate updated forecasts of the dependent variable as new data is observed. One would expect that including new data in the Bayesian updates results in improved forecasts over not including the new data. Our findings indicate that this is not always true. We show there exists a subset of the independent variable space that we call the “region of no learning.” If the independent variable values for a given period in the future are in this region, then the forecast does not change with any new data. Moreover, if the independent variable values are in a neighborhood of the region of no learning, then there may be little benefit to wait for the new data and update the forecast. We propose a statistical approach to characterize this neighborhood which we call the “region of little learning.” Our results provide insights into the trade‐offs that exist in situations when the decision maker has an incentive to make an early decision based on an early forecast versus waiting to make a later decision based on an updated forecast. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 532–548, 2014     

The sixteenth-century antecedents of special operations ‘small war’

The first conceptual, theoretical treatises about small war (la petite guerre) as special operations appeared only from the middle of the seventeenth century. The term is not used in the eighteenth-century sense of ‘special operations’ in older sources. The supposed absence of any treatment of the subject is surprising considering the obsession with the ‘art of war’ in the Renaissance, but other authors attribute it to a supposed antinomy between chivalric ideals and irregular warfare. But the absence of explicit manuals on the subject is not evidence of absence of advanced reflection on this kind of operations in the Middle Ages and in Early Modern times. We should thus look elsewhere, in other genres, for writings that contain and pass on military knowledge. Epics, romances, educational and military treatises, and memoirs in fact contain elements of a theory of special operations, even though these genres differ from our conception of rationality inherited from the Enlightenment.     

Guerrillas and bandits in the Serranía de Ronda, 1810–1812

The Spanish Guerrilla (1808–1812) which has given its name to ideologically motivated insurgencies is usually portrayed as a patriotic uprising against the French occupation forces of Napoleon. It was that, in part, but also many other things besides. This case study illustrates its overlap and convergence with banditry but also with social unrest turned into uprisings directed by poor Spaniards against their creditors, as in the storming of Ronda by insurgents in 1810. From the propaganda of the day to the subsequent Spanish patriotic historiography, there has been a tendency to exaggerate the amplitude of events and also the damage that was done to the French forces and the casualty figures inflicted on them.     

关于我国突发事件应急救援体系的思考

进入新世纪以来,如何构建我国突发事件应急救援体系,形成灵活、高效、统一的政府应急救援联动机制,是当前急需着手解决的问题,是积极应对各种突发公共事件、保障社会和谐安全的主要对策。从突发事件应急管理现状出发,剖析了当前应急救援体系建设中存在的问题,提出了增强我国突发事件应急救援能力建设的方法,探讨了整体推进应急救援体系建设的途径。     

装甲车辆发动机智能化控制冷却系统发展

分析了国内外装甲车辆冷却系统的现状及智能化控制冷却系统的特点,介绍了国内装甲车辆智能化控制冷却系统的研制进展,对比国内外智能化控制冷却系统,提出了我国装甲车辆智能化控制冷却系统今后的发展方向。