破片对军用方舱的冲击毁伤效应研究

基于薄板的极限穿透速度及破片穿透薄板的余速理论,就破片对军用方舱的冲击毁伤效应进行深入分析．通过理论计算,得到圆柱形破片穿透方舱后的剩余速度．在AUTODYN中构建模型,对圆柱形破片穿透方舱的过程进行数值模拟,其结果表明,数值模拟结果与理论计算的误差较小,证明该模型的可靠性．     

The Chinese and Asian impact on Russian nuclear policy

Asia, where nuclear powers already interact (including North Korea), exerts a growing influence on the thinking and policy underlying Russia's current and future nuclear (and overall defense) posture. China's rise is forcing Russia into a greater reliance on strategic offensive weapons and tactical nuclear weapons. These in turn will reinforce its opposition to US missile defenses, not only in Europe but also in Asia. Russia must now entertain the possibility of nuclear use in regional conflicts that would otherwise remain purely conventional. It cannot be postulated blindly that nuclear weapons serve no discernible purpose other than to deter nuclear attacks by other nuclear powers. The strategic equation in Asia and in the Russian Far East convincingly demonstrates the falsity of this approach. Nuclear weapons will be the essential component of Russia's regional defense policy if not of its overall policies – and this also includes contingencies in Europe.     

基于OPN的军事信息服务组合模型构建方法

介绍了军事信息服务的基本含义,给出了基于对象Petri网的军事信息服务组合模型的形式化描述方法,构建了军事信息服务组合模型的基本结构,并针对一个具体的防空反导作应用案例,使用国防科大对象Petri网建模仿真环境工具开发了相应的军事信息服务组合模型,并对组合服务进行了简要分析。实践表明,该方法能满足军事信息服务组合模型构建的需要,并具有良好的服务建模与仿真分析能力。     

飞机机翼结构损伤仿真研究

飞机结构的战伤模式及战伤程度预测对于制定战场抢修预案及改进战斗生存力设计具有重要意义。采用计算机模拟仿真技术定量分析了飞机机翼结构遭受射弹攻击后的损伤情况。通过损伤仿真讨论了3类情形,一是机翼结构受到简单的侵彻后的冲击效应;二是高速射弹攻击带有翼盒的机翼,而产生流体动力冲压效应;三是在射弹冲击模型中增加爆炸条件,研究射弹以任意角度冲击不同的位置产生的耦合效应。基于AN SY S/LS-DYNA仿真,给出了机翼结构损伤的结果,结论为战伤飞机战场抢修的快速评估提供了科学依据,也为飞机平时修理提供了参考。     

考虑降雨影响的飞机生存力模型与仿真分析

为研究更符合实际战场环境的飞机作战生存力,以降雨这一自然环境为典型,建立了雨杂波干扰下雷达对飞机的探测概率模型以及飞机生存力模型。认为飞机的RCS是Swerling起伏目标,通过确定综合信干比和最小可检测信噪比,采用蒙特卡罗法,利用MATLAB仿真了在雨杂波干扰和杂波抑制综合作用下飞机的生存力与距离的关系,并重点讨论了雷达波长和降雨状况对飞机生存力的影响。结论认为:在S波段内,降雨使飞机的生存力有一定程度的提高,且随着降雨量的增大和敌方雷达波长的减小,飞机生存力的提高更为明显;考虑降雨状况的影响,对于飞机生存力的研究是具有一定实际意义的。     

军民融合背景下军工企业多元化发展战略研究

冷战结束后,欧美多数军工企业在军转民的过程中采取多元化的经营战略,壮大企业规模并寻求进一步的发展。随着我国军民融合战略的深入实施,军工企业不再是封闭独立的单一军品生产基地,而是顺时应势逐步实现军品和民品同步多元化发展的战略转型。通过分析我国军工企业军转民的历史进程与国际经验,结合多元化战略的特点,考察军工企业在军转民过程中实施多元化战略的动因,构建军工企业多元化战略的选择函数。本文认为,军工企业选择多元化战略应考虑企业自身实际情况,积极响应国家政策,培育核心竞争力;同时,军转民过程作为军民融合深度发展的重要一环,会促使军工企业往多元化的方向发展,而多元化战略的实施也会加快军民融合深度发展的进程。     

以“贴近纳新”理念改进 任职教育军事专业课教法的几点思考

深化以任职教育为主体的教学方法改革，是顺应当前武警部队职能任务多样化的必然要求。任职教育适应岗位任职能力的需要必须注重加强军事专业课教学方法的改革与探索。“贴近纳新”把贴近职能需要纳入教学理念、贴近任职实际纳入组教模式、贴近岗位实用纳入课题施教为着眼点，旨在适应任职教育岗位任职能力培养的需要。     

Pakistan’s response to US foreign policy towards South Asia 1977–1993

Relations between the USA and Pakistan have been tenuous since the 1947 partition of British India and the subsequent creation of the former. The 1979 Soviet intervention in Afghanistan focused the attention of the international community on South Asia. This article will examine the foreign policies of three successive US Presidential Administrations between 1977 and 1993, and how their decisions and corresponding actions were interpreted by the Pakistani government and its people. The key finding is the trend of the ebb and flow of US interest in Pakistan. The primary research conducted for this article shows that Pakistanis recognize this trend and consider it hypocritical of the US government. The current conditions in South Asia are ominously similar to those of 1992 with the drawdown of US and NATO troops from Afghanistan. Policy-makers would be wise to review the events of 1977–1993 so that the cycle is not repeated again.     

Introduction

ABSTRACT

The new nuclear history can make a critical contribution by forcing us to reconsider or reframe the theoretical premises of the concepts we apply to our understanding of the present – and with which we try to navigate the future. It bears on fundamental questions, such as: How should the US manage its alliances? Should it establish a multilateral nuclear policy dialogue in Asia? In what depth should it discuss issues of doctrine and targeting with its Asian allies? What capabilities might reassure European allies in light of current Russian revisionism? Could nuclear war be limited and controlled in an East Asian maritime arena? Do nuclear weapons strengthen an alliance, or do they introduce a divisive bone of contention? Is extended nuclear deterrence (END) stabilizing or is it on the contrary pushing the allies to ask for more? What is the relationship between nuclear and conventional forces in END credibility? How do nuclear alliances contribute to international security and international order? The lessons and insights from these papers, which look at five historical cases of US extended deterrence during the Cold War, should help us think about crucial current issues, and be of use both to historians who want to have a better understanding of the Cold War past and to policymakers who are currently grappling with these issues.     

Stolen trauma: why some veterans elaborate their psychological experience of military service

The embellishment of a warrior biography has a long history but examples of veteran elaboration of traumatic experience have become increasingly apparent. Although legislative change in the UK has removed the penalties for fabrication and a progressive decline in the military footprint may have increased the likelihood of such false trauma narratives, a paradigm shift in explanations for mental illness underpins this phenomenon. The recognition of post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) in 1980, followed by studies to identify risk factors, led to a greater appreciation of psychological vulnerability. As a result, the use of shame to discourage acts formerly labelled as “cowardly” or “lacking in morale fibre” is no longer considered appropriate. Recent conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan generated popular sympathy for service personnel, whilst media focus on PTSD has led the UK public to believe that most veterans have been traumatised by their tours of duty.