基于规则推理的海战仿真实体决策方法

研究在海军战术仿真中应用基于规则推理的方法实现作战实体的自主决策行为,该方法用决策规则描述作战实体决策时所依据的军事决策知识,通过对决策规则的推理实现决策作战实体的决策推理过程.分别介绍了作战实体的决策模型、决策规则的知识表示方法以及决策模型的决策推理方法.基于规则推理的海战仿真实体决策方法推理机制接近人类的思维方式,结构逻辑容易为军事人员所掌握,易于理解和维护,便于实现.     

舰炮武器系统可靠性指标确定方法研究

舰炮武器系统可靠性指标的提出应当立足于作战使用的需求。从作战使用的角度,依据系统作战效能的影响因素,运用ADC模型研究了舰炮武器系统在战术技术指标给定的情况下系统可靠性指标与系统作战效能的关系,提出一种从作战使用角度确定可靠性指标方法,并通过实例分析验证了方法的可行性,为舰炮武器系统以及其它武器装备的型号研制论证提供参考。     

美军舰艇编队远洋作战油料保障现状分析

舰艇编队远洋作战油料保障是远洋作战后装保障的重要组成部分。针对美军舰艇编队远洋作战油料保障现状,梳理了其理论研究、保障模式、基地建设和装备发展情况,总结了其对我军建设的启示。     

The rise and fall of counterproliferation policy

The US government initiated a Defense Counterproliferation Initiative to address the concern that, in the post-Cold War years, the proliferation of nuclear, biological, and chemical weapons would be widespread and create a significant challenge to the US military’s combat operations. In particular, non-nuclear states might use chemical or biological warfare agents against US forces with the belief that nuclear weapons would not be used against them in retaliation. Following the events of September 11, 2001, defense strategy and policy shifted to a wider view of the threat of adversarial use of “weapons of mass destruction” (WMD) and the term “counterproliferation” was replaced by “combating” or “countering WMD.” Over time, the Defense Department increasingly moved away from counterproliferation principles with the detrimental effect of losing capabilities that US forces still need for contemporary adversaries. This shift has been aggravated by other US government agencies’ use of “counterproliferation” in lieu of what would have been termed “nonproliferation” activities in the 1990s. The loss of clarity within the US government on these terms has led to the inability to focus the “whole of government” on this significant national security challenge. To alleviate this challenge, the US government needs a top-down initiative to refocus policy on the distinctly different aspects of WMD with respect to military combat operations, combating terrorism, and homeland security.     

美军PBL理论及对我军装备保障的启示

美军和其他一些西方国家实践证明:实施PBL(Performance Based Logistics)策略可提高武器系统的完好率,改进任务可靠度,节约保障资源,缩短保障反应时间,因此其理论及实践受到了国内外研究者及许多军队的重视。结合国内外理论研究成果及美军在PBL方面的实践,对PBL概念、实施步骤、实践应用进行了综述。结合实际,从保障理论研究、组织结构转型、合同商保障法规、教育训练等方面进行了思考,为落实武器系统全寿命周期管理、提高装备保障性能提供思路。     

美“海军一体化火力控制--制空”能力发展现状与启示

美“海军一体化火力控制－制空”（ NIFC－CA）是美军海上盾牌防御体系概念的重要组成部分。该体系经过多年的发展已初见成效。首先，对美“海军一体化火力控制———制空”的基本概念及内涵进行了阐述，对其主要组成CEC、E－2D预警机、宙斯盾系统及标准－6舰空导弹在防御体系中的功能进行了分析；然后，介绍了美NIFC－CA的6种主要指挥控制模式，并对其协同指挥决策模式进行了分析，得出了指挥决策分布处理的特点；最后，总结了美NIFC－CA发展对我海军海上防御力量发展建设的启示。     

From show of force to naval presence,and back again: the U.S. Navy in the Baltic, 1982–2017

This article discusses roles and missions of the United States Navy with a particular focus on the Baltic Sea. That particular sea has gained renewed political and military attention following Russia's resurgent and increasingly hybrid-offensive foreign policy. Baltic nations, uncertain of what the future holds, ought to look at sea power and maritime missions in the Baltic, as well as US naval presence in Europe, to draw lessons for future posture.     

美军试验鉴定技术发展研究

众所周知，美军的装备试验鉴定技术一直处于世界领先地位，对其进行深入研究有利于试验鉴定的发展。本文主要对美军试验鉴定的管理部门、类型、发展历程以及技术领域进行详细研究，系统梳理美军试验鉴定的整个过程，在此基础上，结合我试验鉴定的发展现状，取其精华，去其糟粕，为试验鉴定的发展提出了几点思考和建议。     

The case of Donald Rumsfeld: leadership traps in national security

Taking its point of departure in Donald Rumsfeld’s second term as US Secretary of Defense (2001–2006), this article analyses the crisis of strategic leadership in Western national security. Three “traps” are identified that explain why Donald Rumsfeld ultimately was a failure as defence secretary and demonstrate the perils of national security governance. These traps are termed the inquisitor trap, the strong leader trap and the delegation trap. It is argued that our understanding of strategic leadership in national security, particularly in defence, can benefit from insights gained from the study of strategic leadership in business. As such, this article engages the recent trend of merging insights from business and military strategy.