New maximum entropy methods for modeling lifetime distributions

This article introduces two new maximum entropy (ME) methods for modeling the distribution of time to an event. One method is within the classical ME framework and provides characterizations of change point models such as the piecewise exponential distribution. The second method uses the entropy of the equilibrium distribution (ED) for the objective function and provides new characterizations of the exponential, Weibull, Pareto, and uniform distributions. With the same moment constraints, the classical ME and the maximum ED entropy algorithms generate different models for the interarrival time. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 427–434, 2014     

多元气体化学爆炸的超压安全泄放设计

压力容器在气液二相共存的情况下 ,采用UNIFAC法预测液相活度系数进行气液平衡计算 ,得到多元系统的气液平衡浓度 ,结合燃爆模拟实验数据 ,对容器危险工况下的超压进行安全泄放设计。     

战车火炮姿态测量系统原位标定技术和方案设计

为了降低姿态测量系统的启动漂移和标定误差,提高测量和导航精度,针对系统安装特色,提出了一种原位快速标定方案。分析了系统可观测性,利用等效陀螺信息推导了多位置原位标定方案;研究了最优标定和次优标定问题,分析了标定精度和坡度之间的关系;设计了一种针对系统安装特色的多位置编排方案,完成了大坡度范围下的原位标定。仿真结果表明:方案要求简单,应用范围广,能够完成大坡度范围下高精度快速标定,具有重要的工程应用价值。     

非对称Colonel Blotto博弈模型下的多信道功率分配抗干扰

针对智能干扰条件下传输速率固定的通信系统多信道功率分配问题,建立了非对称Colonel Blotto博弈模型。在完全信息条件下,推导出了各种功率预算约束下通信方和干扰方的等效单信道最优功率分配策略,进而证明了通信方和干扰方存在唯一混合纳什均衡策略,并求得了纳什均衡收益。基于等效单信道最优功率分布,提出了一种多重扫描直接列元素交换算法,可以快速构建多信道混合功率分配矩阵,且相比于线性规划方法,可适应更多的信道数和更广的功率分布范围。通过数值仿真,验证了所提多信道混合功率分配矩阵构造算法的有效性及多信道功率分配策略的最优性。     

固体运载器姿态控制系统自适应滤波器设计

采用大长细比、轻结构质量设计方案的固体运载器结构刚度较小,姿态控制系统设计需要考虑弹性振动的影响。设计了自适应滤波器实现对箭体弹性振动信号的抑制:将滤波器参数自适应问题转化为系统参数辨识问题,通过Steiglitz-McBride参数辨识方法求解,该方法具有计算复杂性低、收敛迅速等特点,适用于箭上计算机实时计算。通过闭环仿真表明,在箭体弹性频率发生变化的条件下,具有自适应滤波器的控制系统能够跟踪这种变化,有效抑制振动信号对控制器的影响,保持运载器姿态运动稳定。     

可变落点的再入机动飞行器姿控系统设计

基于选择的姿态反馈控制系统结构,从姿控系统稳定性能提高的角度,设计了控制系统反馈参数,以适应可变落点引起的飞行器参数变化。通过机动飞行器的六自由度飞行弹道仿真,表明所设计的姿态反馈控制系统控制效果较好,可适应预定区域内的飞行落点变化要求。     

Resource allocation in an asymmetric technology race with temporary advantages

We consider two opponents that compete in developing asymmetric technologies where each party's technology is aimed at damaging (or neutralizing) the other's technology. The situation we consider is different than the classical problem of commercial R&D races in two ways: First, while in commercial R&D races the competitors compete over the control of market share, in our case the competition is about the effectiveness of technologies with respect to certain capabilities. Second, in contrast with the “winner‐takes‐all” assumption that characterizes much of the literature on this field in the commercial world, we assume that the party that wins the race gains a temporary advantage that expires when the other party develops a superior technology. We formulate a variety of models that apply to a one‐sided situation, where one of the two parties has to determine how much to invest in developing a technology to counter another technology employed by the other party. The decision problems are expressed as (convex) nonlinear optimization problems. We present an application that provides some operational insights regarding optimal resource allocation. We also consider a two‐sided situation and develop a Nash equilibrium solution that sets investment values, so that both parties have no incentive to change their investments. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 59: 128–145, 2012     

临近空间驻留飞艇模糊变结构姿态控制方法

针对临近空间驻留飞艇姿态运动的非线性、耦合和不确定等特点,提出了一种模糊变结构解耦控制方法。首先,推导了定点模式下飞艇的姿态运动方程,通过选取状态向量和控制向量,将其描述为非线性系统。然后,采用反馈线性化方法将非线性姿态控制系统输入输出解耦为三个通道的线性子系统;利用滑模变结构控制对参数摄动的不变性设计了定点姿态控制系统,并应用Lyapunov理论证明了系统的全局稳定性;为提高控制性能,以变结构控制的滑模面及其变化率为模糊控制器的输入,以趋近律参数为模糊控制器的输出设计了模糊变结构控制器,通过模糊规则在线调整控制律参数。最后,对具有参数不确定的姿态控制系统进行了数值仿真,验证了控制方法的有效性和鲁棒性。     

低成本微小型无人机航姿测量系统设计

根据微小型无人机航姿测量需求,利用MEMS传感器设计了一种低成本的航姿测量系统．针对低成本MEMS陀螺仪本身漂移较大、容易发散、无法完成较长时间较高精度测量的特点,提出一种实时性强、计算量小的信息融合方法．利用地球重力场、地磁场2个参考向量,采用互补滤波对不同传感器的数据进行融合,实现提高该航姿测量系统测量精度的目的．实验结果表明,该航姿测量系统的更新速率达到450Hz,姿态角测量误差〈1°,航向角测量误差〈2°,能够满足微小型无人机航向和姿态测量需求．     

挠性航天器变幅值输入成形姿态机动策略

针对变参数挠性航天器的姿态机动问题,在变幅值零振动成形器的基础上,提出了鲁棒性较强的变幅值零振动和零微分成形器设计方法,设计了鲁棒姿态机动策略.该机动策略的控制目标是,将航天器机动到期望状态的同时,消除挠性结构的残余振动.以含转动挠性太阳翼的航天器进行三轴姿态机动为例,进行数值仿真.仿真结果表明,该机动策略对挠性结构频...