考虑腐蚀因素的船体结构寿命预测方法

为建立考虑腐蚀因素的船体结构寿命预测方法,在分析现有常用的船体结构腐蚀损伤时变模型的基础上,根据舰船维修保障实际情况建立了考虑腐蚀防护系统作用时间和维修时间等因素的腐蚀时变模型。根据相关规范选择了船体结构腐蚀寿命标准,并建立了一种计算船体结构腐蚀寿命的方法。该方法建立了船体结构腐蚀寿命与腐蚀防护系统作用时间和修理时间等因素之间的量化关系,可以用于预测均匀腐蚀条件下船体结构寿命,也可以反过来指导腐蚀防护系统设计指标的选择和船体结构维修策略的确定。     

对未来陆战场变化的思考

作为敌对双方展开对抗的重要空间之一,陆战场的发展变化,必将影响到未来陆军建设的方向和重点。研究其发展变化规律,为我军陆军建设提供借鉴, 具有重要意义。文章通过对战争历史实践进行分析,归纳出了未来陆战场可能产生的重要变化,并讨论了产生变化的原因。文章的最后,就这些变化对我陆军作战理论和陆军装备建设产生的启示作用作了总结。     

装备表面现代维修保养技术研究

结合装备表面智能维修保养技术方面的研究成果,介绍了装甲装备故障智能检测技术、自适应、自修复功能材料,装甲装备器材全自动保养设备等先进技术,侧重装备维修保养阐述了如何提高信息化程度,推进军队武器装备维修保养技术的现代化建设。     

装备战场损伤的解析分析方法研究

为了提高装备战损模拟的效率,以蒙特卡洛方法为基础,构建了关于装备战损的解析模型。首先采用序贯法优化了仿真次数,以便以较少的仿真次数获得较高的仿真精度;分析了单因素对于装备损伤的影响,并建立了一元回归模型;采用正交试验分析了多因素之间的交互作用,并综合一元回归模型得出了装备战损的多元回归模型;最后结合弹着点分布模型与多元回归模型,建立了装备战损的解析模型,并通过实例验证了解析模型的正确性。     

Transient analysis of Markov models of fault‐tolerant systems with deferred repair using split regenerative randomization

The (standard) randomization method is an attractive alternative for the transient analysis of continuous time Markov models. The main advantages of the method are numerical stability, well‐controlled computation error, and ability to specify the computation error in advance. However, the fact that the method can be computationally very expensive limits its applicability. In this paper, we develop a new method called split regenerative randomization, which, having the same good properties as standard randomization, can be significantly more efficient. The method covers reliability‐like models with a particular but quite general structure and requires the selection of a subset of states and a regenerative state satisfying some conditions. For a class of continuous time Markov models, model class C₂, including typical failure/repair reliability‐like models with exponential failure and repair time distributions and deferred repair, natural selections are available for both the subset of states and the regenerative state and, for those natural selections, theoretical results are available assessing the efficiency of the method in terms of “visible” model characteristics. Those results can be used to anticipate when the method can be expected to be competitive. We illustrate the application of the method using a large class C₂ model and show that for models in that class the method can indeed be significantly more efficient than previously available randomization‐based methods. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

The Armoury Gauging System and Interchangeable Manufacture

Abstract

Scientifically analysing important artefacts from the site of historic battles is vital if the best information is to be retrieved from the field. A detailed knowledge of the specific equipment that was available to the combatants from a known battle is also required at a high level so that artefacts and fragments resulting from an historic battlefield archaeological survey can be recognised when found. Access to specialists from all walks of life is required throughout each battlefield-related project, from the fieldwork stages to the dissemination of information. The following paper discusses the importance of working alongside museums and specialists and gives examples of how the Towton Battlefield Archaeology Project has successfully worked with the staff at the Royal Armouries Leeds.     

Some aspects in estimating warranty and post‐warranty repair demands

When customers buy a product, they are often eligible for free repairs for a certain warranty period. In this article, we study some important aspects, which are often overlooked in the literature but are of interest to the manufacturer, in estimating both warranty and post‐warranty repair demands. We consider that the installed base of the product (i.e., the number of units of the product actually in use) varies with time due to both new sales and units being taken out of service. When estimating warranty and post‐warranty repair demands, we explicitly address the fact that customers may not always request repairs for failed units. For the case where the product failure time distribution is exponential, we derive the closed‐form expressions for both types of repair demands of a single unit and of the time‐varying installed base. The insights into some risk‐related quantities are also presented. Furthermore, the proposed model is extended by considering delayed warranty claims that are frequently seen in practice. Numerical examples illustrate that understanding both types of repair demands and the related decision variables is important for managing the obligatory and profitable repair services. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 60: 499–511, 2013     

坚持“面向部队、面向战场”创新军事高科技培训发展

落实强军目标要求,培养＂能打仗,打胜仗＂的新型军事人才,是院校教育、部队训练和军事职业教育＂三位一体＂人才培养体系的根本任务。军事高科技培训作为军事人才培养的重要组成部分,贯穿于院校教育、部队训练和军事职业教育的全过程。文章以培训要坚持＂面向部队、面向战场＂为切入点,在分析现有培训与＂两个面向＂的差距基础上,对如何推进人才培养改革、创新军事高科技培训发展的方法途径进行了探讨。     

数字化作战对炮兵装备的影响

通过对数字化战场和数字化部队的描述,分析了数字化作战对炮兵作战指挥、作战方式、部队编成、生存能力及后勤保障的影响,探讨了IC4ISR系统协调下炮兵营(连)的作战过程(监视与侦察、决策与指挥、机动与打击、评估与反馈、重组与恢复),进一步阐明了IC4ISR(一体化的指挥、控制、通信、计算机、情报、监视与侦察)系统在炮兵数字化中的核心作用,结合信息传递数字化、指挥体系扁平化、火力控制自动化、情报侦察网络化、发射平台机动化、装备建设配套化,提出了数字化作战对炮兵武器系统的具体要求。     

系统动力学防空战场信息战模型

现代条件下的防空作战是一种信息化作战样式,阐明了防空信息战的基本概念,论述了系统动力学用于研究防空信息作战的适用性,建立了防空战场信息战的系统动力学模型,通过对模型不同仿真结果的比较,印证了制信息权在防空作战中的重要性,做出了防空战场信息作战的对策分析。