An application of the MTP2 property on bounds on system reliability

This paper is concerned with the joint prior distribution of the dependent reliabilities of the components of a binary system. When this distribution is MTP₂ (Multivariate Totally Positive of Order 2), it is shown in general that this actually makes the machinery of Natvig and Eide [7] available to arrive at the posterior distribution of the system's reliability, based on data both at the component and system level. As an illustration in a common environmental stress case, the joint prior distribution of the reliabilities is shown to have the MTP₂ property. We also show, similarly to Gåsemyr and Natvig [3], for the case of independent components given component reliabilities how this joint prior distribution may be based on the combination of expert opinions. A specific system is finally treated numerically. © 1997 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 44: 741–755, 1997     

亚超结合反舰导弹控制规律的选择与分析

针对现代海战的特点,分析了现代海战对反舰导弹的性能需求,提出了亚超结合反舰导弹是未来反舰导弹的发展方向。进一步分析了亚超结合反舰导弹对控制系统的要求,并对未来亚超结合反舰导弹控制系统控制规律的选取作了研究分析,最后提出了亚超结合反舰导弹设计的主要关键技术和应注意的几个问题。     

新型光电装备免费及按比例组合保修策略

通过对新型光电装备故障规律和实际保修的需求分析,在原有规定保证期内免费保修策略基础上进行优化,提出免费及按比例保修组合策略概念,建立该策略对应的费用模型及可用度模型,得到费效比函数。同时通过对某新型光电装备保证期内维修保障工作应用组合保修策略开展实例建模,得到最优策略并分析证明提出该组合策略的实用性和可行性。     

层次分析法在反坦克导弹阵地选择中的应用

反坦克导弹是未来高技术战争中不可或缺的反装甲兵种,特别是在渡海登岛作战中,先头抢滩登陆部队能否巩固和扩大登陆场地,很大程度取决于登陆部队反装甲力量的运用.在此过程中,反坦克导弹分队的阵地选择极其重要,运用层次分析法建立反坦克导弹阵地选择的递阶层次模型,通过计算,确定反坦克导弹阵地选择的最佳方案通过组合一致性检验,选择地形单元C_1为反坦克导弹阵地,作为最终的决策依据.     

我国ICF激光装置研制系统方法论解析

按照系统科学观点,ICF激光装置应归类为复杂巨系统,具有一般复杂系统的典型特征;我国ICF激光装置研制符合典型的系统工程实践,包含系统工程方法论的一般应用,以及基于我国宏观系统环境特点的综合集成方法论的独特探索。系统方法论是这个实践的灵魂。基于战略发展需要,应建立我国ICF激光装置系统工程管理框架与规范。     

多业务接入平台及其在军事通信中的应用

文中介绍了军用通信网接入层的组建原则,通过比较目前几种不同的接入技术,说明了多业务接入平台(MSAP)的技术特点和优势,提出了以MSAP作为军用通信网接入层的解决方案,并给出了采用MSAP组网的网络示意图。最后采用CPU+ASIC+FPGA这种典型的通信系统硬件架构,分析了MSAP的软硬件联合实现。     

陆军合成营指挥模拟训练系统模型

对陆军合成营指挥模拟训练系统模型和部署结构进行研究和探讨,构建一个分布式合成营指挥训练平台。从系统的总体设计思路、系统功能设计、系统逻辑结构、系统物理结构及模块化设计思路上加以探讨并给出自己的方案。     

Signal‐to‐interference‐plus‐noise ratio estimation for wireless communication systems: Methods and analysis

The Signal‐to‐Interference‐plus‐Noise Ratio (SINR) is an important metric of wireless communication link quality. SINR estimates have several important applications. These include optimizing the transmit power level for a target quality of service, assisting with handoff decisions and dynamically adapting the data rate for wireless Internet applications. Accurate SINR estimation provides for both a more efficient system and a higher user‐perceived quality of service. In this paper, we develop new SINR estimators and compare their mean squared error (MSE) performance. We show that our new estimators dominate estimators that have previously appeared in the literature with respect to MSE. The sequence of transmitted bits in wireless communication systems consists of both pilot bits (which are known both to the transmitter and receiver) and user bits (which are known only by the transmitter). The SINR estimators we consider alternatively depend exclusively on pilot bits, exclusively on user bits, or simultaneously use both pilot and user bits. In addition, we consider estimators that utilize smoothing and feedback mechanisms. Smoothed estimators are motivated by the fact that the interference component of the SINR changes relatively slowly with time, typically with the addition or departure of a user to the system. Feedback estimators are motivated by the fact that receivers typically decode bits correctly with a very high probability, and therefore user bits can be thought of as quasipilot bits. For each estimator discussed, we derive an exact or approximate formula for its MSE. Satterthwaite approximations, noncentral F distributions (singly and doubly) and distribution theory of quadratic forms are the key statistical tools used in developing the MSE formulas. In the case of approximate MSE formulas, we validate their accuracy using simulation techniques. The approximate MSE formulas, of interest in their own right for comparing the quality of the estimators, are also used for optimally combining estimators. In particular, we derive optimal weights for linearly combining an estimator based on pilot bits with an estimator based on user bits. The optimal weights depend on the MSE of the two estimators being combined, and thus the accurate approximate MSE formulas can conveniently be used. The optimal weights also depend on the unknown SINR, and therefore need to be estimated in order to construct a useable combined estimator. The impact on the MSE of the combined estimator due to estimating the weights is examined. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004     

联合编队作战行动方案建模

研究联合编队的作战行动方案问题,首先需要建立合理的任务模型。在基本作战样式基础上,针对联合编队任务特点,设计了一种联合编队作战行动方案的建模方法。该模型包含对海攻击和对空防御等5种基本作战样式,结合规划和调度两方面的特点,提供了资源和系统状态的描述机制。实例证明建模方案不仅具有可行性,而且丰富了作战行动方案的建模理论,对联合编队作战系统的研究、决策和建设具有一定的参考价值。     

加肋凹锥-环-柱结合壳结构参数分析

采用分区样条等参元法,分析了加肋凹锥 环 柱结合壳的应力和稳定性特点,研究了各项结构参数变化对结合壳应力和稳定性的影响,认为加肋凹锥 环 柱结合壳能有效降低锥柱结合部的纵向弯曲应力,但对于降低环向应力效果有限,建议在环壳段中部增加一档肋骨;半锥角的凹结合壳越大,嵌入环壳段的优势越明显;增大环壳与柱壳半径比可以有效降低环壳段中部的纵向弯曲应力.