编队协同反导决策方案优选

为了充分地调度好编队全部的抗导资源,实现抗导弹群的成功概率最大,在利用随机服务系统理论对编队协同反导决策方案各指标值进行计算的基础上,将"模糊优选理论"与"协同学原理"有机地结合起来,求解了在反舰导弹到达强度与舰空导弹的单发杀伤概率在不同值的情况下,编队协同反导决策方案的隶属度,为编队指挥员进行反导决策方案的优选提供了科学依据。     

基于信誉度的军事信息服务选择方法

随着军事信息技术的发展,未来军事信息系统必然是基于服务思想构造的,为提高系统的可靠性与稳定性,提出了一种基于信誉度的军事信息服务选择方法。首先对军事信息服务信誉的含义和计算依据作了简要分析,然后在基础上,构建了基于信誉度的军事信息服务选择模型,并对模型的角色和操作进行了分析,最后对UDD I的扩展方法、军事信息服务信誉度的计算方法,以及基于信誉度的军事信息服务选择算法等模型实现的关键技术进行了探讨,为基于信誉度的军事信息服务选择方法的实现奠定了基础。     

模糊优选动态规划在稀缺军事资源配置中的应用

在对稀缺军事资源配置问题进行数学描述的基础上,建立起评价指标相对优属度计算模型,实现了局部优选。在此基础上,通过分配目标综合评价模型实现了对局部优选数据的综合处理,最后建立资源分配的动态规划模型实现了对方案的优选。最后通过实例演示了解决该类问题的具体方法和步骤,对部队建设具有一定的参考和应用价值。     

一种TM遥感影像的分割算法

从多分辨率分析角度分析图像分割概念,研究已有的图像分割方法,阐述基于二进小波变换的多分辨率分析原理,采取由粗到细的控制策略,有效地选取最优分割阈值,从而实现对TM遥感影像的分割,实验结果表明该算法对复杂遥感影像分割是有效的。     

Efficient multinomial selection in simulation

Consider a simulation experiment consisting of v independent vector replications across k systems, where in any given replication one system is selected as the best performer (i.e., it wins). Each system has an unknown constant probability of winning in any replication and the numbers of wins for the individual systems follow a multinomial distribution. The classical multinomial selection procedure of Bechhofer, Elmaghraby, and Morse (Procedure BEM) prescribes a minimum number of replications, denoted as v*, so that the probability of correctly selecting the true best system (PCS) meets or exceeds a prespecified probability. Assuming that larger is better, Procedure BEM selects as best the system having the largest value of the performance measure in more replications than any other system. We use these same v* replications across k systems to form (v*)^k pseudoreplications that contain one observation from each system, and develop Procedure AVC (All Vector Comparisons) to achieve a higher PCS than with Procedure BEM. For specific small-sample cases and via a large-sample approximation we show that the PCS with Procedure AVC exceeds the PCS with Procedure BEM. We also show that with Procedure AVC we achieve a given PCS with a smaller v than the v* required with Procedure BEM. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 45: 459–482, 1998     

SINS/CNS组合导航的导航星表构建方法

构建满足完备性、精简性和查询快速性的导航星表是实现捷联惯性/星光组合导航系统的重要前提和保证。以天文学中的Tycho-2星表作为导航星表的初始星表,对球矩形分区方法进行了改进,包括明确分区及子分区的划分方法,提出了备选导航星的选择策略。实验结果表明,采用改进型球矩形分区方法的备选导航星数量最多只占赤纬带法导航星的19.37%,仅占全天遍历法导航星的3.12%。因此,改进型球矩形分区方法更加精准,查询更快捷,更适用于捷联惯性/星光组合导航系统。     

一种新型的P2P Tracker实现方法

流媒体数据已经在互联网流量中占据极高的比例,P2P是目前支撑互联网流媒体数据分发的重要手段。本文提出一种新型的P2P Tracker实现方法——eTracker。该方法通过网络边缘的eTracker分布实现peer列表的保存,不但消除传统集中式Tracker的性能瓶颈,而且通过eTracker对本地peer的识别,优化了P2P系统的peer选择。     

基于三角模糊熵的装备维修合同商评价与选择

装备维修合同商保障能力评价是军民融合装备维修招投标过程中合理选择最优合同商的基础.通过对招投标过程及以往资料的研究,在考虑部队装备维修保障特殊性的基础上,从合同商资质、技术能力、管理水平和价格成本4个方面构建装备维修合同商评价指标体系,并运用基于三角模糊熵的综合评价法进行评价.综合运用三角模糊法和熵值法,针对评价指标的模糊性和不确定性,采用三角模糊数对定性指标量化处理,又用熵权反映出指标竞争的相对激烈程度,计算出评价对象与理想点的贴近度和距离,据此对评价对象进行优劣排序,最后通过实例进行了验证.     

空域窗射击毁歼概率解析计算模型

为提高未来空域窗射击技术对空中机动目标的毁伤概率,需要根据目标机动幅度对未来空域窗的大小进行动态设定,故提出“自适应射击窗”的概念.空域窗大小设定的依据是使毁歼概率最优.可以采用解析法来在线计算该毁歼概率值.在分析空域窗射击误差的基础上,演绎了均匀分布法与高斯和法两种毁歼概率解析计算方法的公式.以毁歼概率蒙特卡罗法仿真数据为基准值,对两种解析法的计算精度进行了对比分析.仿真结果表明,高斯和法的计算精度显著优于均匀分布法,且满足实时计算要求,适于在线评估空域窗的射击效能.     

Dynamic regulation on innovation and adoption of green technology with information asymmetry

This study investigates a regulator's dynamic policy to motivate firms' research on and adoption of green technology. In the proposed model, a firm makes unobservable efforts and can hide the technology's arrival from the regulator to avoid adoption costs. We find that the optimal policy follows a simple structure and induces part-time efforts, rather than the maximal effort reported in previous studies. In particular, the regulator should offer no subsidy before the arrival of a technology report, provide a one-time subsidy contingent upon that report, and always set a termination deadline. At the deadline, the firm is forced to select an external option that is associated with social costs. The optimal report-based subsidy decreases with time. Under the optimal policy, the firm works until an effort deadline, makes no effort thereafter, and reports the technology as soon as it arrives. This study also characterizes the necessary and sufficient conditions under which the optimal policy reduces to one that leads, in terms of throughout time, to effort that is maximal or minimal. Our results indicate that policymakers should implement a policy that compensates firms more in the present and less in the future.